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In short: Augustana (IL) Division III college football, 2026 season: 4-4 (CCIW). Last game: L 13-26 vs Wheaton (IL) on October 31, 2026. Next: vs Carthage, November 7, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, the CFB Pirate rating and projections.

AT A GLANCE
HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME LOG

ScorePirate Individual Team Report
AUGUSTANA (IL)
AUGUSTANA (IL) 4-4
2026 SEASON
AUGUSTANA (IL)
AT A GLANCE — AS OF 11/05/2026
RECORD4-4 this season
LAST GAMEL 13-26 vs WHEATON (IL)
NEXT GAMECARTHAGE (11/07/2026)
UNIT GRADESPass Off 69.2 · Rush Off 65.9 · Pass Def 52.8 · Rush Def 67.6
LEAGUECCIW
NUMBERS TO NOTE
4-4
2026 record
+6.5
avg scoring margin, pts/gm
UNIT INDEX — GRADE (YDS VS AVG)
TEAMPASS ORUSH OPASS DRUSH D
AUGUSTANA (IL)69.2 (+28)65.9 (+22)52.8 (-1)67.6 (-24)
STORYLINES

Next: vs Carthage, Sat 7 Nov. Full matchup report.

The battle on the ground could decide Augustana (IL)'s next game, against Carthage, and the recent returns favor Carthage. Augustana (IL) allowed 2.6 yards per carry (371 yards on 144 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #43 in D-III in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), the Vikings have allowed 5.4 yards per carry (774 yards on 143 rushes), a 110% rise, #208 in D-III in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Augustana (IL)'s last 4 opponents have averaged 4.7 yards per carry, a #56 rushing attack in D-III on the season, against 3.4 yards per carry, #151 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (4.7 yards per carry), Augustana (IL) allowed 15% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. Meanwhile, Carthage's ground game has struggled in recent weeks. The Firebirds have averaged 2.5 yards per carry (294 yards on 118 rushes) over their last 4 games (2-2), #205 in D-III during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker run defenses in D-III (4.6 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #176). Against those norms, Carthage ran for 46% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game. Up front, CFB Pirate's line ratings give Augustana (IL) the edge: Augustana (IL)'s front grades +2.5 against Carthage's offensive line at -5.6 (stuffed runs, sacks and early-down success, opponent-adjusted).

The number to watch when Augustana (IL) meets Carthage is Augustana (IL)'s giveaways. Augustana (IL) committed 2.2 giveaways per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #190 in D-III through those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (2-2), the Vikings have committed 1.0 giveaways per game, a 56% drop, #37 in D-III through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.6 per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.6 per game), Augustana (IL) turned it over 39% less than those defenses usually force. Conversely, Carthage's defense has been one of D-III's better units in recent weeks. The Firebirds have forced 2.0 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (2-2), #58 in D-III over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in D-III (1.3 per game on the season, which would rank #82). Against those norms, Carthage forced 50% more turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Something has to give when Augustana (IL)'s surging ball security meets one of D-III's better units in Carthage's.

NOTES

The biggest worry in Augustana (IL)'s season has been the direction of its third-down defense. Augustana (IL) allowed 27.1% of third downs (16-for-59) over its first 4 games (2-2), #50 in D-III within that period. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), the Vikings have allowed 40.5% of third downs (15-for-37), a 49% rise, #154 in D-III across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 37.8% on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (37.9%), Augustana (IL) allowed third-down conversions 7% more often than those offenses usually manage. On the season, Augustana (IL) ranks #82 in D-III in third-down defense. Carthage's third-down offense, #217 of 244 (22.9%), could be the get-right matchup Augustana (IL) needs.

Augustana (IL)'s third-down offense has come a long way since the season's early weeks. The Vikings converted 34.8% of third downs (16-for-46) over their first 4 games (2-2), #134 in D-III during those games. In the 4 games since that slow start (2-2), Augustana (IL) has converted 48.5% of third downs (16-for-33), a 39% rise, #46 in D-III during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Augustana (IL)'s last 4 opponents have averaged 29.8%, a #52 third-down defense in D-III on the season, against 38.6%, #147 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (29.8%), Augustana (IL) converted third downs 63% more often than those defenses usually allow. On the season, the Vikings rank #81 in D-III in third-down offense. Carthage's third-down defense sits in the middle of the pack, #138 in D-III (37.5%).

Something changed for Augustana (IL)'s defense after its first 4 games. Augustana (IL) allowed 20.5 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #84 in D-III during that stretch. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), the Vikings have allowed 28.5 points per game, a 39% rise, #153 in D-III over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Augustana (IL)'s last 4 opponents have averaged 33.8 points per game, a #55 offense in D-III on the season, against 26.2 points per game, #120 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (33.8 points per game), Augustana (IL) held those offenses 16% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. On the season, Augustana (IL) ranks #120 in D-III in scoring defense. Carthage's offense, #216 of 245 (13.1 points per game), could be the get-right matchup Augustana (IL) needs.

Augustana (IL)'s defense has allowed more yards per snap as the season has worn on. The Vikings allowed 4.7 yards per play (1,251 yards on 268 snaps) over their first 4 games (2-2), #58 in D-III over that timeframe. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), Augustana (IL) has allowed 6.2 yards per play (1,679 yards on 271 snaps), a 33% rise, #166 in D-III over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Augustana (IL)'s last 4 opponents have averaged 6.3 yards per play, a #68 offense in D-III on the season, against 5.3 yards per play, #144 for the first 4. On the season, the Vikings rank #115 in D-III in yards per play allowed. Carthage's offense, #231 of 245 (3.7 yards per play), could be the get-right matchup Augustana (IL) needs. Up front, CFB Pirate's line ratings give Augustana (IL) the edge: Augustana (IL)'s front grades +2.5 against Carthage's offensive line at -5.6 (stuffed runs, sacks and early-down success, opponent-adjusted).

As the schedule has stiffened, Augustana (IL) has gone quiet. Augustana (IL) averaged 36.0 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #48 in D-III in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), the Vikings have averaged 26.0 points per game, a 28% drop, #118 in D-III in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Augustana (IL)'s last 4 opponents have averaged 22.3 points per game, a #110 scoring defense in D-III on the season, against 30.6 points per game, #168 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (22.3 points per game), Augustana (IL) scored 17% more than those defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. Augustana (IL) was held to 14 points or fewer 2 times in those games, including 7 against CFB Pirate D-III #4 North Central (IL) on 10/3. On the season, Augustana (IL) ranks #78 in D-III in scoring. Carthage's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #134 in D-III (25.1 points per game). Augustana (IL) is 4-1 this season when it scores 26 or more, and 0-3 when it doesn't.

SCHEDULE STRENGTH

Augustana (IL) has played a tougher-than-average schedule in the pool so far (#38 of 246), and what is left is a middle-of-the-road slate (#125 of 243): the hard part is behind it.

Schedule so far · 1 = hardest
#38 of 246
avg opponent rating -5.4 over 8 games · 3 vs top-25 D-III
Schedule ahead · 1 = hardest
#125 of 243
avg opponent rating -17.4 over 2 games · 0 vs top-25
Toughest game played
North Central (IL)
#1 in D-III · Oct 3 · L 7-35
Toughest game ahead
Carroll (WI)
#102 in D-III · Nov 14
Simpson
W 42-14
@Wis.-Sto…
L 34-37
Ill. Wes…
L 10-17
@Elmhurst
W 58-14
@North Ce…
L 7-35
Millikin
W 49-41
@North Pa…
W 35-12
Wheaton …
L 13-26
Carthage@Carroll …
Each bar is one opponent, placed by where its rating ranks in this pool (tall and red = top 10; short and green = bottom half). Hatched bars are games still to play; the dashed line is today.
A( — STAT LEADERS
FULL ROSTER ↓
OFFENSE
PASSING LEADER
915PASS YDS
C-ATT79-131
COMP%60.3%
YPA7.0
TD10
INT2
QBR141.1
RUSHING LEADER
912RUSH YDS
CAR143
YPC6.4
RUSH TD10
REC14
REC YDS151
YPR10.8
REC TD1
RUSHING LEADER
191RUSH YDS
CAR50
YPC3.8
RUSH TD1
REC2
REC YDS9
YPR4.5
REC TD0
RECEIVING LEADER
520REC YDS
REC41
YPR12.7
REC TD6
RECEIVING LEADER
419REC YDS
REC28
YPR15.0
REC TD6
DEFENSE
TACKLES LEADER
47TCKL
TFL0
SACKS0
INT1
PD0
FF1
TACKLES LEADER
43TCKL
TFL3
SACKS0
INT0
PD0
FF0
TACKLES LEADER
43TCKL
TFL9
SACKS2
INT0
PD0
FF0
TFL LEADER
6TFL
TCKL37
SACKS1
INT0
PD0
FF0
TFL LEADER
5TFL
TCKL32
SACKS2
INT0
PD0
FF0
SACKS LEADER
1SACKS
TCKL37
TFL1
INT0
PD0
FF1
SACKS LEADER
1SACKS
TCKL20
TFL1
INT0
PD0
FF0
INTERCEPTIONS LEADER
3INT
TCKL27
TFL1
SACKS0
PD0
FF0
A( — WHAT CHANGED THIS WEEK

From the games on file through Oct 31.

Printable team sheet
A( — PLAYER SEASON STATS — 2026

Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 31 game; last updated Nov 1; roster and numbers checked Sep 17.

Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PASSING
NOPLAYERGPC/ATTCOMP %YDSYPATDINTQBR
10JIMMY MAKUH579/13160.3%9157.0102141.1
11DAVID FINFER651/9354.8%8178.867134.9
8JUSTIN MILLER12/2100.0%3015.010391.0
TEAM TOTALS8132/22658.4%1,7627.8179140.8
RUSHING
NOPLAYERGPCARYDSYPCTD
21BEN LUDLUM71439126.410
33KEEGAN OTTE7501913.81
11DAVID FINFER642902.12
10JIMMY MAKUH527511.92
6TYREKE FORTNEY82168.00
32JOSH LIM14123.00
8MIKEY BROSNAN7111.00
25XANDER SALAZAR2200.00
8JUSTIN MILLER11-2-2.00
TEAM TOTALS82721,2714.715
RECEIVING
NOPLAYERGPRECYDSYPRTD
6TYREKE FORTNEY84152012.76
84SEAN SCHLANSER82841915.06
15ETHAN VRABEC81933717.72
8MIKEY BROSNAN71518512.31
21BEN LUDLUM71415110.81
9ZAMARI ROBINSON457214.41
80BLAYDEN MURDOCK334013.30
39DYLAN YOUNG25295.80
33KEEGAN OTTE7294.50
TEAM TOTALS81321,76213.317
DEFENSE
NOPLAYERGPTCKLTFLSACKSINTINT YDSPDFF
5COLE SCHROEDER847001001
90NICK GOLDEN743920000
20CARL THOMAS843300000
44RONDE WORRELS837610000
56DINO HUNT737110001
18BRADEN HOUCHIN636100000
92TJ KLEIN832520000
4COOPER MARSH828400001
12KADEN MCSHAW827103000
57JOHNNY CRAWFORD825100000
99ZACH GRAY620110000
7TYCE ALBRITTON520100001
27OWEN KEANY719200000
2GAVIN FAGAN717000000
20NICHOLAS FRANCO215200000
52TEKE NIETO58110000
1TRAVIS KENZEVICH48000000
TYKE ALBRITTON47001000
29FRANK LACNY47000000
28NATE MAGRINI57000000
94MIKE KEANY46000000
43PETER STAPLETON46000000
33KEEGAN OTTE73000000
93CHARLIE HOUSE22000000
31JJ GAMLIN22000000
98LANDON WEIR22000000
8MIKEY BROSNAN72000000
60ALEC MILLER11000000
30ALEX ORTIZ21000000
CAM JURGENS11000000
38JACOB GARBETT51000000
24KAM AHMED11000000
16LIAM PETERSON11000000
48MARCUS BAKER11000000
45NIK SCHAAFSMA11000000
73RILEY STEINKUHLER11000000
40RYAN HARRIS11000000
84SEAN SCHLANSER81000000
6TYREKE FORTNEY81000000
25XANDER SALAZAR21000000
TEAM TOTALS85193885004
PROGRAM SNAPSHOT: A(

PROGRAM RECORD

SEASONRECORDPFPAPPG
20225-534833034.8
20238-338626535.1
20244-622530022.5
20257-327728427.7
20264-424819631.0
2022-2628-2130.3
A( — 2026 SEASON SCHEDULE
DATEOPPONENTSITERESULTSCOREWIN%
09/05SIMPSONvsW42-14
09/12WIS.-STOUTatL34-37
09/19ILL. WESLEYANvsL10-17
09/26ELMHURSTatW58-14
10/03NORTH CENTRAL (IL)atL7-35
10/10MILLIKINvsW49-41
10/24NORTH PARKatW35-12
10/31WHEATON (IL)vsL13-26
11/07CARTHAGEvsPROJ40-1095.7%
11/14CARROLL (WI)atPROJ29-2558.1%
SEASON TO DATE4-42 REMAINING

SEASON OUTLOOK

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)

RECORD TO DATEMOST LIKELY FINALPROJECTED RECORD
Overall4-4 so far6-4 (57%)5.6-4.4
League0-0 so far0-0 (100%)0.0-0.0
A( — 2026 OVERALL AVERAGES
SPLITGPPPGOPP PPGYPGOPP YPGPLAYS/GOPP PLAYS/G
OVERALL831.024.5379.1366.262.667.4
HOME428.524.5356.8364.863.067.0
ROAD433.524.5401.5367.862.267.8

PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.

A( — 2026 TEAM GAME LOG
DATEOPPONENTRESULTPASS YDSRUSH YDSTOTAL YDSPASS ALWRUSH ALWTOTAL ALWSACKS ALWSACKSDEF INTTO FORCEDTO MAR
9/5vs. SimpsonW 42-142492134621841463300101+1
9/12@ Wis.-StoutL 34-3729383376316874032103+1
9/19vs. Ill. WesleyanL 10-172731023751971063033000-5
9/26@ ElmhurstW 58-14254284538183322150111-1
10/3@ North Central (IL)L 7-351528123318834052861000
10/10vs. MillikinW 49-41572222792861894750311-1
10/24@ North ParkW 35-122502094592231023250023+3
10/31vs. Wheaton (IL)L 13-26234773112081433510111-1
AVERAGES220.2158.9379.1223.1143.1366.21.41.00.61.2-3 (season)

Averages use only games with that number on file. SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.

UNIT INDEX

Pass Offense: grade 69.2/100 (+28 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Offense: grade 65.9/100 (+22 yds/gm vs average)

Pass Defense: grade 52.8/100 (-1 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Defense: grade 67.6/100 (-24 yds/gm vs average)

Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.

OPPONENT TRACKER

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)

DATESITEOPPONENTTHEIR RECORDTHEIR PPG
2026-11-07vsCARTHAGE3-513.1
2026-11-14atCARROLL (WI)4-521.3

LAST YEAR

A( finished 2025 at 7-3. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 42-41 over SIMPSON (SIMPSON finished 60% that season). Toughest loss: 13-35 to WASHU (22-point margin).

LAST SEASON: A( — 2025 GAME LOG
DATEOPPONENTRESULTRECORDPFPATOT YDSYDS ALLOWED
2025-09-06SIMPSONW1-04241517323
2025-09-20WHEATON (IL)L1-1750256439
2025-09-27MILLIKINW2-1336322236
2025-10-04NORTH PARKW3-12421424299
2025-10-11ELMHURSTW4-1487477212
2025-10-18CARROLL (WI)W5-13124457314
2025-10-25NORTH CENTRAL (IL)L5-21476355475
2025-11-01ILL. WESLEYANW6-24221427383
2025-11-08CARTHAGEW7-2233291197
2025-11-15WASHUL7-31335336292
TOTALS10 GMS7-37-327728438623170
TIDBITS (11 found)

• [CLUB] Augustana (Il) is 21-1 all time when holding the opponent under 100 rushing yards. Augustana (Il)'s last loss when holding the opponent under 100 rushing yards was September 12, 2026 against Wis.-stout (L, 34-37).

• [CLUB] Augustana (Il) is 19-2 all time when averaging 5.0+ yards per carry. Augustana (Il)'s last loss when averaging 5.0+ yards per carry was September 23, 2023 against Wheaton (Il) (L, 34-41).

• [CLUB] Augustana (Il) is 19-2 all time when averaging 6.0+ yards per play. Augustana (Il)'s last loss when averaging 6.0+ yards per play was September 23, 2023 against Wheaton (Il) (L, 34-41).

• [CLUB] Augustana (Il) is 13-1 all time when scoring 40+ points. Augustana (Il)'s last loss when scoring 40+ points was October 1, 2022 against Carroll (Wi) (L, 41-44).

• [CLUB] Augustana (Il) has gone 5 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (September 26, 2026 through October 31, 2026), going 3-2 over that stretch, the program's longest such streak since 2024 (13 games).

• [PLAYER] Ben Ludlum has 392 rushing yards over his last 3 games (130.7 a game, October 3, 2026 through October 24, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

• [PLAYER] Ben Ludlum has 8 rushing touchdowns over his last 4 games (2.0 a game, September 26, 2026 through October 24, 2026) -- his most in a 4-game stretch on record.

• [PLAYER] Sean Schlanser has 4 touchdown catches over his last 3 games (1.3 a game, October 10, 2026 through October 31, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.

• [PLAYER] Jimmy Makuh has gone 2 straight games throwing for 200+ yards, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 3 straight games throwing for 200+ yards, during the 2025 season.

• [PLAYER] Jimmy Makuh has gone 2 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 10 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, during the 2026 season.

• [PLAYER] Tj Klein has never had a game making 10 or more tackles for Augustana (Il), over a 29-game career on record. His career high is 6, set September 19, 2026 against Ill. Wesleyan (L, 10-17).

TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
A( HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...

• A( holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.800), but most recently lost to Wheaton (il) when doing so

• A( holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play (.867), and has won 3 straight when doing so

• A( holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards (.844), but most recently lost to Wheaton (il) when doing so

• A( averages 6.0+ yards per play (.905), and has won 14 straight when doing so

• A( rushes for 141.0+ yards (A('s own median) (.920)

• A( holds its opponents under 103.0 rushing yards (A('s own median) (.958)

• A( holds its opponents under 5.4 yards per play (A('s own median) (.917)

• A( averages 5.7+ yards per play (A('s own median) (.880)

• A( averages 4.3+ yards per carry (A('s own median) (.880)

• A( averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards

• A( holds its opponents under 3.4 yards per carry (A('s own median) (.875)

• A( holds its opponents under 7.1 yards per attempt (A('s own median) (.833)

• A('s offense has averaged 1.9 giveaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 49-game average is 1.3 giveaways per game. (+42%)

• A( averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards

• A( rushes for 150+ yards but stays under 8.0 yards per attempt

MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)

A( -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(top 5 of 40 scored; vs 114 cached team(s))

#SIDECONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRKSCORE
1OFFYPP 7+8-01.00045.5W80.900
2DEFTurnovers 3+9-1.90015.8W10.845
3DEFRush Yds < 10021-1.95517.1W10.828
4OFFYPP 6+19-2.90542.0W140.812
5OFFRush Yds 150+19-2.90542.0W140.809
WIN %: TWO-CONDITION COMBINATIONS (15 found, min 4 Gms each)

(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)

--- A( ---

CONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRK
A( holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards27-5.84419.2L1
A( holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry26-2.92918.2W3
A( holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards21-1.95517.1W1
A( rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards11-7.61133.3W3
A( averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards16-2.88940.8W12
A( averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards14-1.93344.3W10
A( holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards while forcing 2+ takeaways14-1.93315.5W1
A( holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play while forcing 2+ takeaways13-1.92915.4W1
A( rushes for 150+ yards but stays under 8.0 yards per attempt11-2.84638.8W8
A( throws for 200+ yards despite 2+ giveaways4-8.33327.1L1
A( averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards11-0.99941.4W11
A( holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards10-1.9098.8W1
A( throws for 200+ yards despite being held under 100 rushing yards2-8.20024.5L6
A( averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways8-1.88948.7W5
A( rushes for 150+ yards but commits 2+ giveaways4-0.99949.5W4
WIN % -- TAB-SEPARATED
TeamConditionRecordWin%PPG
A(YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 15027-5.84419.2
A(YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.026-2.92918.2
A(YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 10021-1.95517.1
A(Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 20011-7.61133.3
A(YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+16-2.88940.8
A(YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+14-1.93344.3
A(Rush Yds < 150 & Turnovers 2+14-1.93315.5
A(YPP < 6.0 & Turnovers 2+13-1.92915.4
A(Rush Yds 150+ & YPA < 8.011-2.84638.8
A(Pass Yds 200+ & Turnovers 2+4-8.33327.1
A(YPA 8.0+ & Pass Yds 200+11-0.99941.4
A(Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 20010-1.9098.8
A(Pass Yds 200+ & Rush Yds < 1002-8.20024.5
A(YPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 18-1.88948.7
A(Rush Yds 150+ & Turnovers 2+4-0.99949.5
A( — OFFENSE — 2022-26 (49 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+12-1.92339.3L1
YPA < 8.016-20.44427.0L1
Pass Yds 200+16-10.61532.1L1
Pass Yds < 20012-11.52228.3W1
Rush Yds 100+25-9.73534.9W3
Rush Yds < 1003-12.20019.7L7
Rush Yds 150+19-2.90542.0W14
Rush Yds < 1509-19.32121.5L5
YPC 5.0+19-2.90540.5W14
YPC < 5.09-19.32122.6L5
YPP 6.0+19-2.90542.0W14
YPP < 6.09-19.32121.5L1
YPP 7.0+8-01.00045.5W8
YPP < 7.020-21.48827.3L1
Turnovers 1+15-16.48425.8L1
Turnovers < 113-5.72238.0W1
Turnovers 2+8-11.42126.9L1
Turnovers > 22-7.22221.0L2
A( — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2022-26 (49 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Scores <100-4.0005.0
Scores 10-191-7.12512.9
Scores 20-295-6.45524.2
Scores 30-399-3.75033.0
Scores 40+13-1.92949.9
A( — OFFENSE — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+2-1.66735.7L1
YPA < 8.02-3.40028.2L1
Pass Yds 200+3-3.50032.0L1
Pass Yds < 2001-1.50028.0W1
Rush Yds 100+4-1.80038.8W3
Rush Yds < 1000-3.00018.0L3
Rush Yds 150+4-01.00046.0W4
Rush Yds < 1500-4.00016.0L4
YPC 5.0+4-01.00046.0W4
YPC < 5.00-4.00016.0L4
YPP 6.0+3-01.00045.0W3
YPP < 6.01-4.20022.6L1
YPP 7.0+2-01.00050.0W2
YPP < 7.02-4.33324.7L1
Turnovers 1+2-3.40032.8L1
Turnovers < 12-1.66728.0W1
Turnovers 2+2-3.40032.8L1
Turnovers > 20-1.00010.0L1
A( — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Scores <100-1.0007.0
Scores 10-190-2.00011.5
Scores 20-29------
Scores 30-391-1.50034.5
Scores 40+3-01.00049.7
A( — DEFENSE — 2022-26 (49 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+2-12.14343.1L3
YPA < 8.026-9.74322.0W2
Pass Yds 200+18-14.56231.7L1
Pass Yds < 20010-7.58821.2L1
Rush Yds 100+7-20.25937.0L1
Rush Yds < 10021-1.95517.1W1
Rush Yds 150+1-16.05944.7W1
Rush Yds < 15027-5.84419.2L1
YPC 5.0+0-14.00046.2L14
YPC < 5.028-7.80020.8L1
YPP 6.0+2-17.10541.5L5
YPP < 6.026-4.86719.6W3
YPP 7.0+1-10.09148.1L4
YPP < 7.027-11.71122.3L1
Turnovers 1+26-11.70324.5L1
Turnovers < 12-10.16739.0L5
Turnovers 2+14-4.77819.1W1
Turnovers > 29-1.90015.8W1
A( — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2022-26 (49 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Allows <106-01.0004.2
Allows 10-199-1.90014.9
Allows 20-2910-2.83323.9
Allows 30-391-8.11134.7
Allows 40+2-10.16750.2
A( — DEFENSE — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+0-2.00031.5L2
YPA < 8.04-2.66722.2W2
Pass Yds 200+2-2.50029.0L1
Pass Yds < 2002-2.50020.0L1
Rush Yds 100+3-3.50024.2L1
Rush Yds < 1001-1.50025.5W1
Rush Yds 150+1-1.50038.0W1
Rush Yds < 1503-3.50020.0L1
YPC 5.0+0-1.00035.0L1
YPC < 5.04-3.57123.0L1
YPP 6.0+0-2.00030.5L2
YPP < 6.04-2.66722.5W3
YPP 7.0+0-1.00035.0L1
YPP < 7.04-3.57123.0L1
Turnovers 1+4-2.66724.0L1
Turnovers < 10-2.00026.0L2
Turnovers 2+1-1.50024.5W1
Turnovers > 21-1.50024.5W1
A( — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Allows <10------
Allows 10-193-1.75014.2
Allows 20-290-1.00026.0
Allows 30-390-2.00036.0
Allows 40+1-01.00041.0
TAB-SEPARATED (paste into a spreadsheet)
TeamSideSplitGamesRecordWin%PPGStrk
A(OFFENSEYPA 8.0+1312-1.92339.3L1
A(OFFENSEYPA < 8.03616-20.44427.0L1
A(OFFENSEPass Yds 200+2616-10.61532.1L1
A(OFFENSEPass Yds < 2002312-11.52228.3W1
A(OFFENSERush Yds 100+3425-9.73534.9W3
A(OFFENSERush Yds < 100153-12.20019.7L7
A(OFFENSERush Yds 150+2119-2.90542.0W14
A(OFFENSERush Yds < 150289-19.32121.5L5
A(OFFENSEYPC 5.0+2119-2.90540.5W14
A(OFFENSEYPC < 5.0289-19.32122.6L5
A(OFFENSEYPP 6.0+2119-2.90542.0W14
A(OFFENSEYPP < 6.0289-19.32121.5L1
A(OFFENSEYPP 7.0+88-01.00045.5W8
A(OFFENSEYPP < 7.04120-21.48827.3L1
A(OFFENSETurnovers 1+3115-16.48425.8L1
A(OFFENSETurnovers < 11813-5.72238.0W1
A(OFFENSETurnovers 2+198-11.42126.9L1
A(OFFENSETurnovers > 292-7.22221.0L2
A(OFFENSEScores <1040-4.0005.0L4
A(OFFENSEScores 10-1981-7.12512.9L7
A(OFFENSEScores 20-29115-6.45524.2W2
A(OFFENSEScores 30-39129-3.75033.0W1
A(OFFENSEScores 40+1413-1.92949.9W13
A(DEFENSEYPA 8.0+142-12.14343.1L3
A(DEFENSEYPA < 8.03526-9.74322.0W2
A(DEFENSEPass Yds 200+3218-14.56231.7L1
A(DEFENSEPass Yds < 2001710-7.58821.2L1
A(DEFENSERush Yds 100+277-20.25937.0L1
A(DEFENSERush Yds < 1002221-1.95517.1W1
A(DEFENSERush Yds 150+171-16.05944.7W1
A(DEFENSERush Yds < 1503227-5.84419.2L1
A(DEFENSEYPC 5.0+140-14.00046.2L14
A(DEFENSEYPC < 5.03528-7.80020.8L1
A(DEFENSEYPP 6.0+192-17.10541.5L5
A(DEFENSEYPP < 6.03026-4.86719.6W3
A(DEFENSEYPP 7.0+111-10.09148.1L4
A(DEFENSEYPP < 7.03827-11.71122.3L1
A(DEFENSETurnovers 1+3726-11.70324.5L1
A(DEFENSETurnovers < 1122-10.16739.0L5
A(DEFENSETurnovers 2+1814-4.77819.1W1
A(DEFENSETurnovers > 2109-1.90015.8W1
A(DEFENSEAllows <1066-01.0004.2W6
A(DEFENSEAllows 10-19109-1.90014.9W2
A(DEFENSEAllows 20-291210-2.83323.9L1
A(DEFENSEAllows 30-3991-8.11134.7L7
A(DEFENSEAllows 40+122-10.16750.2W1
STREAKS: A( (combined OFFENSE+DEFENSE)
SIDESPLITSTREAKDATESRECORD
OFFENSEYPP < 7.04 games10/03/2026 - 10/31/20262-2
DEFENSERush Yds 100+4 games10/03/2026 - 10/31/20262-2
OFFENSEYPA < 8.03 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
DEFENSEPass Yds 200+3 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
DEFENSEYPC < 5.03 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
DEFENSEYPP < 7.03 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
DEFENSETurnovers 1+3 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
STREAKS — ALL TEAMS
TeamSideSplitStreakDatesRecord
A(OFFENSEYPP < 7.04 games10/03/2026 - 10/31/20262-2
A(DEFENSERush Yds 100+4 games10/03/2026 - 10/31/20262-2
A(OFFENSEYPA < 8.03 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
A(DEFENSEPass Yds 200+3 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
A(DEFENSEYPC < 5.03 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
A(DEFENSEYPP < 7.03 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
A(DEFENSETurnovers 1+3 games10/10/2026 - 10/31/20262-1
NOTABLE TRENDS (1 of 1 found, team |deviation| >= 20%, matchup |deviation| >= 20%)

A( OFFENSE

A('s offense has averaged 1.9 giveaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 49-game average is 1.3 giveaways per game. (+42%)

(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)

APPENDIX

Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.

Explanatory Notes

Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK

Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).

Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown

Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.

Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored

Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.

Full Data Exports

Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)

TeamSideTypeStatOpponentWindow/MeetingsValueBaselineGamesBaselineAvgDeviation
A(OFFENSEteamTurnoverslast 71.9491.3+42.2%
STATISTICAL STORIES

AUGUSTANA (IL): OFFENSE VS DEFENSE, 2026

Where AUGUSTANA (IL) sits among 246 D3 teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 67.5, Defense Grade 60.1.

AUGUSTANA (IL): SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON

The program's index across 4 seasons on file -- 4.8 in 2022 to 7.5 in 2025.

These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.

A( — ROSTER (120) 26-27
#NAMEPOSCLASS
QUARTERBACKS
8JUSTIN MILLER
PASS 2/2 · 100.0% · 30 YDS · 15.0 YPA · 1 TD · 0 INT · 30.0/G
RUSH 1 CAR · -2 YDS · -2.0 YPC · 0 TD · -2.0/G
QBFr.
10JIMMY MAKUH
PASS 79/131 · 60.3% · 915 YDS · 7.0 YPA · 10 TD · 2 INT · 183.0/G
RUSH 27 CAR · 51 YDS · 1.9 YPC · 2 TD · 10.2/G
QBSr.
11DAVID FINFER
PASS 51/93 · 54.8% · 817 YDS · 8.8 YPA · 6 TD · 7 INT · 136.2/G
RUSH 42 CAR · 90 YDS · 2.1 YPC · 2 TD · 15.0/G
QBJr.
RUNNING BACKS
21BEN LUDLUM
RUSH 143 CAR · 912 YDS · 6.4 YPC · 10 TD · 130.3/G
REC 14 REC · 151 YDS · 10.8 YPC · 1 TD · 21.6/G
RBSr.
25XANDER SALAZAR
RUSH 2 CAR · 0 YDS · 0.0 YPC · 0 TD · 0.0/G
DEF 1 TKL · 0.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
RBFr.
31JJ GAMLIN
DEF 2 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
RBJr.
32JOSH LIM
RUSH 4 CAR · 12 YDS · 3.0 YPC · 0 TD · 12.0/G
RBSr.
33KEEGAN OTTE
RUSH 50 CAR · 191 YDS · 3.8 YPC · 1 TD · 27.3/G
REC 2 REC · 9 YDS · 4.5 YPC · 0 TD · 1.3/G
DEF 3 TKL · 0.4 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
RBSr.
RECEIVERS & TIGHT ENDS
6TYREKE FORTNEY
RUSH 2 CAR · 16 YDS · 8.0 YPC · 0 TD · 2.0/G
REC 41 REC · 520 YDS · 12.7 YPC · 6 TD · 65.0/G
DEF 1 TKL · 0.1 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
WRJr.
8MIKEY BROSNAN
RUSH 1 CAR · 1 YDS · 1.0 YPC · 0 TD · 0.1/G
REC 15 REC · 185 YDS · 12.3 YPC · 1 TD · 26.4/G
DEF 2 TKL · 0.3 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
WRSr.
9ZAMARI ROBINSON
REC 5 REC · 72 YDS · 14.4 YPC · 1 TD · 18.0/G
WRJr.
15ETHAN VRABEC
REC 19 REC · 337 YDS · 17.7 YPC · 2 TD · 42.1/G
WRSr.
16LIAM PETERSON
DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
WRSr.
39DYLAN YOUNG
REC 5 REC · 29 YDS · 5.8 YPC · 0 TD · 14.5/G
TESo.
45NIK SCHAAFSMA
DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
TESo.
80BLAYDEN MURDOCK
REC 3 REC · 40 YDS · 13.3 YPC · 0 TD · 13.3/G
TESr.
84SEAN SCHLANSER
REC 28 REC · 419 YDS · 15.0 YPC · 6 TD · 52.4/G
DEF 1 TKL · 0.1 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
WRSr.
OFFENSIVE LINE
43PETER STAPLETON
DEF 6 TKL · 1.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
OlSr.
48MARCUS BAKER
DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
OLFr.
DEFENSIVE LINE
44RONDE WORRELS
DEF 37 TKL · 4.6 TKL/G · 6 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DESr.
52TEKE NIETO
DEF 8 TKL · 1.6 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DESr.
60ALEC MILLER
DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DLJr.
73RILEY STEINKUHLER
DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DLSo.
90NICK GOLDEN
DEF 43 TKL · 6.1 TKL/G · 9 TFL · 2.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DESr.
92TJ KLEIN
DEF 32 TKL · 4.0 TKL/G · 5 TFL · 2.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DLSr.
93CHARLIE HOUSE
DEF 2 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DLSo.
94MIKE KEANY
DEF 6 TKL · 1.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DLSo.
98LANDON WEIR
DEF 2 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DLFr.
99ZACH GRAY
DEF 20 TKL · 3.3 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DLSr.
LINEBACKERS
4COOPER MARSH
DEF 28 TKL · 3.5 TKL/G · 4 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
LBSr.
20CARL THOMAS
DEF 43 TKL · 5.4 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
LBJr.
27OWEN KEANY
DEF 19 TKL · 2.7 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
LBSr.
28NATE MAGRINI
DEF 7 TKL · 1.4 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
LBSo.
29FRANK LACNY
DEF 7 TKL · 1.8 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
LBSr.
56DINO HUNT
DEF 37 TKL · 5.3 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT
LBSr.
57JOHNNY CRAWFORD
DEF 25 TKL · 3.1 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
LBJr.
DEFENSIVE BACKS
1TRAVIS KENZEVICH
DEF 8 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DBJr.
2GAVIN FAGAN
DEF 17 TKL · 2.4 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
CBSo.
5COLE SCHROEDER
DEF 47 TKL · 5.9 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT
DBJr.
7TYCE ALBRITTON
DEF 20 TKL · 4.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
SJr.
12KADEN MCSHAW
DEF 27 TKL · 3.4 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 3 INT
DBSr.
18BRADEN HOUCHIN
DEF 36 TKL · 6.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
SSr.
20NICHOLAS FRANCO
DEF 15 TKL · 7.5 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
CBFr.
24KAM AHMED
DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
SFr.
40RYAN HARRIS
DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DBJr.
SPECIAL TEAMS
38JACOB GARBETT
DEF 1 TKL · 0.2 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
K/PSo.
OTHER / UNLISTED POSITION
30ALEX ORTIZ
DEF 1 TKL · 0.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
DSSr.
ON STAT SHEETS, NOT ON THE POSTED ROSTER
--CAM JURGENS
DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT
----
CHAMPIONSHIPS
SITUATIONAL PROFILE
Down & DistancePlaysPlay-Type Mix
1 & short3rush 67%, pass 33%
1 & medium8rush 75%, pass 25%
1 & long184rush 57%, pass 42%, sack 2%
2 & short29rush 55%, pass 45%
2 & medium51rush 59%, pass 39%, sack 2%
2 & long65pass 48%, rush 48%, sack 5%
3 & short25rush 80%, pass 20%
3 & medium24pass 58%, rush 42%
3 & long30pass 63%, rush 30%, sack 7%
4 & short6pass 50%, rush 50%
4 & medium5pass 80%, rush 20%
4 & long3pass 67%, rush 33%
GARBAGE TIME PROFILE

See the Garbage Time Reality Check page for the full leaderboard. This is informational only — it never changes this team's ranking or projection elsewhere on the site.

ADVANCED PLAYER STATS

Situational standouts:

ADVANCED METRICS EXPLAINED (7)
EPA / Dropback

Expected Points Added, averaged over every dropback (pass attempt or sack) that has a value on file. Positive means the play typically moved the team closer to scoring more than an average play in that situation would; negative means it cost expected points.

Inputs: Each play's EPA (from CFBD's own model for most FBS/FCS plays, or this project's own trained model for a smaller share of other games) averaged over the QB's dropbacks. The dropback count with an EPA value on file (not every play has one) is always shown alongside the rate, and boards require at least 20 such plays before a QB qualifies -- a thin sample was found live to distort rankings otherwise.

Passing Success Rate

The share of dropbacks that were 'successful' by a standard down-based yardstick, regardless of whether EPA is available for that play.

Inputs: Gained at least 50% of the yards needed on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, or the full distance (or a touchdown) on 3rd/4th -- computed from down, distance, yards gained and touchdown, all structured fields.

Rushing Success Rate

The same down-based success standard as passing success rate, applied to a player's carries.

Inputs: Down, distance, yards gained and touchdown on plays where this player was the ball carrier.

Receiving Success Rate

The same down-based success standard, applied to a player's targets (thrown to him, complete or not).

Inputs: Down, distance, yards gained and touchdown on plays where this player was the targeted receiver.

3rd Down Splits

How a player performed specifically on 3rd down plays this season -- success rate, touchdown rate, and the underlying counting stats, isolated from every other down.

Inputs: Every play on file where down = 3 and this player was involved (passer, rusher, receiver, or a tackle/sack/INT/fumble recovery on defense).

4th Down Splits

The same idea as 3rd Down Splits, isolated to 4th down plays -- the highest-leverage down in football.

Inputs: Every play on file where down = 4 and this player was involved.

What is "garbage time"?

A 7-tier rule (bigger lead required as the clock runs down) that flags plays happening in a game that is no longer competitive -- e.g. a 30+ point lead right after halftime, or a 12+ point lead inside the final 3 minutes.

Inputs: Quarter, game clock, and the score of both teams at the time of the play. Garbage-time plays are not thrown out -- they count for 35% of a normal play in every "garbage-time-adjusted" figure, so a player who pads stats once a game is decided shows up as such rather than being invisible.

Report Produced by ScorePirate | Commitment and offer data sourced from 247Sports | GENERATED 11/05/2026 17:14