In short: Manteca (6-3) at Chico (5-3), September 18, 2026 (CIF-SS high school football). Final: Chico 14, Manteca 50. The full report has the projection, unit grades, storylines, pregame notes, Big Game Watch, series history, season stats and both rosters.
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MANTECA | 61.8 (+10.2) | 89.0 (+110.1) | 84.7 (-59.2) | 90.4 (-98.8) |
| CHICO | 36.4 (-42.4) | 81.3 (+73.3) | 80.4 (-50.1) | 85.3 (-81.6) |
Rank chips: 1 = best in the pool; blue strong, red weak. Yardage and efficiency use games with a full box score on file; points and turnovers use every played game. Unit Index = opponent-adjusted 0-100 league percentile.
| COMPONENT | POINTS | WEIGHT | CONTRIBUTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength | +4.39 | 28% | +1.23 |
| Efficiency | +3.26 | 26% | +0.83 |
| Own Margin | +5.87 | 22% | +1.31 |
| Head To Head | +29.49 | 20% | +5.84 |
| Common Opponents | +15.45 | 4% | +0.69 |
| Garbage Time Margin | -- | 0% | +0.00 |
| EPA Efficiency | -- | 0% | +0.00 |
Mark players out to re-project this game. Each value is how much of the margin that player is worth, from this season's data (his share of his team's win shares). Estimates — your selections change only your view.
| CATEGORY | TEAM | PROJECTED |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | MANTECA | 89.1 |
| Passing | CHICO | 66.1 |
| Rushing | MANTECA | 118.5 |
| Rushing | CHICO | 90.1 |
| Total | MANTECA | 207.7 |
| Total | CHICO | 156.2 |
| MANTECA — PASSING | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| BRODY CARABELLO | 9.8/14.8 | 66.2% | 89.1 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 126.2 |
| MANTECA — RUSHING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| NIKKO JUAREZ | 16.5 | 82.6 | 5.0 | 1.3 |
| BRODY CARABELLO | 7.0 | 24.1 | 3.4 | 0.3 |
| EJ JOHNSON | 2.8 | 11.9 | 4.3 | 0.2 |
| TOTALS | 26.3 | 118.5 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| MANTECA — RECEIVING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | YPC | TD |
| JAYLIN HARRIS | 2.3 | 30.7 | 13.4 | 0.3 |
| JAYDEN HARRIS | 1.3 | 23.2 | 17.8 | 0.3 |
| JAYDEN HARRIS | 1.2 | 21.2 | 18.0 | 0.3 |
| NIKKO JUAREZ | 1.1 | 14.0 | 13.2 | 0.1 |
| TOTALS | 5.8 | 89.1 | 15.3 | 1.0 |
| CHICO — PASSING | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| JAKE DETMER | 3.0/5.3 | 55.9% | 35.8 | 6.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 118.6 |
| JOHN BERNARDEZ | 3.0/6.7 | 45.0% | 30.3 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 85.3 |
| TOTALS | 6.0/12.0 | 49.8% | 66.1 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 100.0 |
| CHICO — RUSHING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| JOHN BERNARDEZ | 17.2 | 48.3 | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| JAXXON TWEEDT | 7.6 | 21.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| CALEB IULI | 8.0 | 20.8 | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| TOTALS | 32.9 | 90.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| CHICO — RECEIVING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | YPC | TD |
| COLTON KESSLER | 2.5 | 42.0 | 17.1 | 0.4 |
| ATI TOGAFAU | 2.4 | 24.1 | 10.1 | 0.0 |
| TOTALS | 4.8 | 66.1 | 13.6 | 0.4 |
The first meeting between these two hinged on a single stat: Chico's pass defense. The Panthers allowed 11.8 yards per pass attempt (141 yards on 12 attempts) against Manteca on 9/18, well above their 6.0 mark in every other game this season. Chico lost the game 50-14. A pass defense number closer to Chico's norm would go a long way toward flipping the result this time.
Something changed for Manteca's ball security after its first 4 games. Manteca committed 0.8 giveaways per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #25 in Section during that period. In the 5 games since that hot start (4-1), the Buffaloes have committed 1.6 giveaways per game, a 113% rise, #107 in Section during that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Manteca's last 5 opponents have averaged 1.6 per game, a #56 defense in Section on the season, against 1.4 per game, #73 for the first 4. On the season, Manteca ranks #64 in Section in giveaways. Chico's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #20 in Section (1.5 per game).
Chico allowed 31.8 points per game over its first 4 games (1-3), #30 in Section over that period. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Panthers have allowed 12.2 points per game, a 61% drop, #11 in Section over that timeframe. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Chico's last 4 opponents have averaged 21.5 points per game, a #23 offense in Section on the season, against 37.2 points per game, #7 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (21.5 points per game), Chico held those offenses 43% below what they usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #11 in Section, well below the first 4 (#1), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Only ScorePirate CIF Northern Section #2 Foothill broke through in that span, putting up 27 on 10/23. On the season, Chico ranks #19 in Section in scoring defense. That form gets a real test against Manteca, whose offense ranks #11 in Section (40.8 points per game).
Few teams in Section have stopped the run better over the last 4 games than Chico. The Panthers allowed 6.8 yards per carry (690 yards on 101 rushes) over their first 4 games (1-3), #30 in Section over that span. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), Chico has allowed 2.7 yards per carry (277 yards on 101 rushes), a 60% drop, #2 in Section in that timeframe. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Chico's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.5 yards per carry, a #29 rushing attack in Section on the season, against 7.0 yards per carry, #12 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.5 yards per carry), Chico held those rushing attacks 50% below their usual yards per carry. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #11 in Section, well below the first 4 (#1), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, the Panthers rank #6 in Section in run defense. That form gets a real test against Manteca, whose ground game ranks #31 in Section (7.5 yards per carry).
One of Manteca's most reliable areas lately has been its offense. The Buffaloes averaged 28.7 points per game over their first 3 games (1-2), #57 in Section in that window. In the 6 games since that slow start (5-1), Manteca has averaged 46.8 points per game, a 63% rise, #6 in Section during that time. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Manteca's last 6 opponents have averaged 24.7 points per game, a #70 scoring defense in Section on the season, against 28.2 points per game, #90 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (24.7 points per game), Manteca scored 90% more than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #44 in Section, well below the first 3 (#21), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, the Buffaloes rank #11 in Section in scoring. Chico's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #19 in Section (22.0 points per game).
Manteca's defense has allowed more points as the weeks have passed. Manteca allowed 19.2 points per game over its first 6 games (4-2), #36 in Section through those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (2-1), the Buffaloes have allowed 30.3 points per game, a 58% rise, #96 in Section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 27.5 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (27.3 points per game), Manteca allowed 11% more than those offenses usually score. Overall, those opponents have been strong teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank #30 in Section. On the season, Manteca ranks #62 in Section in scoring defense. Chico's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #17 in Section (26.1 points per game). Manteca is 5-0 this season when it holds opponents under 27, and 1-3 when it doesn't.
The turnover battle has the potential to swing this matchup, with the recent returns favoring Manteca. Manteca forced 0.5 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #127 in Section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (4-1), the Buffaloes have forced 1.4 takeaways per game, a 180% rise, #54 in Section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Manteca's last 5 opponents have averaged 1.5 per game, a #99 offense in Section on the season, against 1.0 per game, #53 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.5 per game), Manteca forced 8% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Conversely, Chico's ball security has been one of Section's better units in recent weeks. The Panthers have committed 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 5 games (4-1), #9 in Section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of defenses in Section (1.4 per game on the season, which would rank #24). Against those norms, Chico turned it over 28% less than those defenses usually force. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #7 in Section, a strong slate. Something has to give when Manteca's surging defense meets one of Section's better units in Chico's.
If there's one number to watch in this matchup, it's Chico's scoring. Chico averaged 17.0 points per game over its first 4 games (1-3), #29 in Section through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (4-0), the Panthers have averaged 35.2 points per game, a 107% rise, #10 in Section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 24.7 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (25.5 points per game), Chico scored 38% more than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #11 in Section, well below the first 4 (#1), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Meanwhile, Manteca's defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Buffaloes have allowed 22.8 points per game over their last 4 games (3-1), #59 in Section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in Section (21.5 points per game on the season, which would rank #100). Against those norms, Manteca allowed 6% more than those offenses usually score. Manteca offers Chico a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Chico is 5-0 this season when it scores 23 or more, and 0-3 when it doesn't.
The Manteca ground game of late is barely reminiscent of the one that began the season. Manteca averaged 5.6 yards per carry (804 yards on 143 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #82 in Section within that period. In the 5 games since that slow start (4-1), the Buffaloes have averaged 9.8 yards per carry (1,172 yards on 120 rushes), a 74% rise, #11 in Section across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Manteca's last 5 opponents have averaged 6.1 yards per carry, a #76 run defense in Section on the season, against 5.0 yards per carry, #40 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.1 yards per carry), Manteca ran for 60% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Conversely, Chico's run defense has been one of Section's better units in recent weeks. The Panthers have allowed 3.8 yards per carry (520 yards on 137 rushes) over their last 5 games (4-1), #3 in Section during those games. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of rushing attacks in Section (5.9 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #23). Against those norms, Chico held those rushing attacks 35% below their usual yards per carry. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #7 in Section, a strong slate. Something has to give when Manteca's surging ground game meets one of Section's better units in Chico's.
• Club Chico has gone 22 straight games being held under 200 passing yards (August 22, 2025 through October 23, 2026), going 16-6 over that stretch, a school-record 22 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Manteca went a game being held under 100 rushing yards was November 17, 2023 against St. Mary's (L, 12-41). Since then Manteca has gone 33 straight games rushing for 100+ yards, a school-record 33 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Chico has gone 15 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (October 24, 2025 through October 23, 2026), going 10-5 over that stretch, a school-record 15 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Manteca has won 2 straight, and a win would make it 3 in a row. The last time they won 3 or more in a row was 2026, a run of 4.
• Club Manteca is 37-2 all time when holding the opponent under 200 passing yards. Manteca's last loss when holding the opponent under 200 passing yards was August 28, 2026 against Saint Francis (L, 23-31).
• Club Chico has gone 4 straight games holding the opponent under 5.0 yards per carry (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 4-0 over that stretch, a school-record 4 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Manteca is 36-1 all time when scoring 40+ points. Manteca's last loss when scoring 40+ points was October 21, 2022 against Central Catholic (L, 49-56).
• Club Manteca is 6-3 entering play against Chico, a start the program has had 1 time before in 5 seasons on record -- most recently 2023, which finished 8-4.
• Club Chico is 14-0 all time when holding the opponent under 10 points in the games on file (14 such games).
• Club Manteca is 34-2 all time when averaging 7.0+ yards per play. Manteca's last loss when averaging 7.0+ yards per play was October 20, 2023 against Central Catholic (L, 35-39).
• Club Chico has gone 10 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (November 29, 2025 through October 23, 2026), going 6-4 over that stretch, the program's longest such streak since 2025 (45 games).
• Series Manteca leads the all-time series with Chico 1-0, across 1 meetings dating to 2026.
• Club Manteca is 32-2 all time when holding the opponent under 8.0 yards per attempt. Manteca's last loss when holding the opponent under 8.0 yards per attempt was August 28, 2026 against Saint Francis (L, 23-31).
• Club Chico has scored 141 points over its last 4 games (35.2 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 4th-highest 4-game total on record; the most is 153, from September 12, 2025 through October 10, 2025.
• Club Manteca has allowed 91 points over its last 3 games (30.3 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 5th-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 118, from November 26, 2022 through August 18, 2023.
• Club Chico has gone 4 straight games holding the opponent under 8.0 yards per attempt (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 4-0 over that stretch, the program's longest such streak since 2024 (5 games).
• Club Manteca has gone 4 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 3-1 over that stretch, the program's longest such streak since 2026 (6 games).
• Player Jaxxon Tweedt has 311 rushing yards over his last 3 games (103.7 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Nikko Juarez has gone 2 straight games rushing for 100+ yards, the 4th-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 8 straight games rushing for 100+ yards, during the 2025 season.
• Player Jaxxon Tweedt has 8 rushing touchdowns over his last 3 games (2.7 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Nikko Juarez has gone 2 straight games running for a touchdown, the 5th-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 14 straight games running for a touchdown, during the 2026 season.
• Player John Bernardez has never had a game throwing for 200+ yards for Chico, over a 19-game career on record. His career high is 168, set October 24, 2025 against Shasta (W, 40-10).
• Player Brody Carabello has gone 2 straight games running for a touchdown, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 4 straight games running for a touchdown, during the 2026 season.
• Player Brixton Menchaca has 27 tackles over his last 3 games (9.0 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch since the 27 he had from August 28, 2026 through September 11, 2026.
• Player Jeremiah Orona has never had a game making 10 or more tackles for Manteca, over a 13-game career on record. His career high is 9, set October 23, 2026 against Oakdale (W, 43-35).
FULL ROSTER ↓(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
--- MANTECA ---
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 6-3 so far | 7-3 (77%) | 6.8-3.2 |
| League | 4-1 so far | 4-1 (100%) | 4.0-1.0 |
--- CHICO ---
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 5-3 so far | 6-4 (49%) | 6.2-3.8 |
| League | 3-0 so far | 3-0 (100%) | 3.0-0.0 |
• MAN's offense has exceeded 100 rush yds in 9 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 6-3 over that stretch.
• MAN's offense has exceeded 150 rush yds in 9 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 6-3 over that stretch.
• CHI's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 8 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 5-3 over that stretch.
• MAN's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 7 straight games (09/11/2026-10/23/2026), going 6-1 over that stretch.
• CHI's defense has averaged 52.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 120.9 rush yards per game. (-56%)
• MAN averages 6.8+ yards per carry (MAN's own median) (.999)
• MAN averages 7.8+ yards per play (MAN's own median) (.999)
• CHI holds its opponents under 4.0 yards per carry (CHI's own median) (.999)
• CHI's offense has exceeded 5.0 YPC in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/23/2026), going 4-1 over that stretch.
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
MAN -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 4 of 4 scored; vs 95 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | YPA 8+ | 6-2 | .750 | 44.2 | W6 | 0.808 |
| 2 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 5-3 | .625 | 24.9 | W2 | 0.365 |
| 3 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 6-3 | .667 | 40.8 | W2 | 0.269 |
| 4 | OFF | Rush Yds 150+ | 6-3 | .667 | 40.8 | W2 | 0.233 |
CHI -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 3 of 3 scored; vs 95 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Pass Yds < 200 | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | W4 | 0.565 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | W4 | 0.532 |
| 3 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | W4 | 0.435 |
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 4)
MAN: 1 of 9 game(s) came against a tracked opponent; that opponent's own win% averaged .625 across those game(s).
CHI: 1 of 8 game(s) came against a tracked opponent; that opponent's own win% averaged .667 across those game(s).
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- MAN ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 6-1 | .857 | 44.3 | W2 |
| MAN averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 | W6 |
| MAN averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 | W6 |
| MAN holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 5-0 | .999 | 8.4 | W5 |
| MAN averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways | 5-0 | .999 | 50.0 | W5 |
--- CHI ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CHI rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | W4 |
| CHI averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 5-0 | .999 | 35.0 | W5 |
| CHI averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 5-0 | .999 | 35.0 | W5 |
| CHI holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry | 5-0 | .999 | 14.0 | W5 |
| CHI holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 5-0 | .999 | 14.0 | W5 |
| CHI holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 4-0 | .999 | 10.8 | W4 |
| CHI holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 4-0 | .999 | 17.5 | W4 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| MAN | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 6-1 | .857 | 44.3 |
| MAN | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 |
| MAN | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 |
| MAN | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 5-0 | .999 | 8.4 |
| MAN | YPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 1 | 5-0 | .999 | 50.0 |
| CHI | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 |
| CHI | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 5-0 | .999 | 35.0 |
| CHI | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 5-0 | .999 | 35.0 |
| CHI | YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.0 | 5-0 | .999 | 14.0 |
| CHI | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 5-0 | .999 | 14.0 |
| CHI | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 4-0 | .999 | 10.8 |
| CHI | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 4-0 | .999 | 17.5 |
The next meeting brings together Manteca (6-3 this season) and Chico (5-3). Manteca leads the recent series 1-0 over the last 1 meetings. In the most recent meeting, on September 18, 2026, Manteca pulled away 50-14.
In the process of winning 6 of its last 7 entering play, Manteca's pass protection has been the team's calling card (kept the quarterback clean in 5 straight games, 4-1 in that stretch). That carried into last time out, the Buffaloes handling Oakdale 43-35. In the process of winning 5 of its last 7 entering play, Chico's ball security has been the team's calling card (committed no more than one giveaway in 9 of its last 10, 6-4 in that stretch). That carried into last time out, the Panthers handling Foothill 33-27.
The matchup within the matchup pairs Manteca's pass protection with Chico's pass rush. Manteca's pass protection has been playing at a high level over the Buffaloes' last 5 games. The offensive line has kept the quarterback clean in 5 straight games, averaging 0.0 sacks allowed per game (including a low of 0 in that span vs. Patterson). That is 100% below the Buffaloes' baseline of 0.7 per game over the 26 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Buffaloes have gone 4-1 in that stretch. The matchup when the two meet lines up in Manteca's favor. Chico's pass rush has been a real vulnerability over the Panthers' last 7 games. The defense has recorded fewer than 3 sacks in 7 straight games, averaging 0.3 sacks per game (including a low of 0 in that span vs. Woodcreek). That is 67% below the Panthers' baseline of 0.9 per game over the 24 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Panthers have gone 4-3 in that stretch.
WEAKNESS VS. WEAKNESS — Something has to give when the two meet. Manteca's pass defense has been a real vulnerability over the Buffaloes' last 10 games, dating back to last season. Despite holding its opponents under 200 passing yards in 7 of the 10 games, the defense has averaged just 159.5 passing yards allowed per game (including a high of 243 in that span vs. Central Catholic). That is 69% above the Buffaloes' baseline of 94.5 yards per game over the 20 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Buffaloes have gone 6-4 in that stretch. On the other side, Chico's passing attack has been a real vulnerability over the Panthers' last 5 games. The offense has failed to reach 200 passing yards in 5 straight games, averaging 74.2 passing yards per game (including a low of 0 in that span vs. Foothill). That is 26% below the Panthers' baseline of 100.5 yards per game over the 26 games prior — a clear drop; the Panthers have gone 4-1 in that stretch.
ONE-SIDED — Chico's rushing offense has been playing at a high level over the Panthers' last 10 games, dating back to last season. The ground game has eclipsed 200 rushing yards in 6 of the 10 games while averaging 227.1 rushing yards per game (including a high of 359 in that span vs. Foothill). That is 41% above the Panthers' baseline of 161.4 yards per game over the 22 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Panthers have gone 6-4 in that stretch. When the two meet, that trend meets Manteca. Manteca has averaged 121.9 yards per game on the other side of that matchup across its games on file.
ONE-SIDED — Chico's rush defense has been playing at a high level over the Panthers' last 5 games. The defense has held its opponents under 100 rushing yards in 3 of the 5 games while averaging 104.0 rushing yards allowed per game (including a low of 45 in that span vs. Shasta). That is 39% below the Panthers' baseline of 170.5 yards per game over the 26 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Panthers have gone 4-1 in that stretch. When the two meet, that trend meets Manteca. Manteca has averaged 258.6 yards per game on the other side of that matchup across its games on file.
ONE-SIDED — Chico's pass defense has been playing at a high level over the Panthers' last 7 games. The defense has held its opponents under 200 passing yards in 6 of the 7 games while averaging 95.1 passing yards allowed per game (including a low of 16 in that span vs. Corning). That is 25% below the Panthers' baseline of 126.7 yards per game over the 24 games prior — a clear drop; the Panthers have gone 5-2 in that stretch. When the two meet, that trend meets Manteca. Manteca has averaged 109.5 yards per game on the other side of that matchup across its games on file.
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 6-2 | .750 | 44.2 | W6 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 28.5 | L2 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-1 | .857 | 44.3 | W2 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 6-3 | .667 | 40.8 | W2 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 6-3 | .667 | 40.8 | W2 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPC 5.0+ | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 | W6 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 18.0 | L2 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 | W6 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 18.0 | L2 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 49.5 | W6 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 23.3 | L3 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-3 | .250 | 29.2 | L1 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W5 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-2 | .333 | 27.7 | L1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 30.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 31.2 | W3 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 17.7 | W1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | W4 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | W4 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 | W5 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-3 | .000 | 11.3 | L3 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 5-1 | .833 | 31.5 | W4 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 10.0 | L2 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 5-1 | .833 | 31.5 | W4 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 10.0 | L2 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 29.5 | W2 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.8 | W2 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-2 | .600 | 25.2 | W3 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 27.7 | W1 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 36.8 | W1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 4-1 | .800 | 11.8 | W4 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 49.0 | L2 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-1 | .857 | 15.4 | W6 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-3 | .500 | 30.8 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W3 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-3 | .250 | 41.0 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W5 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-3 | .571 | 27.4 | W1 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W2 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-3 | .571 | 27.4 | W1 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W2 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-3 | .500 | 30.8 | W1 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W3 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 | L1 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W3 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 50.0 | L1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 18.0 | W4 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-3 | .571 | 21.3 | W3 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-3 | .250 | 26.5 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 17.5 | W4 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | L3 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | L3 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | L3 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 39.0 | L2 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 5-1 | .833 | 16.3 | W5 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-2 | .667 | 19.8 | W3 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 28.5 | W1 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-2 | .500 | 24.5 | W2 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 34.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 53.6 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 4.7 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 33.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-2 | .000 | 49.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-2 | .000 | 14.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 3.5 |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 2-2 | .500 | 26.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 50.0 |
MANTECA
• MANTECA has had a player score 3+ TDs in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not had a player score 3+ TDs in 3 straight since 10/10/25–10/24/25 (2025).
• MANTECA has scored 40+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not scored 40+ in 3 straight since 9/18/26–10/2/26 (2026). It has reached 3 straight 4 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 8 straight (2025) in that span.
• MANTECA has rushed for 200+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not rushed for 200+ in 3 straight since 9/18/26–10/2/26 (2026). It has reached 3 straight 4 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 8 straight (2024) in that span.
• MANTECA has scored 30+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not scored 30+ in 3 straight since 9/18/26–10/2/26 (2026). It has reached 3 straight 4 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 8 straight (2024) in that span.
CHICO
• CHICO has held the opponent under 100 rushing in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• CHICO has scored 30+ in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• CHICO has been held under 100 passing in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• CHICO has forced 2+ turnovers in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not forced 2+ turnovers in 3 straight since 8/29/25–10/10/25 (2025).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 8 | 6-2 | .750 | 44.2 | W6 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 28.5 | L2 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 44.3 | W2 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 6-3 | .667 | 40.8 | W2 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 | 6-3 | .667 | 40.8 | W2 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 | W6 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 18.0 | L2 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 | W6 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 18.0 | L2 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 49.5 | W6 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 23.3 | L3 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 29.2 | L1 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W5 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 27.7 | L1 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 30.0 | L1 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 26.0 | W1 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 34.0 | L1 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 53.6 | W5 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 36.8 | W1 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 11.8 | W4 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 49.0 | L2 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 15.4 | W6 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 30.8 | W1 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W3 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 41.0 | W1 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W5 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 27.4 | W1 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W2 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 27.4 | W1 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W2 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 30.8 | W1 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W3 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 | L1 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W3 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 4.7 | W3 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W2 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 33.0 | W1 |
| MAN | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 49.0 | L2 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 31.2 | W3 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 17.7 | W1 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | W4 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | W4 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 | W5 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 11.3 | L3 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 31.5 | W4 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 10.0 | L2 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 31.5 | W4 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 10.0 | L2 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 29.5 | W2 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.8 | W2 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 25.2 | W3 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 27.7 | W1 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 | L1 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 14.0 | L2 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 | W5 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 50.0 | L1 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 18.0 | W4 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W1 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 21.3 | W3 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 26.5 | W1 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 17.5 | W4 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | L3 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | L3 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | L3 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 39.0 | L2 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 16.3 | W5 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 19.8 | W3 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 28.5 | W1 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 24.5 | W2 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W1 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 3.5 | W2 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 26.0 | W1 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 50.0 | L1 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-3 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-3 |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-1 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-3 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-3 |
| OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-1 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-1 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-3 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 9 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-3 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-1 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-3 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-3 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-1 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-1 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| CHI | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
Each pair of rows above is tinted by the gap between the two teams' win% in that scenario, judged for the HOME team (the bottom row):
GRAY = negligible gap (.000-.050)
PURPLE = solid gap (.051-.150)
GREEN = big gap (.151+), favoring the home team
RED = big gap (.151+), against the home team
| YPC 5.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | OVER | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 | W6 |
| CHI | DEF | OVER | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | L3 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | UNDER | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 18.0 | L2 |
| CHI | DEF | UNDER | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| YPA 8.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | OVER | 8 | 6-2 | .750 | 44.2 | W6 |
| CHI | DEF | OVER | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 50.0 | L1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | UNDER | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 |
| CHI | DEF | UNDER | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 18.0 | W4 |
| 200 PASS YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | OVER | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 28.5 | L2 |
| CHI | DEF | OVER | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | UNDER | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 44.3 | W2 |
| CHI | DEF | UNDER | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 21.3 | W3 |
| 0 TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | ZERO | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | W5 |
| CHI | DEF | ZERO | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 28.5 | W1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | OVER | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 29.2 | L1 |
| CHI | DEF | OVER | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 19.8 | W3 |
| 2+ TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | OVER | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 27.7 | L1 |
| CHI | DEF | OVER | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 24.5 | W2 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | UNDER | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 47.3 | W5 |
| CHI | DEF | UNDER | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 19.5 | W2 |
| >2 TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | OVER | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 30.0 | L1 |
| CHI | DEF | OVER | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | W1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | OFF | UNDER | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 43.9 | W5 |
| CHI | DEF | UNDER | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 21.3 | W3 |
| 150 RUSH YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | OVER | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 41.0 | W1 |
| CHI | OFF | OVER | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 | W5 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | UNDER | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W5 |
| CHI | OFF | UNDER | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 11.3 | L3 |
| YPC 5.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | OVER | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 27.4 | W1 |
| CHI | OFF | OVER | 6 | 5-1 | .833 | 31.5 | W4 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | UNDER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W2 |
| CHI | OFF | UNDER | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 10.0 | L2 |
| YPA 8.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | OVER | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 36.8 | W1 |
| CHI | OFF | OVER | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 31.2 | W3 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | UNDER | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 11.8 | W4 |
| CHI | OFF | UNDER | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 17.7 | W1 |
| 0 TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | ZERO | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 | L1 |
| CHI | OFF | ZERO | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 27.7 | W1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | OVER | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W5 |
| CHI | OFF | OVER | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 25.2 | W3 |
| 2+ TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | OVER | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W3 |
| CHI | OFF | OVER | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 14.0 | L1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| MAN | DEF | UNDER | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 30.8 | W2 |
| CHI | OFF | UNDER | 7 | 5-2 | .714 | 27.9 | W4 |
MAN OFFENSE
MAN's offense has averaged 1.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.2 giveaways per game. (+36%)
MAN's offense has averaged 13.6 YPC over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 10.1 YPC. (+34%)
MAN's offense has averaged 12.7 YPP over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 10.1 YPP. (+26%)
MAN's offense has averaged 8.4 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 11.0 YPA. (-23%)
CHI OFFENSE
CHI's offense has averaged 35.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 26.1 points scored per game. (+35%)
CHI's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 8-game average is 0.8 giveaways per game. (+33%)
CHI's offense has averaged 53.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 74.0 pass yards per game. (-28%)
CHI's offense has averaged 260.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 205.8 rush yards per game. (+27%)
MAN DEFENSE
MAN's defense has averaged 1.4 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 1.0 takeaways per game. (+40%)
MAN's defense has averaged 13.0 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 9.7 YPA. (+34%)
MAN's defense has averaged 30.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 22.9 points allowed per game. (+33%)
MAN's defense has averaged 188.7 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 150.9 pass yards per game. (+25%)
MAN's defense has averaged 368.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 296.9 total yards per game. (+24%)
MAN's defense has averaged 179.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 146.0 rush yards per game. (+23%)
CHI DEFENSE
CHI's defense has averaged 52.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 120.9 rush yards per game. (-56%)
CHI's defense has averaged 2.3 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 4.6 YPC. (-50%)
CHI's defense has averaged 146.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 104.0 pass yards per game. (+40%)
CHI's defense has averaged 2.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.5 takeaways per game. (+33%)
CHI's defense has averaged 16.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 22.0 points allowed per game. (-26%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 2, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- GAME PROJECTION -- FULL DETAIL (report pages 1-2)
Library-native projection: computed directly from the game library (slate_projection.SlateEngine), not the Excel workbook engine. This section does not yet include: an outside Strength Index cross-check (computer/CCCAA rankings -- workbook-only).
Note 2 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Note 4 -- OPPONENT STRENGTH (best-effort) -- why this is often empty
Only meaningful for a game against an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team on this workbook -- with just a couple of teams tracked, that's rare (mainly a direct matchup between them, if this run covers both); every other opponent has no win% on file here at all, so most of a team's schedule simply has no strength data to show.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- MATCHUP CONFLICTS — TAB-SEPARATED (13 columns)
| Team1 | Side1 | Split1 | Record1 | Win%1 | PPG1 | Team2 | Side2 | Split2 | Record2 | Win%2 | PPG2 | Relevance |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 | MAN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | 1.000 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 18.0 | CHI | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | 1.000 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 18.0 | CHI | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 35.3 | 1.000 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 23.3 | CHI | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 39.0 | 1.000 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | CHI | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 50.0 | 1.000 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 | CHI | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | 0.857 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6-1 | .857 | 47.3 | CHI | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | 0.857 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 6-1 | .857 | 44.3 | CHI | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 27.0 | 0.857 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 49.5 | CHI | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5-1 | .833 | 16.3 | 0.833 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5-1 | .833 | 31.5 | MAN | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | 0.833 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5-1 | .833 | 31.5 | MAN | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | 0.833 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 0-3 | .000 | 11.3 | MAN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1-3 | .250 | 41.0 | 0.750 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 29.5 | MAN | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | 0.750 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 6-3 | .667 | 40.8 | CHI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | 0.667 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 6-3 | .667 | 40.8 | CHI | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 17.5 | 0.667 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 50.0 | CHI | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4-2 | .667 | 19.8 | 0.667 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 27.7 | MAN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | 0.667 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | MAN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | 0.625 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 5-3 | .625 | 26.1 | MAN | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 49.0 | 0.625 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 31.2 | MAN | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4-1 | .800 | 11.8 | 0.600 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 0-2 | .000 | 28.5 | CHI | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4-3 | .571 | 21.3 | 0.571 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 10.0 | MAN | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4-3 | .571 | 27.4 | 0.571 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 10.0 | MAN | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4-3 | .571 | 27.4 | 0.571 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 6-2 | .750 | 44.2 | CHI | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 5-2 | .714 | 18.0 | 0.464 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3-2 | .600 | 25.2 | MAN | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 | 0.350 |
| MAN | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 1-3 | .250 | 29.2 | CHI | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 1-1 | .500 | 28.5 | 0.250 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 17.7 | MAN | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2-2 | .500 | 36.8 | 0.167 |
| CHI | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 22.8 | MAN | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3-3 | .500 | 30.8 | 0.000 |
Data Export 2 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| CHI | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 146.0 | 8 | 104.0 | +40.4% | |
| CHI | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 53.3 | 8 | 74.0 | -27.9% | |
| CHI | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 16.3 | 8 | 22.0 | -25.8% | |
| CHI | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 35.3 | 8 | 26.1 | +35.2% | |
| CHI | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 52.7 | 8 | 120.9 | -56.4% | |
| CHI | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 260.7 | 8 | 205.8 | +26.7% | |
| CHI | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 2.0 | 8 | 1.5 | +33.3% | |
| CHI | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 1.0 | 8 | 0.8 | +33.3% | |
| CHI | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 2.3 | 8 | 4.6 | -50.0% | |
| MAN | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 188.7 | 9 | 150.9 | +25.0% | |
| MAN | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 30.3 | 9 | 22.9 | +32.5% | |
| MAN | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 179.3 | 9 | 146.0 | +22.8% | |
| MAN | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 368.0 | 9 | 296.9 | +24.0% | |
| MAN | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.0 | +40.0% | |
| MAN | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.7 | 9 | 1.2 | +36.4% | |
| MAN | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 13.0 | 9 | 9.7 | +33.7% | |
| MAN | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 8.4 | 9 | 11.0 | -23.4% | |
| MAN | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 5 | 13.6 | 9 | 10.1 | +34.5% | |
| MAN | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 5 | 12.7 | 9 | 10.1 | +25.6% |
| # | NAME | POS | CLASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUARTERBACKS | |||
| 2 | BRODY CARABELLO PASS 94/133 · 70.7% · 1,316 YDS · 9.9 YPA · 12 TD · 5 INT · 146.2/G RUSH 77 CAR · 493 YDS · 6.4 YPC · 6 TD · 54.8/G | QB | Jr. |
| 11 | JOHHNY SANTILLANEZ VALDEZ PASS 4/6 · 66.7% · 38 YDS · 6.3 YPA · 1 TD · 0 INT · 12.7/G | QB | Sr. |
| RUNNING BACKS | |||
| 8 | EJ JOHNSON RUSH 28 CAR · 224 YDS · 8.0 YPC · 4 TD · 24.9/G REC 4 REC · 29 YDS · 7.2 YPC · 0 TD · 3.2/G DEF 53 TKL · 5.9 TKL/G · 5 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 1 INT | RB | So. |
| 10 | KARON GRISHAM RUSH 14 CAR · 96 YDS · 6.9 YPC · 0 TD · 13.7/G DEF 12 TKL · 1.7 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | RB | Jr. |
| 23 | MANUEL LOPEZ RUSH 6 CAR · 25 YDS · 4.2 YPC · 0 TD · 8.3/G DEF 3 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | RB | Sr. |
| 32 | NIKKO JUAREZ RUSH 131 CAR · 984 YDS · 7.5 YPC · 19 TD · 109.3/G REC 17 REC · 219 YDS · 12.9 YPC · 1 TD · 24.3/G DEF 30 TKL · 3.3 TKL/G · 9 TFL · 10.0 SACKS · 0 INT | RB | Sr. |
| RECEIVERS & TIGHT ENDS | |||
| 7 | KENDHAL SWEET-MALLORY REC 2 REC · 20 YDS · 10.0 YPC · 0 TD · 2.9/G DEF 16 TKL · 2.3 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT | WR | Jr. |
| 13 | JAYLIN HARRIS RUSH 1 CAR · 0 YDS · 0.0 YPC · 0 TD · 0.0/G REC 45 REC · 604 YDS · 13.4 YPC · 6 TD · 67.1/G DEF 25 TKL · 2.8 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | WR | Sr. |
| 17 | DAMIEN SHORT REC 1 REC · 0 YDS · 0.0 YPC · 0 TD · 0.0/G | WR | Jr. |
| OFFENSIVE LINE | |||
| 51 | JULIAN RAMIREZ DEF 11 TKL · 3.7 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 2.0 SACKS · 0 INT | G | Sr. |
| 53 | CAMRON SPINO DEF 4 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | C | Sr. |
| 77 | MICHAEL LOPEZ DEF 9 TKL · 1.3 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT | G | Sr. |
| DEFENSIVE LINE | |||
| 50 | DOM AMATO DEF 25 TKL · 3.6 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DT | Sr. |
| 68 | LORENZO SERENO DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DL | Jr. |
| LINEBACKERS | |||
| 0 | LUKE AVILA DEF 0 TKL · 0.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 3 INT | ILB | Sr. |
| 18 | ISAIAH HARDING-AHMED DEF 20 TKL · 4.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | OLB | Jr. |
| 22 | MISAEL RODRIGUEZ DEF 5 TKL · 2.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | LB | Sr. |
| 24 | BODE HIATT REC 1 REC · 7 YDS · 7.0 YPC · 0 TD · 0.9/G DEF 28 TKL · 3.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | OLB | Jr. |
| 26 | BRIXTON MENCHACA RUSH 1 CAR · 6 YDS · 6.0 YPC · 0 TD · 0.7/G DEF 70 TKL · 7.8 TKL/G · 5 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | LB | Jr. |
| 30 | VANBRIAN HENDRIX DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | OLB | Jr. |
| 34 | GABE STRICKLAND DEF 4 TKL · 4.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | LB | Sr. |
| 45 | RICHARD SMITH DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | LB | Jr. |
| DEFENSIVE BACKS | |||
| 3 | JUJU RAMIREZ REC 1 REC · 22 YDS · 22.0 YPC · 0 TD · 4.4/G DEF 24 TKL · 4.8 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | S | Sr. |
| 4 | JEREMIAH ORONA DEF 44 TKL · 5.5 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT | S | Sr. |
| 12 | JAYDEN HARRIS RUSH 1 CAR · 13 YDS · 13.0 YPC · 1 TD · 1.4/G REC 25 REC · 444 YDS · 17.8 YPC · 6 TD · 49.3/G DEF 26 TKL · 2.9 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 3 INT | CB | Sr. |
| 14 | BRANDON MARAVILLA DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | CB | Jr. |
| 15 | LELAND RIGGLEMAN DEF 5 TKL · 1.7 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | CB | Jr. |
| 25 | CAMDEN ROGERS DEF 18 TKL · 3.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | S | Jr. |
| SPECIAL TEAMS | |||
| 35 | WILLIAM ALLISON DEF 2 TKL · 0.7 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | P | Jr. |
| 44 | ELI NAVARRO DEF 2 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | K | Sr. |
| OTHER / UNLISTED POSITION | |||
| 58 | ROY TURNER DEF 16 TKL · 2.3 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | NG | Jr. |
| ON STAT SHEETS, NOT ON THE POSTED ROSTER | |||
| -- | W. BROWN VI RUSH 4 CAR · 135 YDS · 33.8 YPC · 1 TD · 16.9/G DEF 19 TKL · 2.4 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT | -- | -- |
| # | NAME | POS | CLASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | LUKE AVILA | ILB | Sr. |
| 2 | BRODY CARABELLO | QB | Jr. |
| 3 | JUJU RAMIREZ | S | Sr. |
| 4 | JEREMIAH ORONA | S | Sr. |
| 5 | DREW RIBEIRO | DL | Sr. |
| 7 | KENDHAL SWEET-MALLORY | WR | Jr. |
| 8 | EJ JOHNSON | RB | So. |
| 9 | WILLIE BROWN | CB | Sr. |
| 10 | KARON GRISHAM | RB | Jr. |
| 11 | JOHHNY SANTILLANEZ VALDEZ | QB | Sr. |
| 12 | JAYDEN HARRIS | CB | Sr. |
| 13 | JAYLIN HARRIS | WR | Sr. |
| 14 | BRANDON MARAVILLA | CB | Jr. |
| 15 | LELAND RIGGLEMAN | CB | Jr. |
| 16 | ISAAC WAKOW | WR | Jr. |
| 17 | DAMIEN SHORT | WR | Jr. |
| 18 | ISAIAH HARDING-AHMED | OLB | Jr. |
| 19 | VINCENT MARTINEZ | K | Jr. |
| 21 | MAKAIL DE LA ROSA | DB | Sr. |
| 22 | MISAEL RODRIGUEZ | LB | Sr. |
| 23 | MANUEL LOPEZ | RB | Sr. |
| 24 | BODE HIATT | OLB | Jr. |
| 25 | CAMDEN ROGERS | S | Jr. |
| 26 | BRIXTON MENCHACA | LB | Jr. |
| 30 | VANBRIAN HENDRIX | OLB | Jr. |
| 31 | PEDRO VEJAR | LB | Jr. |
| 32 | NIKKO JUAREZ | RB | Sr. |
| 33 | ANTHONY MORALES-JONES | DL | Jr. |
| 34 | GABE STRICKLAND | LB | Sr. |
| 35 | WILLIAM ALLISON | P | Jr. |
| 40 | ISAAC FOUNTAIN | ILB | So. |
| 42 | ISAIAH FOUNTAIN | OLB | So. |
| 44 | ELI NAVARRO | K | Sr. |
| 45 | RICHARD SMITH | LB | Jr. |
| 50 | DOM AMATO | DT | Sr. |
| 51 | JULIAN RAMIREZ | G | Sr. |
| 52 | JOEY AUCELLO | DL | Sr. |
| 53 | CAMRON SPINO | C | Sr. |
| 54 | JOBDIR MAHAL | T | Jr. |
| 55 | MALERIQ DE LA ROSA | OL | Jr. |
| 57 | ORLANDO QUINTANAR | G | Jr. |
| 58 | ROY TURNER | NG | Jr. |
| 60 | BRENNAN MCMICHAEL | C | Jr. |
| 65 | JEOVANNY SUAREZ | DL | Jr. |
| 68 | LORENZO SERENO | DL | Jr. |
| 71 | JOVANI AVALOS | T | Sr. |
| 74 | TARELL VALENTINE | T | Jr. |
| 75 | ABEL MORALES | T | Sr. |
| 77 | MICHAEL LOPEZ | G | Sr. |
| -- | W. BROWN VI | -- | -- |
| # | NAME | POS | CLASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUARTERBACKS | |||
| 9 | JAKE DETMER PASS 28/47 · 59.6% · 421 YDS · 9.0 YPA · 2 TD · 2 INT · 70.2/G RUSH 15 CAR · 68 YDS · 4.5 YPC · 2 TD · 11.3/G | QB | Sr. |
| 11 | JOHN BERNARDEZ PASS 16/42 · 38.1% · 171 YDS · 4.1 YPA · 1 TD · 0 INT · 34.2/G RUSH 25 CAR · 171 YDS · 6.8 YPC · 1 TD · 34.2/G DEF 11 TKL · 2.2 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | QB | Jr. |
| RUNNING BACKS | |||
| 20 | NOE VILLASEOR DEF 18 TKL · 4.5 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | RB | Sr. |
| 22 | JAXXON TWEEDT RUSH 42 CAR · 311 YDS · 7.4 YPC · 8 TD · 103.7/G DEF 3 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | RB | Jr. |
| 23 | JORDAN SNELL RUSH 1 CAR · 4 YDS · 4.0 YPC · 0 TD · 4.0/G | RB | Jr. |
| 27 | CONNOR BLAIR RUSH 58 CAR · 286 YDS · 4.9 YPC · 3 TD · 40.9/G DEF 1 TKL · 0.1 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | RB | So. |
| RECEIVERS & TIGHT ENDS | |||
| 1 | JACKSON TALLEY RUSH 1 CAR · 10 YDS · 10.0 YPC · 0 TD · 1.7/G REC 5 REC · 44 YDS · 8.8 YPC · 0 TD · 7.3/G DEF 4 TKL · 0.7 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT | WR | Sr. |
| 3 | ATI TOGAFAU REC 8 REC · 101 YDS · 12.6 YPC · 0 TD · 16.8/G DEF 16 TKL · 2.7 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 2 INT | WR | Sr. |
| 7 | PEYTON KER RUSH 8 CAR · 53 YDS · 6.6 YPC · 0 TD · 7.6/G REC 2 REC · 12 YDS · 6.0 YPC · 0 TD · 1.7/G DEF 19 TKL · 2.7 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | TE | Sr. |
| 15 | JOSUE BAUTISTA DEF 4 TKL · 1.3 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | WR | Sr. |
| OFFENSIVE LINE | |||
| 52 | LAKEN OTT DEF 5 TKL · 1.7 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | OL | Jr. |
| 53 | ANDREW ORTIZ DEF 30 TKL · 6.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | G | Sr. |
| 70 | REED PECK DEF 13 TKL · 3.2 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT | T | Jr. |
| 75 | HAROLD RENICK DEF 5 TKL · 1.7 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | G | Sr. |
| 76 | JOSH BARNES DEF 8 TKL · 1.6 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT | C | Sr. |
| DEFENSIVE LINE | |||
| 6 | LOGAN SHEFFIELD RUSH 2 CAR · 5 YDS · 2.5 YPC · 1 TD · 0.7/G REC 5 REC · 48 YDS · 9.6 YPC · 0 TD · 6.9/G DEF 13 TKL · 1.9 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DE | Jr. |
| 55 | KALEB WATSON DEF 12 TKL · 1.7 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DL | Sr. |
| 57 | DRE IBARRA DEF 2 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DT | Sr. |
| 62 | MANNY MURGUIA DEF 3 TKL · 3.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DL | Sr. |
| 77 | NOAH SHELTON DEF 2 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DE | Jr. |
| LINEBACKERS | |||
| 5 | CALEB IULI RUSH 63 CAR · 340 YDS · 5.4 YPC · 4 TD · 48.6/G REC 4 REC · 42 YDS · 10.5 YPC · 0 TD · 6.0/G DEF 23 TKL · 3.3 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | LB | Jr. |
| 8 | BRYCEN HARVEY DEF 6 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | ILB | Jr. |
| 16 | JESSE HARRIS RUSH 1 CAR · 6 YDS · 6.0 YPC · 1 TD · 1.0/G DEF 34 TKL · 5.7 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | ILB | Jr. |
| 32 | QUINCY DAVIS DEF 7 TKL · 7.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | LB | Sr. |
| DEFENSIVE BACKS | |||
| 0 | JONATHON WALSH RUSH 5 CAR · 32 YDS · 6.4 YPC · 0 TD · 8.0/G DEF 9 TKL · 2.2 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | CB | Sr. |
| 2 | ADRIAN MORALES DEF 8 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DB | Sr. |
| 4 | COLTON KESSLER RUSH 3 CAR · 89 YDS · 29.7 YPC · 2 TD · 12.7/G REC 20 REC · 342 YDS · 17.1 YPC · 3 TD · 48.9/G DEF 23 TKL · 3.3 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | FS | Jr. |
| 24 | HUNTER ADAMS REC 1 REC · 8 YDS · 8.0 YPC · 0 TD · 1.6/G DEF 11 TKL · 2.2 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DB | Jr. |
| 30 | ADRIAN TRICERRI RUSH 2 CAR · 12 YDS · 6.0 YPC · 0 TD · 4.0/G REC 1 REC · 3 YDS · 3.0 YPC · 0 TD · 1.0/G DEF 3 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | SS | Sr. |
| 36 | DEANDRE JACKSON DEF 2 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | CB | Jr. |
| 81 | ISAI PAULSON DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | CB | Jr. |
| # | NAME | POS | CLASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | JONATHON WALSH | CB | Sr. |
| 1 | JACKSON TALLEY | WR | Sr. |
| 2 | ADRIAN MORALES | DB | Sr. |
| 3 | ATI TOGAFAU | WR | Sr. |
| 4 | COLTON KESSLER | FS | Jr. |
| 5 | CALEB IULI | LB | Jr. |
| 6 | LOGAN SHEFFIELD | DE | Jr. |
| 7 | PEYTON KER | TE | Sr. |
| 7 | PEYTON KERR | TE | Sr. |
| 8 | BRYCEN HARVEY | ILB | Jr. |
| 9 | JAKE DETMER | QB | Sr. |
| 11 | JOHN BERNARDEZ | QB | Jr. |
| 15 | JOSUE BAUTISTA | WR | Sr. |
| 16 | JESSE HARRIS | ILB | Jr. |
| 18 | EDGAR NAVA | K | So. |
| 20 | NOE VILLASEOR | RB | Sr. |
| 21 | ASTON KESSLER | DB | Jr. |
| 22 | JAXXON TWEEDT | RB | Jr. |
| 22 | BREV CREECH | K | Jr. |
| 22 | TANNER BARRON | DE | Jr. |
| 23 | JORDAN SNELL | RB | Jr. |
| 24 | HUNTER ADAMS | DB | Jr. |
| 25 | NOE VILLASENOR | RB | Sr. |
| 27 | CONNOR BLAIR | RB | So. |
| 30 | ADRIAN TRICERRI | SS | Sr. |
| 32 | QUINCY DAVIS | LB | Sr. |
| 32 | MANATU KAFOA | FB | Sr. |
| 36 | DEANDRE JACKSON | CB | Jr. |
| 42 | JACKSON GARDENER | DE | Sr. |
| 42 | JACKSON GARDINER | TE | Sr. |
| 44 | ALEJANDRO GONZALEZ | K | Jr. |
| 44 | DANE COX | FB | Jr. |
| 50 | KING HER | OL | Sr. |
| 52 | LAKEN OTT | OL | Jr. |
| 53 | ANDREW ORTIZ | G | Sr. |
| 53 | ANDREW ORTIZ RUIZ | MLB | Sr. |
| 55 | KALEB WATSON | DL | Sr. |
| 57 | DRE IBARRA | DT | Sr. |
| 58 | FIN DARLINTON | DE | Jr. |
| 58 | FINN DARLINGTON | DE | Jr. |
| 59 | ELLIAS VILLASENOR | DE | Jr. |
| 62 | MANNY MURGUIA | DL | Sr. |
| 65 | NICHOLAS MCGEE | C | Jr. |
| 65 | NICK MCGEE | OL | Jr. |
| 68 | LUIS AGUILAR | DT | Jr. |
| 68 | LUIS AGULAR | OL | Sr. |
| 70 | REED PECK | T | Jr. |
| 72 | ZAIDYN HOLLAND | T | Sr. |
| 72 | ZAYDEN HOLLAND | T | Sr. |
| 75 | HAROLD RENICK | G | Sr. |
| 76 | JOSH BARNES | C | Sr. |
| 77 | NOAH SHELTON | DE | Jr. |
| 81 | ISAI PAULSON | CB | Jr. |
| 88 | JOREN SOLECE | WR | Jr. |
| 90 | MANATU KOFOA | DE | Sr. |
