In short: Johnson (1-9) at Appling County (10-0), October 2, 2026 (high school football). Final: Appling County 50, Johnson 6. The full report has the projection, unit grades, storylines, pregame notes, Big Game Watch, series history, season stats and both rosters.
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APPLING COUNTY | 53.1 (-9.1) | 82.6 (+78.4) | 72.9 (-36.1) | 91.4 (-104.1) |
| JOHNSON | 14.9 (-89.5) | 65.1 (+23.2) | 60.7 (-18.3) | 20.7 (+63.6) |
Rank chips: 1 = best in the pool; blue strong, red weak. Yardage and efficiency use games with a full box score on file; points and turnovers use every played game. Unit Index = opponent-adjusted 0-100 league percentile.
| COMPONENT | POINTS | WEIGHT | CONTRIBUTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common Opponents | +35.06 | 33% | +11.71 |
| Strength | +36.14 | 20% | +7.07 |
| Efficiency | +23.97 | 17% | +4.12 |
| Own Margin | +36.99 | 16% | +5.90 |
| Head To Head | +28.00 | 14% | +3.89 |
| Garbage Time Margin | -- | 0% | +0.00 |
| EPA Efficiency | -- | 0% | +0.00 |
Mark players out to re-project this game. Each value is how much of the margin that player is worth, from this season's data (his share of his team's win shares). Estimates — your selections change only your view.
| CATEGORY | TEAM | PROJECTED |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | APPLING COUNTY | 87.4 |
| Passing | JOHNSON | 64.6 |
| Rushing | APPLING COUNTY | 309.2 |
| Rushing | JOHNSON | 67.7 |
| Total | APPLING COUNTY | 396.6 |
| Total | JOHNSON | 132.3 |
The first meeting between these two hinged on a single stat: Appling County's rushing. The Pirates averaged 13.8 yards per carry (290 yards on 21 rushes) against Johnson on 10/2, well above their 9.0 mark in every other game this season. Appling County won the game 50-6. Repeating that kind of rushing edge would put Appling County in a strong position to do it again.
The first meeting between these two hinged on a single stat: Johnson's run defense. The Atomsmashers allowed 13.8 yards per carry (290 yards on 21 rushes) against Appling County on 10/2, well above their 7.4 mark in every other game this season. Johnson lost the game 50-6. A run defense number closer to Johnson's norm would go a long way toward flipping the result this time.
The Johnson ball security that opened the season is not the one that has taken the field lately. Johnson committed 0.8 giveaways per game over its first 6 games (1-5), #110 in section during that period. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (0-4), the Atomsmashers have committed 1.8 giveaways per game, a 110% rise, #376 in section during that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.1 per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.1 per game), Johnson turned it over 59% more than those defenses usually force. On the season, Johnson ranks #267 in section in giveaways. Appling County's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #206 in section (1.1 per game).
Something changed for Johnson's run defense after its first 3 games. The Atomsmashers allowed 5.8 yards per carry (510 yards on 88 rushes) over their first 3 games (1-2), #263 in section over that period. In the 7 games since that hot start (0-7), Johnson has allowed 9.0 yards per carry (1,657 yards on 185 rushes), a 55% rise, #432 in section over that timeframe. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Johnson's last 7 opponents have averaged 7.4 yards per carry, a #82 rushing attack in section on the season, against 4.4 yards per carry, #354 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.4 yards per carry), Johnson allowed 21% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 7 opponents average a rating that would rank #194 in section, well above the first 3 (#327), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Atomsmashers rank #423 in section in run defense. It won't get any easier against Appling County, whose ground game ranks #14 in section (9.4 yards per carry).
Johnson's offense has gained more yards per snap as the season has worn on. Johnson averaged 4.3 yards per play (921 yards on 216 snaps) over its first 6 games (1-5), #409 in section over that span. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (0-4), the Atomsmashers have averaged 6.1 yards per play (1,098 yards on 179 snaps), a 44% rise, #245 in section in that timeframe. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Johnson's last 4 opponents have averaged 7.3 yards per play, a #319 defense in section on the season, against 6.1 yards per play, #148 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.3 yards per play), Johnson gained 16% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. On the season, Johnson ranks #363 in section in yards per play. That form gets a real test against Appling County, whose defense ranks #7 in section (4.0 yards per play).
One of Johnson's shakiest areas lately has been its defense. The Atomsmashers allowed 32.0 points per game over their first 5 games (1-4), #361 in section in that window. In the 5 games since that hot start (0-5), Johnson has allowed 42.6 points per game, a 33% rise, #426 in section during that time. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Johnson's last 5 opponents have averaged 28.6 points per game, a #169 offense in section on the season, against 22.5 points per game, #278 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (28.6 points per game), Johnson allowed 49% more than those offenses usually score. On the season, the Atomsmashers rank #418 in section in scoring defense. It won't get any easier against Appling County, whose offense ranks #54 in section (39.2 points per game). Johnson is 1-4 this season when it holds opponents under 40, and 0-5 when it doesn't.
If there's one number to watch in this matchup, it's Appling County's scoring defense. Appling County allowed 2.3 points per game over its first 3 games (3-0), #2 in section in that timeframe. In the 7 games since that hot start (7-0), the Pirates have allowed 8.6 points per game, a 267% rise, #19 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Appling County's last 7 opponents have averaged 25.0 points per game, a #230 offense in section on the season, against 14.1 points per game, #391 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (25.0 points per game), Appling County held those offenses 66% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 7 opponents average a rating that would rank #259 in section, well above the first 3 (#352), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Johnson's offense has struggled in recent weeks. The Atomsmashers have averaged 10.9 points per game over their last 7 games (0-7), #419 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the better scoring defenses in section (21.4 points per game on the season, which would rank #155). Against those norms, Johnson scored 49% less than those defenses usually allow. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game. Appling County is 8-0 this season when it holds opponents under 12, and 2-0 when it doesn't.
The turnover battle has the potential to swing this matchup, with the recent returns favoring Appling County. Johnson forced 1.4 takeaways per game over its first 5 games (1-4), #129 in section through those games. In the 5 games since that hot start (0-5), the Atomsmashers have forced 0.0 takeaways per game, a 100% drop, #440 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Johnson's last 5 opponents have averaged 0.9 per game, a #151 offense in section on the season, against 1.2 per game, #263 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (0.9 per game), Johnson forced 100% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Conversely, Appling County's ball security has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Pirates have committed 0.4 giveaways per game over their last 5 games (5-0), #57 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of defenses in section (0.9 per game on the season, which would rank #266). Against those norms, Appling County turned it over 57% less than those defenses usually force. Unless Johnson's defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Appling County.
Johnson averaged 3.9 yards per carry (655 yards on 168 rushes) over its first 6 games (1-5), #393 in section within that period. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (0-4), the Atomsmashers have averaged 6.9 yards per carry (955 yards on 138 rushes), a 77% rise, #125 in section across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Johnson's last 4 opponents have averaged 7.3 yards per carry, a #385 run defense in section on the season, against 5.3 yards per carry, #158 for the first 6. Conversely, Appling County's run defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Pirates have allowed 3.5 yards per carry (361 yards on 102 rushes) over their last 4 games (4-0), #38 in section during those games. Those games came against some of the better rushing attacks in section (8.1 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #51). Against those norms, Appling County held those rushing attacks 56% below their usual yards per carry. Something has to give when Johnson's surging ground game meets one of section's better units in Appling County's.
• Club The last time Appling County went a game being held under 5.0 yards per carry was September 6, 2024 against Swainsboro (W, 32-12). Since then Appling County has gone 33 straight games averaging 5.0+ yards per carry, a school-record 33 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Johnson went a game allowing 200+ passing yards was September 19, 2025 against Groves (W, 35-26). Since then Johnson has gone 15 straight games holding the opponent under 200 passing yards, a school-record 15 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Appling County has gone 10 straight games being held under 200 passing yards (August 27, 2026 through November 6, 2026), going 10-0 over that stretch, a school-record 10 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Appling County has won 10 straight, and a win would make it 11 in a row -- something they have not done in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Johnson has gone 9 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers (August 28, 2026 through November 6, 2026), going 0-9 over that stretch, a school-record 9 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Appling County has gone 10 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (August 27, 2026 through November 6, 2026), going 10-0 over that stretch, a school-record 10 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Johnson has gone 4 straight games being held under 8.0 yards per attempt (October 9, 2026 through November 6, 2026), going 0-4 over that stretch, a school-record 4 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Appling County is 10-0 entering play against Johnson and is looking to start 11-0 for the first time in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club Appling County is 19-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (19 such games).
• Club Johnson has allowed 136 points over its last 3 games (45.3 a game, October 23, 2026 through November 6, 2026) -- its 5th-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 158, from October 17, 2025 through October 31, 2025.
• Series This week's meeting is the 2nd time in 2 all-time meetings in which one of the two teams enters unbeaten — in 2026, Appling County entered 5-0 (Appling County won 50-6).
• Series Appling County leads the all-time series with Johnson 1-0, across 1 meetings dating to 2026.
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/27 | NEW HAMPSTEAD | at | W | 7-0 | |
| 09/04 | SAVANNAH | vs | W | 49-0 | |
| 09/11 | WAYNE COUNTY | vs | W | 56-7 | |
| 09/18 | VS. TATTNALL COUNTY* | vs | W | 49-13 | |
| 09/25 | BRANTLEY COUNTY | vs | W | 45-6 | |
| 10/02 | JOHNSON | vs | W | 50-6 | |
| 10/08 | BEACH | vs | W | 45-0 | |
| 10/23 | ISLANDS | vs | W | 45-7 | |
| 10/30 | TOOMBS COUNTY | at | W | 11-7 | |
| 11/06 | PIERCE COUNTY | vs | W | 35-21 | |
| SEASON RESULT | 10-0 | MISSED PLAYOFFS |
Season complete at 10-0 with no games on file beyond a normal 10-game regular season -- read as no postseason appearance. This library still has no playoff-round/bracket source, so this label comes from game count alone, not a confirmed bracket result.
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | SAVANNAH | at | W | 20-6 | |
| 08/28 | SOUTH EFFINGHAM | at | L | 0-39 | |
| 09/04 | LIBERTY COUNTY | vs | L | 19-43 | |
| 09/18 | PIERCE COUNTY | at | L | 6-48 | |
| 09/25 | @ TATTNALL COUNTY* | at | L | 6-24 | |
| 10/02 | APPLING COUNTY | vs | L | 6-50 | |
| 10/09 | BRANTLEY COUNTY | vs | L | 14-27 | |
| 10/23 | TOOMBS COUNTY | at | L | 0-62 | |
| 10/30 | BEACH | vs | L | 32-61 | |
| 11/06 | ISLANDS | at | L | 12-13 | |
| SEASON RESULT | 1-9 | MISSED PLAYOFFS |
Season complete at 1-9 with no games on file beyond a normal 10-game regular season -- read as no postseason appearance. This library still has no playoff-round/bracket source, so this label comes from game count alone, not a confirmed bracket result.
• AC's offense has averaged 0.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 0.2 giveaways per game. (+233%)
• JOH's defense has averaged 0.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 0.7 takeaways per game. (-100%)
• AC's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 10 straight games (08/27/2026-11/06/2026), going 10-0 over that stretch.
• AC's offense has exceeded 5.0 YPC in 10 straight games (08/27/2026-11/06/2026), going 10-0 over that stretch.
• JOH's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 10 straight games (08/21/2026-11/06/2026), going 1-9 over that stretch.
• JOH's defense has limited opponents to under 200 pass yds in 10 straight games (08/21/2026-11/06/2026), going 1-9 over that stretch.
• AC's offense has exceeded 100 rush yds in 8 straight games (09/11/2026-11/06/2026), going 8-0 over that stretch.
• AC's offense has exceeded 150 rush yds in 8 straight games (09/11/2026-11/06/2026), going 8-0 over that stretch.
• AC's defense has averaged 11.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 6.7 points allowed per game. (+74%)
• JOH's offense has averaged 2.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.2 giveaways per game. (+67%)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
AC -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 14 scored; vs 3482 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 6.7 | W9 | 0.800 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers < 2 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 | 0.658 |
| 3 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 | 0.646 |
| 4 | OFF | Turnovers < 1 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 | 0.637 |
| 5 | OFF | YPP 6+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 | 0.625 |
JOH -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 9 scored; vs 3482 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | YPA < 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.6 | L7 | 0.900 |
| 2 | DEF | Rush Yds 100+ | 1-8 | .111 | 38.8 | L8 | 0.761 |
| 3 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 1-7 | .125 | 10.4 | L7 | 0.641 |
| 4 | DEF | Pass Yds < 200 | 1-9 | .100 | 37.3 | L9 | 0.625 |
| 5 | OFF | YPP < 7 | 1-8 | .111 | 9.2 | L8 | 0.581 |
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
AC: 1 of 10 game(s) came against a tracked opponent; that opponent's own win% averaged .100 across those game(s).
JOH: 1 of 10 game(s) came against a tracked opponent; that opponent's own win% averaged .999 across those game(s).
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- AC ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways | 9-0 | .999 | 42.3 | W9 |
| AC rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 8-0 | .999 | 42.0 | W8 |
| AC averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 8-0 | .999 | 42.0 | W8 |
| AC averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 7-0 | .999 | 46.4 | W7 |
| AC holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards | 7-0 | .999 | 6.6 | W7 |
| AC holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry and under 150 rushing yards | 6-0 | .999 | 5.5 | W6 |
| AC holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt and under 5.0 yards per carry | 5-0 | .999 | 8.2 | W5 |
| AC holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play and under 100 rushing yards | 5-0 | .999 | 5.2 | W5 |
--- JOH ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| JOH rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 1-5 | .167 | 17.2 | L5 |
| JOH rushes for 150+ yards but stays under 8.0 yards per attempt | 1-3 | .250 | 19.5 | L3 |
| JOH averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 1-3 | .250 | 19.5 | L3 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| AC | YPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 1 | 9-0 | .999 | 42.3 |
| AC | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 8-0 | .999 | 42.0 |
| AC | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 8-0 | .999 | 42.0 |
| AC | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 7-0 | .999 | 46.4 |
| AC | Rush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 200 | 7-0 | .999 | 6.6 |
| AC | YPC < 5.0 & Rush Yds < 150 | 6-0 | .999 | 5.5 |
| AC | YPA < 8.0 & YPC < 5.0 | 5-0 | .999 | 8.2 |
| AC | YPP < 6.0 & Rush Yds < 100 | 5-0 | .999 | 5.2 |
| JOH | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 1-5 | .167 | 17.2 |
| JOH | Rush Yds 150+ & YPA < 8.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 19.5 |
| JOH | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 1-3 | .250 | 19.5 |
The next meeting brings together Appling County (10-0 this season) and Johnson (1-9). The SP Strength Index has Appling County at #73 and Johnson at #417 of 471 in the GA section. Appling County leads the recent series 1-0 over the last 1 meetings. In the most recent meeting, on October 2, 2026, Appling County pulled away 50-6.
Unbeaten in its last 7 entering play, Appling County's rushing offense has been the team's calling card (eclipsed 200 rushing yards in 5 of its last 7, 7-0 in that stretch). That carried into last time out, the Pirates handling Pierce County 35-21. Beaten in each of its last 7 entering play, Johnson's ball security has been the team's calling card (committed no more than one giveaway in 7 of its last 10, 1-9 in that stretch). Last time out, though, the Atomsmashers fell to Islands 13-12.
The matchup within the matchup pairs Appling County's takeaway production with Johnson's ball security. Appling County has an uncomfortable assignment when the two meet. Appling County has managed just 6 takeaways in the Pirates' last 7 games — the Pirates have gone 7-0 in that stretch. Across the line, Johnson has turned the ball over only 12 times in the Atomsmashers' last 10 games — the Atomsmashers have gone 1-9 in that stretch.
WEAKNESS VS. STRENGTH — Appling County has an uncomfortable assignment when the two meet. Appling County's passing attack has been a real vulnerability over the Pirates' last 5 games. The offense has failed to reach 200 passing yards in 5 straight games, averaging 66.8 passing yards per game (including a low of 14 in that span vs. Toombs County). That is 35% below the Pirates' baseline of 102.0 yards per game over the 6 games prior — a clear drop; the Pirates have gone 5-0 in that stretch. Across the line, Johnson's pass defense has been playing at a high level over the Atomsmashers' last 7 games. The defense has held its opponents under 200 passing yards in 7 straight games, averaging 57.0 passing yards allowed per game (including a low of 0 in that span vs. Pierce County). That is 44% below the Atomsmashers' baseline of 101.1 yards per game over the 7 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Atomsmashers have gone 0-7 in that stretch.
STRENGTH VS. WEAKNESS — Appling County's rushing offense has been playing at a high level over the Pirates' last 7 games. The ground game has eclipsed 200 rushing yards in 5 of the 7 games while averaging 246.9 rushing yards per game (including a high of 306 in that span vs. Beach). That is 87% above the Pirates' baseline of 131.8 yards per game over the 4 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Pirates have gone 7-0 in that stretch. The matchup when the two meet lines up in Appling County's favor. Johnson's rush defense has been a real vulnerability over the Atomsmashers' last 5 games. The defense has conceded 100+ rushing yards in 5 straight games, averaging 245.2 rushing yards allowed per game (including a high of 375 in that span vs. Beach). That is 14% above the Atomsmashers' baseline of 214.7 yards per game over the 9 games prior — a modest jump; the Atomsmashers have gone 0-5 in that stretch.
ONE-SIDED — Johnson's passing attack has been a real vulnerability over the Atomsmashers' last 10 games. The offense has failed to reach 200 passing yards in 10 straight games, averaging 40.9 passing yards per game (including a low of 0 in that span vs. South Effingham). That is 31% below the Atomsmashers' baseline of 59.5 yards per game over the 4 games prior — a clear drop; the Atomsmashers have gone 1-9 in that stretch. When the two meet, that trend meets Appling County. Appling County has averaged 78.4 yards per game on the other side of that matchup across its games on file.
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 10-0 | 1.000 | 39.2 | W10 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 10-0 | 1.000 | 39.2 | W10 |
| YPC < 5.0 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| YPP 6.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.6 | L7 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-9 | .100 | 11.5 | L9 | |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-5 | .167 | 17.2 | L5 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-4 | .000 | 3.0 | L4 | |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-3 | .250 | 19.5 | L3 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-6 | .000 | 6.2 | L6 | |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-4 | .200 | 19.4 | L4 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 3.6 | L5 | |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 19.3 | L3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-6 | .143 | 8.1 | L6 | |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | L1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-8 | .111 | 9.2 | L8 | |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-6 | .143 | 12.0 | L6 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 10.3 | L3 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-3 | .000 | 10.7 | L3 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 16.0 | L2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 9.0 | W6 | 3 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W8 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 13.7 | W3 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 5.2 | W5 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 6.6 | W7 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 7.7 | W7 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W8 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W8 | 2 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 8.7 | W7 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 2.0 | W3 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 4.7 | W3 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 31.0 | L3 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 1-9 | .100 | 37.3 | L9 | |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-8 | .111 | 38.8 | L8 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 24.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-8 | .000 | 42.9 | L8 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-1 | .500 | 15.0 | L1 | |
| YPC 5.0+ | 0-7 | .000 | 47.1 | L7 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 14.3 | L2 | |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-7 | .000 | 47.1 | L7 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 14.3 | L2 | |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 52.8 | L5 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 21.8 | L4 | |
| Turnovers 1+ | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 | L3 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 0-6 | .000 | 39.5 | L6 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-1 | .500 | 22.5 | L1 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 48.4 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 4.1 |
| Allows 10-19 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-5 | .000 | 3.6 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-3 | .000 | 15.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 |
| Scores 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-2 | .000 | 25.5 |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 39.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-5 | .000 | 52.8 |
APPLING COUNTY
• APPLING COUNTY has won 10 straight (8/27/26–11/6/26). It has not reached 11 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• APPLING COUNTY has been held under 100 passing in 2 straight games (10/30/26–11/6/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• APPLING COUNTY has rushed for 200+ in 2 straight games (10/30/26–11/6/26). It has not rushed for 200+ in 3 straight since 9/25/26–10/8/26 (2026).
JOHNSON
• JOHNSON has lost 9 straight (8/28/26–11/6/26). It has not reached 10 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• JOHNSON has allowed 200+ rushing in 2 straight games (10/30/26–11/6/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• JOHNSON has been held under 100 passing in 10 straight games (8/21/26–11/6/26). Earlier games have no box score on file, so the run may be longer. It has not reached 11 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 | 10-0 | 1.000 | 39.2 | W10 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 10 | 10-0 | 1.000 | 39.2 | W10 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 35.0 | W1 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 48.4 | W7 |
| AC | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| AC | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 9.0 | W6 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W8 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 13.7 | W3 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 5.2 | W5 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | W1 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 6.6 | W7 |
| AC | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 | W1 |
| AC | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 7.7 | W7 |
| AC | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W8 |
| AC | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | W8 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 8.7 | W7 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 2.0 | W3 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 4.7 | W3 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W1 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 4.1 | W8 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 | W1 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | W1 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.6 | L7 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 | 1-9 | .100 | 11.5 | L9 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 17.2 | L5 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 3.0 | L4 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 19.5 | L3 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 6.2 | L6 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 19.4 | L4 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 3.6 | L5 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 19.3 | L3 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 8.1 | L6 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | L1 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 9.2 | L8 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 12.0 | L6 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 10.3 | L3 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 10.7 | L3 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 16.0 | L2 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 3.6 | L5 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 15.0 | L3 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 20.0 | W1 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | L1 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 31.0 | L3 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 | 1-9 | .100 | 37.3 | L9 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 38.8 | L8 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 24.0 | L1 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 8 | 0-8 | .000 | 42.9 | L8 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 15.0 | L1 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 47.1 | L7 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 14.3 | L2 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 | 0-7 | .000 | 47.1 | L7 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 14.3 | L2 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 52.8 | L5 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 21.8 | L4 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 | L3 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 39.5 | L6 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 22.5 | L1 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 6.0 | W1 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 13.0 | L1 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 25.5 | L2 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 39.0 | L1 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 52.8 | L5 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 games | 08/27/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 10-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 10 games | 08/27/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 10-0 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 09/11/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 8-0 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 8 games | 09/11/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 8-0 |
| DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 games | 08/21/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 1-9 |
| DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 games | 08/21/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 1-9 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 6 games | 09/25/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-6 |
| DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 games | 10/02/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-5 |
| DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 games | 10/02/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-5 |
| OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 10/09/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-4 |
| OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 games | 10/09/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-4 |
| DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-3 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| AC | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 games | 08/27/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 10-0 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 10 games | 08/27/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 10-0 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 09/11/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 8-0 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 8 games | 09/11/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 8-0 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| AC | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| AC | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| AC | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| AC | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 3-0 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 games | 08/21/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 1-9 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 10 games | 08/21/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 1-9 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 6 games | 09/25/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-6 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 games | 10/02/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-5 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 games | 10/02/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-5 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 10/09/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-4 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 games | 10/09/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-4 |
| JOH | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 games | 10/23/2026 - 11/06/2026 | 0-3 |
Each pair of rows above is tinted by the gap between the two teams' win% in that scenario, judged for the HOME team (the bottom row):
GRAY = negligible gap (.000-.050)
PURPLE = solid gap (.051-.150)
GREEN = big gap (.151+), favoring the home team
RED = big gap (.151+), against the home team
| 100 RUSH YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | OVER | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 |
| JOH | DEF | OVER | 9 | 1-8 | .111 | 38.8 | L8 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | UNDER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| JOH | DEF | UNDER | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 24.0 | L1 |
| 150 RUSH YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | OVER | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 |
| JOH | DEF | OVER | 8 | 0-8 | .000 | 42.9 | L8 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | UNDER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| JOH | DEF | UNDER | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 15.0 | L1 |
| YPA 8.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | OVER | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | W8 |
| JOH | DEF | OVER | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | L5 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | UNDER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | W2 |
| JOH | DEF | UNDER | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 31.0 | L3 |
| 0 TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | ZERO | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 |
| JOH | DEF | ZERO | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 39.5 | L6 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | OVER | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| JOH | DEF | OVER | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 | L3 |
| 2+ TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | OVER | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | W1 |
| JOH | DEF | OVER | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 22.5 | L1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | OFF | UNDER | 9 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | W9 |
| JOH | DEF | UNDER | 8 | 0-8 | .000 | 41.0 | L8 |
| 100 RUSH YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | OVER | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 13.7 | W3 |
| JOH | OFF | OVER | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 17.2 | L5 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | UNDER | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 5.2 | W5 |
| JOH | OFF | UNDER | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 3.0 | L4 |
| 150 RUSH YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | OVER | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | W1 |
| JOH | OFF | OVER | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 19.5 | L3 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | UNDER | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 6.6 | W7 |
| JOH | OFF | UNDER | 6 | 0-6 | .000 | 6.2 | L6 |
| YPC 5.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | OVER | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 | W1 |
| JOH | OFF | OVER | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 19.4 | L4 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | UNDER | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 7.7 | W7 |
| JOH | OFF | UNDER | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 3.6 | L5 |
| 0 TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | ZERO | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 2.0 | W3 |
| JOH | OFF | ZERO | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 10.3 | L3 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | OVER | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 8.7 | W7 |
| JOH | OFF | OVER | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 12.0 | L6 |
| 2+ TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | OVER | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 4.7 | W3 |
| JOH | OFF | OVER | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 10.7 | L3 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| AC | DEF | UNDER | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 7.6 | W7 |
| JOH | OFF | UNDER | 7 | 1-6 | .143 | 11.9 | L6 |
AC OFFENSE
AC's offense has averaged 0.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 0.2 giveaways per game. (+233%)
AC's offense has averaged 66.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 94.6 pass yards per game. (-30%)
AC's offense has averaged 7.6 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 10.4 YPP. (-27%)
AC's offense has averaged 7.5 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 9.8 YPC. (-23%)
AC's offense has averaged 8.4 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 10.9 YPA. (-23%)
AC's offense has averaged 30.3 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 39.2 points scored per game. (-23%)
JOH OFFENSE
JOH's offense has averaged 2.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 1.2 giveaways per game. (+67%)
JOH's offense has averaged 210.8 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 161.0 rush yards per game. (+31%)
JOH's offense has averaged 257.7 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 201.9 total yards per game. (+28%)
JOH's offense has averaged 14.7 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 11.5 points scored per game. (+28%)
JOH's offense has averaged 50.6 pass yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 10-game average is 40.9 pass yards per game. (+24%)
JOH's offense has averaged 6.2 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 5.0 YPC. (+23%)
AC DEFENSE
AC's defense has averaged 11.7 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 6.7 points allowed per game. (+74%)
AC's defense has averaged 120.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 92.0 rush yards per game. (+31%)
AC's defense has averaged 205.7 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 160.8 total yards per game. (+28%)
AC's defense has averaged 0.8 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 1.1 takeaways per game. (-27%)
AC's defense has averaged 85.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 68.8 pass yards per game. (+24%)
JOH DEFENSE
JOH's defense has averaged 0.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 0.7 takeaways per game. (-100%)
JOH's defense has averaged 12.7 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 8.3 YPA. (+52%)
JOH's defense has averaged 57.0 pass yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 10-game average is 79.6 pass yards per game. (-28%)
JOH's defense has averaged 45.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 37.3 points allowed per game. (+22%)
JOH's defense has averaged 10.5 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 8.7 YPP. (+21%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 2, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- GAME PROJECTION -- FULL DETAIL (report pages 1-2)
Library-native projection: computed directly from the game library (slate_projection.SlateEngine), not the Excel workbook engine. This section does not yet include: an outside Strength Index cross-check (computer/CCCAA rankings -- workbook-only).
Note 2 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Note 3 -- OPPONENT STRENGTH (best-effort) -- why this is often empty
Only meaningful for a game against an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team on this workbook -- with just a couple of teams tracked, that's rare (mainly a direct matchup between them, if this run covers both); every other opponent has no win% on file here at all, so most of a team's schedule simply has no strength data to show.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- MATCHUP CONFLICTS — TAB-SEPARATED (13 columns)
| Team1 | Side1 | Split1 | Record1 | Win%1 | PPG1 | Team2 | Side2 | Split2 | Record2 | Win%2 | PPG2 | Relevance |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 19.3 | AC | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | 1.000 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 0-8 | .000 | 42.9 | 1.000 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 0-3 | .000 | 10.3 | AC | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 8.7 | 1.000 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 24.0 | 1.000 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 0-1 | .000 | 32.0 | AC | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 8.4 | 1.000 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | JOH | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 0-7 | .000 | 47.1 | 1.000 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | JOH | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 45.0 | 1.000 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 0-4 | .000 | 3.0 | AC | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 3-0 | 1.000 | 13.7 | 1.000 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 0-6 | .000 | 6.2 | AC | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 21.0 | 1.000 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | JOH | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 0-6 | .000 | 39.5 | 1.000 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 3.6 | AC | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 13.0 | 1.000 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 11.0 | JOH | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 52.8 | 1.000 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 28.0 | JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 1-8 | .111 | 38.8 | 0.889 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1-7 | .125 | 13.6 | AC | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | 0.875 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 1-6 | .143 | 12.0 | AC | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 2.0 | 0.857 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 1-5 | .167 | 17.2 | AC | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 5.2 | 0.833 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | JOH | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 21.8 | 0.800 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1-4 | .200 | 19.4 | AC | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 7.7 | 0.800 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | JOH | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 1-3 | .250 | 34.0 | 0.750 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | JOH | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1-3 | .250 | 31.0 | 0.750 |
| JOH | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1-3 | .250 | 19.5 | AC | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 6.6 | 0.750 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 10-0 | 1.000 | 39.2 | JOH | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 14.3 | 0.667 |
| AC | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 9-0 | 1.000 | 42.3 | JOH | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1-2 | .333 | 14.3 | 0.667 |
| AC | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 42.0 | JOH | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 1-1 | .500 | 15.0 | 0.500 |
Data Export 2 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| AC | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 85.3 | 8 | 68.8 | +24.1% | |
| AC | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 66.3 | 10 | 94.6 | -29.9% | |
| AC | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 11.7 | 10 | 6.7 | +74.1% | |
| AC | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 30.3 | 10 | 39.2 | -22.6% | |
| AC | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 120.3 | 8 | 92.0 | +30.8% | |
| AC | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 205.7 | 8 | 160.8 | +27.9% | |
| AC | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 0.8 | 10 | 1.1 | -27.3% | |
| AC | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.7 | 10 | 0.2 | +233.3% | |
| AC | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 8.4 | 10 | 10.9 | -22.7% | |
| AC | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 7.5 | 10 | 9.8 | -23.1% | |
| AC | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 7.6 | 10 | 10.4 | -26.7% | |
| JOH | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 7 | 57.0 | 10 | 79.6 | -28.4% | |
| JOH | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 7 | 50.6 | 10 | 40.9 | +23.6% | |
| JOH | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 45.3 | 10 | 37.3 | +21.5% | |
| JOH | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 14.7 | 10 | 11.5 | +27.5% | |
| JOH | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 5 | 210.8 | 10 | 161.0 | +30.9% | |
| JOH | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 257.7 | 10 | 201.9 | +27.6% | |
| JOH | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.0 | 10 | 0.7 | -100.0% | |
| JOH | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 2.0 | 10 | 1.2 | +66.7% | |
| JOH | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 12.7 | 9 | 8.3 | +52.2% | |
| JOH | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 6.2 | 10 | 5.0 | +23.1% | |
| JOH | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 10.5 | 10 | 8.7 | +20.7% |
