In short: Freedom Patriots high school football (Bethlehem, PA), 2026 season: 6-3. Last game: W 38-35 vs Easton Area on October 23, 2026. Next: at Liberty, October 31, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The number to watch when Freedom meets Liberty is Freedom's scoring defense. Freedom allowed 20.5 points per game over its first 6 games (4-2), #239 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (2-1), the Patriots have allowed 32.7 points per game, a 59% rise, #403 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Freedom's last 3 opponents have averaged 27.2 points per game, a #184 offense in section on the season, against 24.5 points per game, #245 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (27.2 points per game), Freedom allowed 20% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #87 in section, well above the first 6 (#186), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Liberty's offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Hurricanes have averaged 19.7 points per game over their last 3 games (0-3), #328 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in section (21.1 points per game on the season, which would rank #248). Against those norms, Liberty scored 7% less than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #49 in section, a strong slate. Liberty offers Freedom a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Freedom is 3-0 this season when it holds opponents under 19, and 3-3 when it doesn't.
NOTES
The biggest shift in Freedom's season has come in its offense. Freedom averaged 26.0 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #211 in section through those games. In the 5 games since that slow start (4-1), the Patriots have averaged 38.4 points per game, a 48% rise, #80 in section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Freedom's last 5 opponents have averaged 31.5 points per game, a #448 scoring defense in section on the season, against 17.6 points per game, #171 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (31.5 points per game), Freedom scored 22% more than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #276 in section, well below the first 4 (#20), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Freedom ranks #117 in section in scoring. Liberty's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #406 in section (29.4 points per game). Freedom is 5-0 this season when it scores 30 or more, and 1-3 when it doesn't.
TIDBITS (1 found)
• Club Freedom has won 2 straight, and a win would make it 3 in a row -- something they have not done in the 5 seasons on record.
DATA WARNING: FREEDOM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/23/2026 GAME VS. EASTON AREA* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FREEDOM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/16/2026 GAME @ NORTHAMPTON* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FREEDOM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/09/2026 GAME VS. BETHLEHEM CATHOLIC* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FREEDOM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/01/2026 GAME @ EAST STROUDSBURG NORTH MISSING
DATA WARNING: FREEDOM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/25/2026 GAME VS. LOUIS E. DIERUFF MISSING
DATA WARNING: FREEDOM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/18/2026 GAME @ NAZARETH AREA* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FREEDOM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/11/2026 GAME VS. PHILLIPSBURG MISSING
DATA WARNING: FREEDOM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/04/2026 GAME VS. PARKLAND MISSING
DATA WARNING: FREEDOM OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 08/28/2026 GAME @ DOWNINGTOWN WEST MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 0/9, defense 3/9, sacks/INT 0/9, sacks allowed 2/9, turnovers 3/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Defense: grade 7.1/100 (+88 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 25.8/100 (+48 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
DATE
SITE
OPPONENT
THEIR RECORD
THEIR PPG
2026-10-31
at
LIBERTY
2-7
19.0
LAST YEAR
FRE finished 2025 at 1-1. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 38-27 over ACCHS (ACCHS finished 50% that season). Toughest loss: 7-47 to DOWNINGTOWN WEST (40-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (4 storylines)
• FRE's defense has averaged 19.6 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 12-game average is 28.6 points allowed per game. (-31%)
• FRE is 4-0 (.999) in games decided by 8 points or fewer
• FRE's offense has averaged 24.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 12-game average is 32.5 points scored per game. (-26%)
FRE's defense has averaged 19.6 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 12-game average is 28.6 points allowed per game. (-31%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 18.1 in 2022 to 12.5 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
WHAT CHANGED THIS WEEK
Beat Easton Area 38-35 on Oct 23; now 6-3. That makes 2 straight wins.
From the games on file through Oct 23.
REMAINING SCHEDULE
Most likely finish 7-3 · realistic range 6-4 to 7-3
Remaining schedule: 141st hardest of 416 in the PA section (average opponent strength 6.5).
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).