In short: Forest Park Panthers high school football (Forest Park, GA), 2026 season: 1-8. Last game: L 6-42 vs Dutchtown on October 30, 2026. Next: vs DREW, November 5, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 1-7 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 41-32 vs ARABIA MOUNTAIN |
| NEXT GAME | DREW (11/05/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Def 39.1 · Rush Def 21.7 |
| ENROLLMENT | 1,684 STUDENTS (2023-24) · PUBLIC SECONDARY |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOREST PARK | -- | -- | 39.1 (+11) | 21.7 (+60) |
Next: vs DREW, Thu 5 Nov. Matchup report: DREW at Forest Park.
The number to watch when Forest Park meets DREW is Forest Park's scoring. Forest Park averaged 2.0 points per game over its first 6 games (0-6), #464 in section in that timeframe. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (1-2), the Panthers have averaged 20.3 points per game, a 917% rise, #283 in section in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 24.4 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (23.5 points per game), Forest Park scored 13% less than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Meanwhile, DREW's defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. DREW has allowed 21.0 points per game over its last 3 games (2-1), #184 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in section (27.4 points per game on the season, which would rank #189). Against those norms, DREW held those offenses 23% below what they usually score. DREW offers Forest Park a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
The biggest worry in Forest Park's season has been the direction of its defense. Forest Park allowed 32.7 points per game over its first 3 games (0-3), #370 in section through those games. In the 6 games since that hot start (1-5), the Panthers have allowed 45.7 points per game, a 40% rise, #452 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Forest Park's last 6 opponents have averaged 29.3 points per game, a #156 offense in section on the season, against 11.5 points per game, #417 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (29.3 points per game), Forest Park allowed 56% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #210 in section, well above the first 3 (#364), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Forest Park ranks #443 in section in scoring defense. DREW's offense, #393 of 465 (13.5 points per game), could be the get-right matchup Forest Park needs.
• Club The last time Forest Park went a game holding the opponent under 5.0 yards per carry was September 29, 2023 against Rockdale County (L, 10-17). Since then Forest Park has gone 30 straight games allowing 5.0+ yards per carry, a school-record 30 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Forest Park went a game holding the opponent under 6.0 yards per play was September 29, 2023 against Rockdale County (L, 10-17). Since then Forest Park has gone 30 straight games allowing 6.0+ yards per play, a school-record 30 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Forest Park has allowed 232 points over its last 5 games (46.4 a game, September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its most in a 5-game stretch since the 240 from October 6, 2023 through August 23, 2024.
DATA WARNING: FOREST PARK OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/23/2026 GAME VS. ARABIA MOUNTAIN* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FOREST PARK OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/08/2026 GAME @ EASTSIDE* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FOREST PARK OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/02/2026 GAME @ M.L. KING* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FOREST PARK OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/25/2026 GAME VS. JONESBORO* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FOREST PARK OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/18/2026 GAME VS. STOCKBRIDGE* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FOREST PARK OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 09/04/2026 GAME @ MUNDY'S MILL* MISSING
DATA WARNING: FOREST PARK OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 08/28/2026 GAME VS. RIVERDALE MISSING
DATA WARNING: FOREST PARK OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 08/21/2026 GAME @ MORROW MISSING
All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 2-8 | 122 | 320 | 12.2 |
| 2023 | 0-9 | 36 | 356 | 4.0 |
| 2024 | 1-9 | 68 | 400 | 6.8 |
| 2025 | 2-7 | 109 | 281 | 12.1 |
| 2026 | 1-7 | 67 | 330 | 8.4 |
| 2022-26 | 6-40 | 8.7 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | MORROW | at | L | 0-44 | |
| 08/28 | RIVERDALE | vs | L | 6-28 | |
| 09/04 | MUNDY'S MILL | at | L | 6-26 | |
| 09/18 | STOCKBRIDGE | vs | L | 0-56 | |
| 09/25 | JONESBORO | vs | L | 0-48 | |
| 10/02 | M.L. KING | at | L | 0-61 | |
| 10/08 | EASTSIDE | at | L | 14-35 | |
| 10/23 | ARABIA MOUNTAIN | vs | W | 41-32 | |
| 10/30 | DUTCHTOWN | at | PROJ | 1-47 | 1.1% |
| 11/05 | DREW | vs | PROJ | 18-28 | 30.3% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 1-7 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 1-7 so far | 1-9 (58%) | 1.4-8.6 |
| League | 1-5 so far | 1-5 (100%) | 1.0-5.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 8.4 | 41.2 | -- | 284.2 | -- | 30.6 |
| HOME | 4 | 11.8 | 41.0 | -- | 335.0 | -- | 36.5 |
| ROAD | 4 | 5.0 | 41.5 | -- | 250.3 | -- | 26.7 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 0/8 game(s), Home 0/4 game(s), Road 0/4 game(s).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/21 | @ Morrow | L 0-44 | -- | -- | -- | 144 | 206 | 350 | 1 | -- | -- | 1 | -2 |
| 8/28 | vs. Riverdale | L 6-28 | -- | -- | -- | 114 | 237 | 351 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | -2 |
| 9/4 | @ Mundy's Mill | L 6-26 | -- | -- | -- | 113 | 89 | 202 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 9/18 | vs. Stockbridge | L 0-56 | -- | -- | -- | 151 | 168 | 319 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -5 |
| 9/25 | vs. Jonesboro | L 0-48 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 10/2 | @ M.L. King | L 0-61 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 10/8 | @ Eastside | L 14-35 | -- | -- | -- | 73 | 126 | 199 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -4 |
| 10/23 | vs. Arabia Mountain | W 41-32 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| AVERAGES | -- | -- | -- | 119.0 | 165.2 | 284.2 | 1.0 | -- | -- | 0.4 | -13 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 0/8, defense 5/8, sacks/INT 0/8, sacks allowed 1/8, turnovers 5/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Defense: grade 39.1/100 (+11 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 21.7/100 (+60 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | DUTCHTOWN | 5-3 | 29.6 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | DREW | 4-4 | 13.5 |
LAST YEAR
FP finished 2025 at 2-7. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 35-0 over UTOPIAN ACADEMY FOR THE ARTS (UTOPIAN ACADEMY FOR THE ARTS finished 10% that season). Toughest loss: 14-20 to MORROW (6-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-14 | MORROW | L | 0-1 | 14 | 20 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-08-29 | UTOPIAN ACADEMY FOR THE ARTS | W | 1-1 | 35 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | CREEKSIDE | L | 1-2 | 0 | 70 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-18 | MIDTOWN | L | 1-3 | 7 | 18 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | MAYS | L | 1-4 | 0 | 40 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-03 | DREW | W | 2-4 | 34 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-10 | JACKSON | L | 2-5 | 6 | 49 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | PACE ACADEMY | L | 2-6 | 13 | 23 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-30 | M.L. KING | L | 2-7 | 0 | 40 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 9 GMS | 2-7 | 2-7 | 109 | 281 | N/A | N/A |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• FP forces no takeaways (.000), but most recently lost to Eastside when doing so
• FP's offense has averaged 18.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 27-game average is 9.0 points scored per game. (+103%)
• FP's defense has averaged 0.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 0.7 takeaways per game. (-100%)
• FP's offense has averaged 4.5 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 6-game average is 3.2 giveaways per game. (+42%)
• FP's defense has averaged 73.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 110.3 pass yards per game. (-34%)
• FP's defense has averaged 199.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 283.7 total yards per game. (-30%)
• FP's defense has averaged 126.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 173.3 rush yards per game. (-27%)
• FP's defense has averaged 12.4 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 6-game average is 9.8 YPA. (+26%)
• FP's defense has averaged 46.4 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 27-game average is 37.4 points allowed per game. (+24%)
• FP is 2-11 (.154) at home
• FP holds its opponents under 10.3 yards per attempt (FP's own median) (.000)
• FP holds its opponents under 113.5 passing yards (FP's own median) (.000)
• FP holds its opponents under 187.0 rushing yards (FP's own median) (.000)
• FP holds its opponents under 8.3 yards per carry (FP's own median) (.000)
• FP holds its opponents under 8.3 yards per play (FP's own median) (.000)
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 27 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 27 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 27 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 27 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-5 | .000 | 5.2 | L5 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-5 | .000 | 5.2 | L5 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-5 | .000 | 5.2 | L5 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-18 | .000 | 2.1 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-4 | .000 | 13.8 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-1 | .500 | 20.5 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 34.5 |
| Scores 40+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 41.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-4 | .000 | 5.0 | L4 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 | L1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-4 | .000 | 5.0 | L4 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-4 | .000 | 5.0 | L4 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-6 | .000 | 2.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 40+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 41.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 40.2 | L4 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 31.5 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-6 | .000 | 37.3 | L6 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-5 | .000 | 39.6 | L5 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 26.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-4 | .000 | 40.8 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-2 | .000 | 30.5 | L2 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-6 | .000 | 37.3 | L6 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-6 | .000 | 37.3 | L6 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 21 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 37.8 | L5 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-3 | .000 | 35.7 | L3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 39.0 | L3 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 18.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-5 | .167 | 24.5 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-14 | .000 | 50.7 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-4 | .000 | 40.2 | L4 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 0-5 | .000 | 37.8 | L5 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 0-4 | .000 | 40.8 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 26.0 | L1 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-3 | .000 | 42.7 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-2 | .000 | 30.5 | L2 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 37.8 | L5 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 37.8 | L5 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 37.8 | L5 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 0-2 | .000 | 36.0 | L2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 39.0 | L3 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-2 | .000 | 27.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 33.5 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-4 | .000 | 52.2 |
FOREST PARK
• FOREST PARK has allowed 30+ in 5 straight games (9/18/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 6 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| FP | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 5.2 | L5 |
| FP | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 | L1 |
| FP | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 5.2 | L5 |
| FP | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 5.2 | L5 |
| FP | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 18 | 0-18 | .000 | 2.1 | L18 |
| FP | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 13.8 | L4 |
| FP | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 20.5 | L1 |
| FP | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 34.5 | W2 |
| FP | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 41.0 | W1 |
| FP | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 40.2 | L4 |
| FP | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 31.5 | L2 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 37.3 | L6 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 39.6 | L5 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 26.0 | L1 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 40.8 | L4 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 30.5 | L2 |
| FP | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 37.3 | L6 |
| FP | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 37.3 | L6 |
| FP | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 37.8 | L5 |
| FP | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 35.7 | L3 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 39.0 | L3 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | W2 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 18.0 | L1 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 24.5 | L3 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 | W1 |
| FP | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 14 | 0-14 | .000 | 50.7 | L14 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
FP OFFENSE
FP's offense has averaged 18.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 27-game average is 9.0 points scored per game. (+103%)
FP's offense has averaged 4.5 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 6-game average is 3.2 giveaways per game. (+42%)
FP DEFENSE
FP's defense has averaged 0.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 0.7 takeaways per game. (-100%)
FP's defense has averaged 73.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 110.3 pass yards per game. (-34%)
FP's defense has averaged 199.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 283.7 total yards per game. (-30%)
FP's defense has averaged 126.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 173.3 rush yards per game. (-27%)
FP's defense has averaged 12.4 YPA over their last 5 games. Their 6-game average is 9.8 YPA. (+26%)
FP's defense has averaged 46.4 points allowed per game over their last 5 games. Their 27-game average is 37.4 points allowed per game. (+24%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| FP | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 73.0 | 6 | 110.3 | -33.8% | |
| FP | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 46.4 | 27 | 37.4 | +23.9% | |
| FP | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 18.3 | 27 | 9.0 | +102.9% | |
| FP | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 126.0 | 6 | 173.3 | -27.3% | |
| FP | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 199.0 | 6 | 283.7 | -29.8% | |
| FP | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.7 | -100.0% | |
| FP | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 4.5 | 6 | 3.2 | +42.1% | |
| FP | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 5 | 12.4 | 6 | 9.8 | +26.1% |
From the games on file through Oct 30.
