In short: Basha Bears high school football (Chandler, AZ), 2026 season: 6-2. Last game: W 42-17 vs Brophy College Prep on October 23, 2026. Next: at Salpointe Catholic, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 6-2 this season |
| LAST GAME | W 42-17 vs BROPHY COLLEGE PREP |
| NEXT GAME | PERRY (11/06/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 86.3 · Rush Off 74.2 · Pass Def 93.3 · Rush Def 93.7 |
| LEAGUE | 6A SOUTHERN |
| ENROLLMENT | 2,826 STUDENTS (2023-24) · PUBLIC |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BASHA | 86.3 (+85) | 74.2 (+48) | 93.3 (-86) | 93.7 (-114) |
Next: at Salpointe Catholic, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Basha at Salpointe Catholic.
The battle on the air could decide Basha's next game, against Salpointe Catholic, and the recent returns favor Basha. Basha averaged 5.5 yards per pass attempt (609 yards on 110 attempts) over its first 4 games (2-2), #179 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Bears have averaged 13.0 yards per pass attempt (976 yards on 75 attempts), a 135% rise, #17 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Basha's last 4 opponents have averaged 9.0 yards per attempt, a #163 pass defense in section on the season, against 6.0 yards per attempt, #44 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (9.0 yards per attempt), Basha threw for 44% more per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. Meanwhile, Salpointe Catholic's pass defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Lancers have allowed 9.5 yards per pass attempt (681 yards on 72 attempts) over their last 4 games (1-3), #165 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of passing attacks in section (8.8 yards per attempt on the season, which would rank #78). Against those norms, Salpointe Catholic allowed 8% more per attempt than those passing attacks usually gain. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #38 in section, a strong slate. On paper, that is a matchup that favors Basha.
The number to watch when Basha meets Salpointe Catholic is Basha's giveaways. Basha committed 3.5 giveaways per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #241 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Bears have committed 0.2 giveaways per game, a 93% drop, #6 in section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Basha's last 4 opponents have averaged 0.9 per game, a #211 defense in section on the season, against 2.5 per game, #26 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (0.9 per game), Basha turned it over 73% less than those defenses usually force. Conversely, Salpointe Catholic's defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Lancers have forced 2.0 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (1-3), #62 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in section (1.4 per game on the season, which would rank #108). Against those norms, Salpointe Catholic forced 44% more turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #38 in section, a strong slate. Something has to give when Basha's surging ball security meets one of section's better units in Salpointe Catholic's.
The biggest worry in Basha's season has been the direction of its defense. Basha forced 2.5 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #36 in section within that period. In the 4 games since that hot start (4-0), the Bears have forced 0.2 takeaways per game, a 90% drop, #240 in section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.4 per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.4 per game), Basha forced 83% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Overall, those opponents have been strong teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank #37 in section. On the season, Basha ranks #148 in section in takeaways. Salpointe Catholic's ball security sits in the middle of the pack, #176 in section (1.9 per game).
The Bears averaged 5.4 yards per play (1,183 yards on 221 snaps) over their first 4 games (2-2), #169 in section during those games. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), Basha has averaged 10.1 yards per play (1,784 yards on 177 snaps), an 88% rise, #29 in section during that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Basha's last 4 opponents have averaged 7.1 yards per play, a #138 defense in section on the season, against 5.4 yards per play, #45 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.1 yards per play), Basha gained 42% more per snap than those defenses usually allow. On the season, the Bears rank #83 in section in yards per play. Salpointe Catholic's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #133 in section (7.1 yards per play).
Basha's offense has come a long way since the season's early weeks. Basha averaged 22.8 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #147 in section during that stretch. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Bears have averaged 42.5 points per game, an 87% rise, #33 in section over that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Basha's last 4 opponents have averaged 26.1 points per game, a #143 scoring defense in section on the season, against 16.6 points per game, #48 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (26.1 points per game), Basha scored 63% more than those defenses usually allow. On the season, Basha ranks #79 in section in scoring. Salpointe Catholic's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #128 in section (24.1 points per game). Basha is 6-0 this season when it scores 25 or more, and 0-2 when it doesn't.
Something changed for Basha's ground game after its first 4 games. The Bears averaged 5.2 yards per carry (574 yards on 111 rushes) over their first 4 games (2-2), #149 in section over that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), Basha has averaged 7.9 yards per carry (808 yards on 102 rushes), a 53% rise, #58 in section over that span. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Basha's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.6 yards per carry, a #100 run defense in section on the season, against 4.7 yards per carry, #50 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.6 yards per carry), Basha ran for 42% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. On the season, the Bears rank #89 in section in rushing. Salpointe Catholic's run defense sits in the middle of the pack, #82 in section (5.3 yards per carry).
One of Basha's most reliable areas lately has been its defense. Basha allowed 27.8 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #155 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Bears have allowed 14.2 points per game, a 49% drop, #51 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Basha's last 4 opponents have averaged 30.8 points per game, a #92 offense in section on the season, against 33.9 points per game, #70 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (30.8 points per game), Basha held those offenses 54% below what they usually score. On the season, Basha ranks #93 in section in scoring defense. Salpointe Catholic's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #183 in section (18.5 points per game). Basha is 3-0 this season when it holds opponents under 19, and 3-2 when it doesn't.
• Club Basha has won 5 straight, and a win would make it 6 in a row. The last time they won 6 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 6.
• Club The last time Basha went a game allowing 7.0+ yards per play was October 24, 2025 against Hamilton (L, 12-28). Since then Basha has gone 13 straight games holding the opponent under 7.0 yards per play, a school-record 13 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Basha has gone 8 straight games holding the opponent under 5.0 yards per carry (August 29, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 6-2 over that stretch, a school-record 8 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Basha has gone 6 straight games holding the opponent under 150 rushing yards (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 5-1 over that stretch, a school-record 6 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Basha has gone 5 straight games committing fewer than 2 turnovers (September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 5-0 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Basha is 25-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (25 such games).
• Club Basha is 28-1 all time when throwing for 200+ yards. Basha's last loss when throwing for 200+ yards was November 25, 2023 against Centennial (L, 27-35).
• Club Basha is 14-0 all time when averaging 8.0+ yards per attempt in the games on file (14 such games).
• Player Jaden Baldwin has 434 receiving yards over his last 5 games (86.8 a game, November 29, 2025 through September 11, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch on record.
• Player Noah Roberts has gone 2 straight games catching a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Kyser Wilson has gone 2 straight games intercepting a pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Noah Roberts has gone 7 straight games without recording 100+ receiving yards. The last time he had 100+ receiving yards was October 31, 2025 against Mesa (W, 41-33) — 110 receiving yards.
From the games on file through Sep 11.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 11 game; last updated Sep 21; roster and numbers checked Oct 6.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| 8 | JAKE ROGERS | 3 | 40/81 | 49.4% | 415 | 5.1 | 5 | 5 | 100.4 |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| 6 | NOAH ROBERTS | 3 | 60 | 207 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 17 | JUSTIN MILLER | 1 | 14 | 130 | 9.3 | 1 |
| 48 | JORDAN MCBURNEY | 1 | 6 | 54 | 9.0 | 0 |
| 8 | JAKE ROGERS | 3 | 15 | 38 | 2.5 | 0 |
| 13 | JADON JENKINS | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 99 | 439 | 4.4 | 2 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| 2 | JADEN BALDWIN | 3 | 24 | 220 | 9.2 | 2 |
| 6 | NOAH ROBERTS | 3 | 13 | 107 | 8.2 | 2 |
| 88 | MAKAI NELSON | 3 | 6 | 100 | 16.7 | 2 |
| 3 | CHRISTIAN DIAZ | 3 | 3 | 46 | 15.3 | 0 |
| 14 | TRISTAN SAILER | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 |
| 17 | JUSTIN MILLER | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 49 | 486 | 9.9 | 6 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| 4 | TAYLAN PATTERSON | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | MARC DUERSON | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 0 | KYSER WILSON | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 36 | JAYDEN TYUS | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TREY KENNARD | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | JAYDEN JAMERSON | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 38 | AHMAD JONES | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | GEREMIAH GRIMES | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| TEAM TOTALS | 3 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 12-1 | 468 | 184 | 36.0 |
| 2023 | 10-2 | 484 | 280 | 40.3 |
| 2024 | 11-2 | 492 | 261 | 37.8 |
| 2025 | 12-1 | 485 | 174 | 37.3 |
| 2026 | 6-2 | 261 | 168 | 32.6 |
| 2022-26 | 51-8 | 37.1 |
Basha beat Brophy College Prep 42-17 at home on Friday, October 23, its 5th straight win. Basha split 560 yards between 337 on the ground and 223 through the air, and the defense turned a 207-yard night for Brophy College Prep into 17 points.
In the 5-game winning streak it has forced 5.0 turnovers and given the ball away 2.0 times. Basha is 6-2, #3 AZ section. Up next: at Salpointe Catholic, Fri Oct 30.
Download a graphic to share:
Final + team statsFinal + top performersScoreboard + takeaways| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/29 | CHANDLER | vs | W | 37-26 | |
| 09/04 | ORANGE LUTHERAN | at | L | 17-23 | |
| 09/11 | PINNACLE | at | L | 7-40 | |
| 09/18 | LIBERTY | vs | W | 30-22 | |
| 09/25 | RED MOUNTAIN | at | W | 35-12 | |
| 10/09 | WESTWOOD | vs | W | 48-7 | |
| 10/16 | MESA | at | W | 45-21 | |
| 10/23 | BROPHY COLLEGE PREP | vs | W | 42-17 | |
| 10/30 | SALPOINTE CATHOLIC | at | PROJ | 46-4 | 98.3% |
| 11/06 | PERRY | vs | PROJ | 31-23 | 65.7% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 6-2 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 6-2 so far | 8-2 (72%) | 7.7-2.3 |
| League | 2-0 so far | 2-0 (100%) | 2.0-0.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 32.6 | 21.0 | 370.9 | 272.1 | 49.8 | 54.2 |
| HOME | 4 | 39.2 | 18.0 | 421.2 | 287.5 | 49.2 | 52.8 |
| ROAD | 4 | 26.0 | 24.0 | 320.5 | 256.8 | 50.2 | 55.8 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/29 | vs. Chandler | W 37-26 | 214 | 103 | 317 | 334 | 62 | 396 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1 |
| 9/4 | @ Orange Lutheran | L 17-23 | 177 | 72 | 249 | 112 | 166 | 278 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| 9/11 | @ Pinnacle | L 7-40 | 22 | 210 | 232 | 105 | 100 | 205 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7 |
| 9/18 | vs. Liberty | W 30-22 | 196 | 189 | 385 | 253 | 72 | 325 | 0 | -- | -- | 4 | +3 |
| 9/25 | @ Red Mountain | W 35-12 | 153 | 149 | 302 | 162 | 98 | 260 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/9 | vs. Westwood | W 48-7 | 300 | 123 | 423 | 78 | 144 | 222 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/16 | @ Mesa | W 45-21 | 300 | 199 | 499 | 220 | 64 | 284 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 10/23 | vs. Brophy College Prep | W 42-17 | 223 | 337 | 560 | 139 | 68 | 207 | -- | -- | -- | 1 | 0 |
| AVERAGES | 198.1 | 172.8 | 370.9 | 175.4 | 96.8 | 272.1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | -4 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (sacks/INT 3/8, sacks allowed 4/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 86.3/100 (+85 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 74.2/100 (+48 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 93.3/100 (-86 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 93.7/100 (-114 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.
COLLEGE COMMITMENTS
| PLAYER | POS | CLASS | COMMITTED TO | RATING |
| #74 JAKE HILDEBRAND | OT | Sr. | Arizona State | 4-star |
| #6 NOAH ROBERTS | RB | Sr. | Texas | 4-star |
| #91 ANITONI TAHI | DL | Sr. | Kansas State | 3-star |
| #10 CALEB JORDAN | Edge | Sr. | Nevada | 3-star |
| #75 DAJOHN YARBOROUGH | IOL | Sr. | California | 3-star |
| #2 JADEN BALDWIN | WR | Sr. | Pittsburgh | 3-star |
| #20 MIKEY BARTH | K | Sr. | Arizona State | 3-star |
| #5 T.K. CUNNINGHAM | Edge | Sr. | Purdue | 3-star |
| #4 TAYLAN PATTERSON | ATH | Sr. | Utah | 3-star |
9 committed players on the current BAS roster, per 247Sports. Players from earlier recruiting classes who have already graduated are not listed.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | at | SALPOINTE CATHOLIC | 3-5 | 18.5 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | PERRY | 6-2 | 43.2 |
LAST YEAR
BAS finished 2025 at 12-1. Made the playoffs (3 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 19-16 over LIBERTY (LIBERTY finished 83% that season). Toughest loss: 12-28 to HAMILTON (16-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-28 | BROPHY COLLEGE PREP | W | 1-0 | 42 | 6 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-05 | ORANGE LUTHERAN | W | 2-0 | 30 | 24 | 272 | 422 |
| 2025-09-12 | WILLIAMS FIELD | W | 3-0 | 42 | 14 | 364 | 279 |
| 2025-09-19 | MOUNTAIN VIEW | W | 4-0 | 31 | 13 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | QUEEN CREEK | W | 5-0 | 35 | 13 | 471 | 179 |
| 2025-10-03 | WESTWOOD | W | 6-0 | 56 | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-17 | SALPOINTE CATHOLIC | W | 7-0 | 58 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-24 | HAMILTON | L | 7-1 | 12 | 28 | 251 | 401 |
| 2025-10-31 | MESA | W | 8-1 | 41 | 33 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-06 | PERRY | W | 9-1 | 52 | 3 | 547 | 125 |
| 2025-11-21 | WILLIAMS FIELD | W | 10-1 | 33 | 10 | 369 | 329 |
| 2025-11-29 | LIBERTY | W | 11-1 | 19 | 16 | 331 | 246 |
| 2025-12-06 | CHANDLER | W | 12-1 | 34 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 13 GMS | 12-1 | 12-1 | 485 | 174 | 2605 (7) | 1981 (7) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• BAS rushes for 100+ yards (.923), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• BAS averages 6.0+ yards per play (.999), and has won 11 straight when doing so
• BAS averages 5.0+ yards per carry (.917), and has won 5 straight when doing so
• BAS averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.999), and has won 9 straight when doing so
• BAS's defense has limited opponents to under 5.0 YPC in 8 straight games (08/29/2026-10/23/2026), going 6-2 over that stretch.
• BAS's defense has limited opponents to under 7.0 YPP in 8 straight games (08/29/2026-10/23/2026), going 6-2 over that stretch.
• BAS's offense has averaged 0.3 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 1.5 giveaways per game. (-78%)
• BAS's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 1.2 takeaways per game. (-72%)
• BAS's offense has averaged 15.4 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 9.5 YPA. (+62%)
• BAS's defense has limited opponents to under 150 rush yds in 6 straight games (09/11/2026-10/23/2026), going 5-1 over that stretch.
• BAS's offense has averaged 12.5 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 7.9 YPP. (+59%)
• BAS's offense has averaged 9.6 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 6.5 YPC. (+49%)
• BAS's defense has limited opponents to under 8.0 YPA in 4 straight games (09/25/2026-10/23/2026), going 4-0 over that stretch.
• BAS holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards
• BAS averages 8.1+ yards per attempt (BAS's own median) (.999)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
BAS -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 25 scored; vs 539 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | YPA 8+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 40.8 | W9 | 0.886 |
| 2 | OFF | Pass Yds 200+ | 15-0 | 1.000 | 40.1 | W15 | 0.881 |
| 3 | OFF | YPP 7+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 41.5 | W8 | 0.880 |
| 4 | OFF | YPP 6+ | 11-0 | 1.000 | 37.8 | W11 | 0.840 |
| 5 | DEF | Rush Yds < 100 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 17.6 | W8 | 0.784 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- BAS ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| BAS holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 10-2 | .833 | 19.1 | W5 |
| BAS rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 9-2 | .818 | 30.9 | W2 |
| BAS holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry | 9-2 | .818 | 18.4 | W4 |
| BAS averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 7-1 | .875 | 35.8 | W3 |
| BAS holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 7-1 | .875 | 16.0 | W3 |
| BAS averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 7-0 | .999 | 39.9 | W7 |
| BAS averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards | 6-0 | .999 | 42.8 | W6 |
| BAS averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways | 5-0 | .999 | 42.6 | W5 |
| BAS holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 4-0 | .999 | 12.0 | W4 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| BAS | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 10-2 | .833 | 19.1 |
| BAS | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 9-2 | .818 | 30.9 |
| BAS | YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.0 | 9-2 | .818 | 18.4 |
| BAS | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 7-1 | .875 | 35.8 |
| BAS | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 7-1 | .875 | 16.0 |
| BAS | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 7-0 | .999 | 39.9 |
| BAS | YPA 8.0+ & Pass Yds 200+ | 6-0 | .999 | 42.8 |
| BAS | YPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 1 | 5-0 | .999 | 42.6 |
| BAS | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 4-0 | .999 | 12.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 40.8 | W9 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-4 | .500 | 22.5 | W1 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 15-0 | 1.000 | 40.1 | W15 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 9-5 | .643 | 28.7 | W2 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 24-2 | .923 | 36.2 | W5 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-3 | .000 | 20.7 | L3 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 14-1 | .933 | 35.8 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 10-4 | .714 | 33.4 | W2 | 5 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 11-1 | .917 | 34.8 | W5 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-3 | .400 | 25.8 | L1 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 11-0 | 1.000 | 37.8 | W11 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-4 | .333 | 21.8 | L2 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 41.5 | W8 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-4 | .556 | 23.9 | W2 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 8-3 | .727 | 29.3 | W2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 5-1 | .833 | 37.5 | W5 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-3 | .500 | 23.8 | L2 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-1 | .667 | 21.0 | L1 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-3 | .250 | 16.2 |
| Scores 20-29 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 15-0 | 1.000 | 34.5 |
| Scores 40+ | 13-0 | 1.000 | 47.8 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 42.5 | W4 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.8 | W1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 43.0 | W4 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.2 | W2 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 6-1 | .857 | 34.9 | W5 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 17.0 | L1 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 3-1 | .750 | 31.0 | W3 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-1 | .750 | 34.2 | W2 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 5-1 | .833 | 34.5 | W5 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 27.0 | L1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 40.0 | W5 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 20.3 | L2 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 45.0 | W3 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 25.2 | W2 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-2 | .600 | 26.6 | W2 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 42.7 | W3 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-2 | .333 | 20.3 | L2 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 22.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 17.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 45.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 23.8 | W1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 11-2 | .846 | 17.8 | W4 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 4-2 | .667 | 25.3 | W3 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 9-2 | .818 | 15.9 | W3 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 5-4 | .556 | 20.7 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 17.6 | W8 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-2 | .500 | 19.5 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 11-2 | .846 | 19.2 | W5 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 18.8 | W3 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 10-3 | .769 | 19.4 | W5 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-2 | .667 | 25.3 | W3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 9-2 | .818 | 15.9 | W3 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 13-3 | .812 | 18.7 | W5 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 8-2 | .800 | 17.2 | W2 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 5-2 | .714 | 22.1 | W3 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 17.6 | W5 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 | 17 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 4.4 |
| Allows 10-19 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 13.3 |
| Allows 20-29 | 8-2 | .800 | 23.7 |
| Allows 30-39 | 3-2 | .600 | 33.2 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 40.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 22.0 | W1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 20.9 | W4 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 23.0 | W3 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-2 | .600 | 19.8 | W3 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-2 | .333 | 23.3 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 19.6 | W5 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-1 | .000 | 23.0 | L1 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 6-1 | .857 | 20.7 | W5 |
| YPC 5.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPC < 5.0 | 6-2 | .750 | 21.0 | W5 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 23.0 | W3 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 19.8 | W3 |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP < 7.0 | 6-2 | .750 | 21.0 | W5 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-1 | .750 | 22.0 | W2 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-1 | .750 | 20.0 | W3 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.5 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-1 | .750 | 23.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 40.0 |
BASHA
• BASHA has gained 400+ total yards in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• BASHA has won by 20+ in 4 straight games (9/25/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• BASHA has scored 40+ in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• BASHA has held the opponent under 100 rushing in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 40.8 | W9 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 22.5 | W1 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 15 | 15-0 | 1.000 | 40.1 | W15 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 14 | 9-5 | .643 | 28.7 | W2 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 26 | 24-2 | .923 | 36.2 | W5 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 20.7 | L3 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 15 | 14-1 | .933 | 35.8 | W3 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 14 | 10-4 | .714 | 33.4 | W2 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 12 | 11-1 | .917 | 34.8 | W5 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 25.8 | L1 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 11 | 11-0 | 1.000 | 37.8 | W11 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 21.8 | L2 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 41.5 | W8 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 9 | 5-4 | .556 | 23.9 | W2 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 11 | 8-3 | .727 | 29.3 | W2 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 37.5 | W5 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 23.8 | L2 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 21.0 | L1 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 7.0 | L1 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 16.2 | L1 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 15 | 15-0 | 1.000 | 34.5 | W15 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 13 | 13-0 | 1.000 | 47.8 | W13 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 23.8 | W1 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 13 | 11-2 | .846 | 17.8 | W4 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 25.3 | W3 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 11 | 9-2 | .818 | 15.9 | W3 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 5-4 | .556 | 20.7 | W1 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 17.6 | W8 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.5 | L1 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 13 | 11-2 | .846 | 19.2 | W5 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 18.8 | W3 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 13 | 10-3 | .769 | 19.4 | W5 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 25.3 | W3 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 11 | 9-2 | .818 | 15.9 | W3 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 16 | 13-3 | .812 | 18.7 | W5 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 10 | 8-2 | .800 | 17.2 | W2 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 22.1 | W3 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 17.6 | W5 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 24.0 | W2 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 4.4 | W9 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 13.3 | W9 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 10 | 8-2 | .800 | 23.7 | W2 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 33.2 | W1 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 40.0 | L1 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 8 games | 08/29/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-2 |
| DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 games | 08/29/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-2 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-1 |
| OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-1 |
| DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-1 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 8 games | 08/29/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-2 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 games | 08/29/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-2 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-1 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-1 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-1 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-0 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| BAS | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
| BAS | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
BAS OFFENSE
BAS's offense has averaged 0.3 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 1.5 giveaways per game. (-78%)
BAS's offense has averaged 15.4 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 9.5 YPA. (+62%)
BAS's offense has averaged 12.5 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 7.9 YPP. (+59%)
BAS's offense has averaged 9.6 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 6.5 YPC. (+49%)
BAS's offense has averaged 219.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 170.2 rush yards per game. (+29%)
BAS's offense has averaged 494.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 387.9 total yards per game. (+27%)
BAS's offense has averaged 274.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 29-game average is 217.8 pass yards per game. (+26%)
BAS's offense has averaged 45.0 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 34-game average is 36.4 points scored per game. (+24%)
BAS DEFENSE
BAS's defense has averaged 0.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 17-game average is 1.2 takeaways per game. (-72%)
BAS's defense has averaged 89.2 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 17-game average is 112.6 rush yards per game. (-21%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| BAS | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 274.3 | 29 | 217.8 | +26.0% | |
| BAS | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 45.0 | 34 | 36.4 | +23.6% | |
| BAS | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 5 | 89.2 | 17 | 112.6 | -20.8% | |
| BAS | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 219.7 | 29 | 170.2 | +29.1% | |
| BAS | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 494.0 | 29 | 387.9 | +27.3% | |
| BAS | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.3 | 17 | 1.2 | -71.7% | |
| BAS | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.3 | 17 | 1.5 | -78.2% | |
| BAS | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 15.4 | 17 | 9.5 | +61.9% | |
| BAS | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 9.6 | 17 | 6.5 | +48.6% | |
| BAS | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 12.5 | 17 | 7.9 | +58.9% |
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- 39.5 in 2022 to 32.5 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
