Trinity Christian Eagles football 2026: schedule, results, stats and rankings

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AT A GLANCE

In short: Trinity Christian Eagles high school football (Willow Park, TX), 2026 season: 5-4. Last game: L 7-34 vs All Saints Episcopal on October 23, 2026. Next: at Sacred Heart, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.

ScorePirate Individual Team Report

TRINITY CHRISTIAN 5-4

2026 SEASON

AT A GLANCE — AS OF 10/28/2026

RECORD	5-4 this season
LAST GAME	L 7-34 vs ALL SAINTS EPISCOPAL
NEXT GAME	SACRED HEART (10/30/2026)
UNIT GRADES	Pass Off 47.9 · Rush Off 46.8 · Pass Def 56.9 · Rush Def 8.8
ENROLLMENT	1,660 STUDENTS (2023-24)

NUMBERS TO NOTE

#894

SP Strength Index (of 1252)

5-4

2026 record

+9.7

avg scoring margin, pts/gm

UNIT INDEX — GRADE (YDS VS AVG)

TEAM	PASS O	RUSH O	PASS D	RUSH D
TRINITY CHRISTIAN	47.9 (-19)	46.8 (-17)	56.9 (-13)	8.8 (+111)

HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME LOG

TIMEFRAME

STORYLINES

Next: at Sacred Heart, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Trinity Christian at Sacred Heart.

The number to watch when Trinity Christian meets Sacred Heart is Trinity Christian's scoring defense. Trinity Christian allowed 5.0 points per game over its first 3 games (3-0), #14 in section in that timeframe. In the 6 games since that hot start (2-4), the Eagles have allowed 33.8 points per game, a 577% rise, #809 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Trinity Christian's last 6 opponents have averaged 31.9 points per game, a #506 offense in section on the season, against 14.0 points per game, #1111 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (31.9 points per game), Trinity Christian allowed 6% more than those offenses usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #695 in section, well above the first 3 (#1171), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Sacred Heart's offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Tigers have averaged 28.7 points per game over their last 6 games (4-2), #641 in section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in section (25.8 points per game on the season, which would rank #496). Against those norms, Sacred Heart scored 11% more than those defenses usually allow. Sacred Heart offers Trinity Christian a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Trinity Christian is 5-0 this season when it holds opponents under 30, and 0-4 when it doesn't.

The turnover battle could decide Trinity Christian's next game, against Sacred Heart, and the recent returns favor Sacred Heart. Trinity Christian committed 1.2 giveaways per game over its first 5 games (4-1), #551 in section through those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (1-3), the Eagles have committed 2.8 giveaways per game, a 129% rise, #1139 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Trinity Christian's last 4 opponents have averaged 2.3 per game, a #88 defense in section on the season, against 1.3 per game, #564 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (2.3 per game), Trinity Christian turned it over 19% more than those defenses usually force. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #745 in section, well above the first 5 (#1018), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Conversely, Sacred Heart's defense has been one of section's better units in recent weeks. The Tigers have forced 1.7 takeaways per game over their last 4 games (2-2), #345 in section over that stretch. Those games came against some of the weaker offenses in section (1.8 per game on the season, which would rank #986). Against those norms, Sacred Heart forced 6% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Unless Trinity Christian's ball security rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Sacred Heart.

NOTES

The biggest worry in Trinity Christian's season has been the direction of its run defense. Trinity Christian allowed 6.2 yards per carry (579 yards on 93 rushes) over its first 6 games (4-2), #702 in section within that period. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (1-2), the Eagles have allowed 9.5 yards per carry (1,144 yards on 121 rushes), a 52% rise, #1017 in section across those games. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Trinity Christian's last 3 opponents have averaged 8.0 yards per carry, a #138 rushing attack in section on the season, against 5.9 yards per carry, #500 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.0 yards per carry), Trinity Christian allowed 18% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #747 in section, well above the first 6 (#980), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Trinity Christian ranks #1055 in section in run defense.

Trinity Christian's defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Eagles allowed 6.7 yards per play (1,270 yards on 189 snaps) over their first 6 games (4-2), #584 in section during those games. Over the stretch of 3 games that followed (1-2), Trinity Christian has allowed 9.8 yards per play (1,571 yards on 160 snaps), a 46% rise, #991 in section during that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Trinity Christian's last 3 opponents have averaged 8.4 yards per play, a #176 offense in section on the season, against 6.9 yards per play, #496 for the first 6. Measured against those opponents' norms (8.4 yards per play), Trinity Christian allowed 16% more per snap than those offenses usually gain. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 3 opponents average a rating that would rank #747 in section, well above the first 6 (#980), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Eagles rank #950 in section in yards per play allowed.

Something changed for Trinity Christian's offense after its first 3 games. Trinity Christian averaged 45.0 points per game over its first 3 games (3-0), #125 in section during that stretch. In the 6 games since that hot start (2-4), the Eagles have averaged 28.3 points per game, a 37% drop, #663 in section over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Trinity Christian's last 6 opponents have averaged 25.8 points per game, a #496 scoring defense in section on the season, against 38.6 points per game, #989 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (25.8 points per game), Trinity Christian scored 10% more than those defenses usually allow. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 6 opponents average a rating that would rank #695 in section, well above the first 3 (#1171), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Trinity Christian ranks #431 in section in scoring. It won't get any easier against Sacred Heart, whose defense ranks #217 in section (19.0 points per game). Trinity Christian is 5-2 this season when it scores 19 or more, and 0-2 when it doesn't.

Trinity Christian's offense has gained fewer yards per snap as the season has worn on. The Eagles averaged 7.1 yards per play (1,428 yards on 201 snaps) over their first 5 games (4-1), #456 in section over that timeframe. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (1-3), Trinity Christian has averaged 6.3 yards per play (961 yards on 153 snaps), a 12% drop, #599 in section over that span. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Trinity Christian's last 4 opponents have averaged 7.1 yards per play, a #718 defense in section on the season, against 8.2 yards per play, #974 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.1 yards per play), Trinity Christian gained 11% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #745 in section, well above the first 5 (#1018), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Eagles rank #539 in section in yards per play. Sacred Heart's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #581 in section (6.7 yards per play).

TIDBITS (5 found)

• Club Trinity Christian has lost 2 straight, and a loss would make it 3 in a row. The last time they lost 3 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 4.

• Club Trinity Christian has gone 4 straight games allowing 8.0+ yards per attempt (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 1-3 over that stretch, a school-record 4 straight in the 5 seasons on record.

• Club Trinity Christian has gone 4 straight games allowing 100+ rushing yards (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 1-3 over that stretch, a school-record 4 straight in the 5 seasons on record.

• Club Trinity Christian has gone 4 straight games allowing 5.0+ yards per carry (October 2, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 1-3 over that stretch, a school-record 4 straight in the 5 seasons on record.

• Club Trinity Christian has scored 153 points over its last 5 games (30.6 a game, September 25, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 4th-highest 5-game total on record; the most is 170, from November 7, 2025 through September 18, 2026.

MILESTONE WATCH

Trinity Christian

Colt Brinkman needs 1 touchdown pass for 10 (averaging 1.8 a game)
Pearson Kuykendall needs 5 tackles for 50 (averaging 9.0 a game)

TC — STAT LEADERS

OFFENSE

Colt Brinkman5 GMS

PASSING LEADER

498PASS YDS

C-ATT37-63

COMP%58.7%

YPA7.9

TD9

INT7

QBR150.1

Pearson Kuykendall5 GMS

RUSHING LEADER

253RUSH YDS

CAR35

YPC7.2

RUSH TD3

REC4

REC YDS38

YPR9.5

REC TD0

Marshall Hughes5 GMS

RUSHING LEADER

141RUSH YDS

CAR14

YPC10.1

RUSH TD2

REC0

REC YDS0

YPR--

REC TD0

Hank Nash5 GMS

RECEIVING LEADER

306REC YDS

REC18

YPR17.0

REC TD4

Noah Keyes5 GMS

RECEIVING LEADER

110REC YDS

REC9

YPR12.2

REC TD3

DEFENSE

Brogan Chapman5 GMS

TACKLES LEADER

59TCKL

TFL12

SACKS0

INT0

PD1

FF1

Pearson Kuykendall5 GMS

TACKLES LEADER

45TCKL

TFL11

SACKS2

INT0

PD0

FF0

Jayton Garrett4 GMS

TACKLES LEADER

37TCKL

TFL2

SACKS1

INT0

PD0

FF1

Ethan Kilbourne5 GMS

TFL LEADER

6TFL

TCKL14

SACKS1

INT0

PD0

FF0

Stetson Herridge4 GMS

TFL LEADER

5TFL

TCKL15

SACKS1

INT0

PD0

FF0

Noah Keyes5 GMS

INTERCEPTIONS LEADER

2INT

TCKL24

TFL2

SACKS0

PD0

FF1

DATA WARNING: TRINITY CHRISTIAN OFFENSIVE STATS FOR 10/23/2026 GAME VS. ALL SAINTS EPISCOPAL* MISSING

All stat areas in this report are subject to change as box scores are updated.

TC — WHAT CHANGED THIS WEEK

Lost to All Saints Episcopal 7-34 on Oct 23; now 5-4. That makes 2 straight losses.
Brogan Chapman went past 50 tackles for the season (59).

From the games on file through Oct 16.

REMAINING SCHEDULE

Most likely finish 5-5 · realistic range 5-5 to 6-4

Remaining schedule: 611th hardest of 1146 in the TX section (average opponent strength 0.7).

Date	Opponent	SP rank	Win chance
10/30	at Sacred Heart	#634 of 1252	26%

Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).

Printable team sheet Program history Open in Stat Booth Widget for your site

TC — PLAYER SEASON STATS — 2026

Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 16 game; last updated Oct 28; roster and numbers checked Oct 27.

Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.

PASSINGMIN ATT
NO	PLAYER	GP	C/ATT	COMP %	YDS	YPA	TD	INT	QBR
4	COLT BRINKMAN	5	37/63	58.7%	498	7.9	9	7	150.1
15	NOAH KEYES	5	1/1	100.0%	4	4.0	0	0	133.6
2	SILAS MANGUM	2	2/2	100.0%	2	1.0	0	0	108.4
1	HANK NASH	5	2/2	100.0%	0	0.0	0	0	100.0
	TEAM TOTALS	5	42/68	61.8%	504	7.4	9	7	147.1

RUSHINGMIN CAR
NO	PLAYER	GP	CAR	YDS	YPC	TD
9	PEARSON KUYKENDALL	5	35	253	7.2	3
4	COLT BRINKMAN	5	45	163	3.6	5
14	MARSHALL HUGHES	5	14	141	10.1	2
6	CAMPBELL KARR	3	5	62	12.4	0
2	SILAS MANGUM	2	6	27	4.5	0
15	NOAH KEYES	5	5	24	4.8	0
1	HANK NASH	5	6	20	3.3	0
22	JAYTON GARRETT	4	3	13	4.3	0
45	NOLAN BALES	2	7	-1	-0.1	0
8	ERIC KUYKENDALL	4	1	-2	-2.0	0
	TEAM TOTALS	5	127	700	5.5	10

RECEIVINGMIN REC
NO	PLAYER	GP	REC	YDS	YPR	TD
1	HANK NASH	5	18	306	17.0	4
15	NOAH KEYES	5	9	110	12.2	3
22	JAYTON GARRETT	4	3	45	15.0	2
5	BRAYDEN TERRELL	5	3	41	13.7	0
9	PEARSON KUYKENDALL	5	4	38	9.5	0
8	ERIC KUYKENDALL	4	1	6	6.0	0
11	SHANE PALMER	5	1	6	6.0	0
4	COLT BRINKMAN	5	2	0	0.0	1
27	RYKER FRANKLIN	1	1	-4	-4.0	0
	TEAM TOTALS	5	42	548	13.0	10

DEFENSEMIN TCKL
NO	PLAYER	GP	TCKL	TFL	SACKS	INT	INT YDS	PD	FF
53	BROGAN CHAPMAN	5	59	12	0	0	0	1	1
9	PEARSON KUYKENDALL	5	45	11	2	0	0	0	0
22	JAYTON GARRETT	4	37	2	1	0	0	0	1
23	PARKER MERRILL	5	35	1	0	0	0	0	0
11	SHANE PALMER	5	26	0	0	0	0	1	0
15	NOAH KEYES	5	24	2	0	2	28	0	1
5	BRAYDEN TERRELL	5	22	1	0	1	0	2	0
1	HANK NASH	5	16	2	0	1	0	2	0
77	STETSON HERRIDGE	4	15	5	1	0	0	0	0
70	ETHAN KILBOURNE	5	14	6	1	0	0	0	0
52	PARKER DILDY	3	10	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	COLT BRINKMAN	5	6	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	COLTON GOMAS	2	6	0	0	0	0	0	0
72	BRADEN KARR	3	5	1	0	0	0	0	0
54	PAUL CHRANE	4	5	1	0	0	0	0	0
8	ERIC KUYKENDALL	4	5	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	MARSHALL HUGHES	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0
51	CORBEN BAKER	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
2	SILAS MANGUM	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	0
58	LUKE HERNANDEZ	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
66	NICK WILLIAMS	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
45	NOLAN BALES	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
6	CAMPBELL KARR	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
88	WYATT MILTON	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
78	ABE DURST	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
67	GARREN DICKERSON	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	TEAM TOTALS	5	354	46	5	7	28	7	3

PROGRAM SNAPSHOT: TC

PROGRAM RECORD

SEASON	RECORD	PF	PA	PPG
2022	1-9	91	372	9.1
2023	1-9	90	269	9.0
2024	2-8	200	367	20.0
2025	2-7	147	366	16.3
2026	5-4	305	218	33.9
2022-26	11-37			17.4

TAPPS Div IV · District 1

2026 district standings · full page · all Texas districts

#	Team	Dist	Ovr	Rank	Proj.	Dist. pts	Next
1	FIRST BAPTIST	6-0	9-0	1 / 120	1 (7.0-0.0)	312-49	10/30 vs BISHOP GORMAN
2	LIVE OAK CLASSICAL	4-2	7-2	2 / 406	3 (4.8-2.2)	194-123	10/30 vs MERCY CULTURE PREP
3	ALL SAINTS EPISCOPAL	4-2	5-4	7 / 636	2 (4.9-2.1)	181-111	10/30 vs BISHOP REICHER CATHOLIC
4	SACRED HEART	4-2	5-4	6 / 634	4 (4.8-2.2)	172-126	10/30 vs TRINITY CHRISTIAN
5	MERCY CULTURE PREP	3-3	6-3	8 / 738	5 (3.2-3.8)	170-208	10/30 vs LIVE OAK CLASSICAL
6	TRINITY CHRISTIAN	2-4	5-4	10 / 894	6 (2.2-4.8)	170-203	10/30 vs SACRED HEART
7	BISHOP GORMAN	1-5	2-7	13 / 1121	7 (1.0-6.0)	91-263	10/30 vs FIRST BAPTIST
8	BISHOP REICHER CATHOLIC	0-6	3-6	11 / 1106	8 (0.1-6.9)	72-279	10/30 vs ALL SAINTS EPISCOPAL

Ordered by district record, then overall record and district point margin; UIL tiebreakers (head-to-head) are applied by the district, not here. Rank = SP Strength Index place in the classification / in Texas. Proj. = projected district finish and record, playing out each remaining district game by the two teams' ratings. From the 2026 results on file · TAPPS Div IV rankings · player leaders.

TC — 2026 SEASON SCHEDULE

DATE	OPPONENT	SITE	RESULT	SCORE	WIN%
08/21	NEWMAN INTERNATIONAL ACADEMY	vs	W	56-0
08/28	SHELTON	at	W	50-0
09/04	VALLEY VIEW	at	W	29-15
09/18	FIRST BAPTIST	vs	L	17-52
09/25	BISHOP REICHER CATHOLIC	vs	W	44-0
10/02	MERCY CULTURE PREP	vs	L	35-44
10/09	BISHOP GORMAN	vs	W	48-24
10/16	LIVE OAK CLASSICAL	at	L	19-49
10/23	ALL SAINTS EPISCOPAL	vs	L	7-34
10/30	SACRED HEART	at	PROJ	20-33	25.6%
SEASON TO DATE	5-4			1 REMAINING

SEASON OUTLOOK

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)

	RECORD TO DATE	MOST LIKELY FINAL	PROJECTED RECORD
Overall	5-4 so far	5-5 (74%)	5.3-4.7
League	2-4 so far	2-4 (100%)	2.0-4.0

TC — 2026 OVERALL AVERAGES

SPLIT	GP	PPG	OPP PPG	YPG	OPP YPG	PLAYS/G	OPP PLAYS/G
OVERALL	9	33.9	24.2	298.6	405.9	44.2	49.9
HOME	6	34.5	25.7	326.2	409.0	46.6	47.4
ROAD	3	32.7	21.3	252.7	398.0	40.3	56.0

PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.

Box-score coverage behind YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME: Overall 8/9 game(s), Home 5/6 game(s), Road 3/3 game(s).

TC — 2026 TEAM GAME LOG

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	PASS YDS	RUSH YDS	TOTAL YDS	PASS ALW	RUSH ALW	TOTAL ALW	SACKS ALW	SACKS	DEF INT	TO FORCED	TO MAR
8/21	vs. NIA	W 56-0	69	182	251	--	--	--	--	0	1	1	0
8/28	@ Shelton	W 50-0	81	208	289	--	--	--	--	2	3	4	+4
9/4	@ Valley View	W 29-15	158	146	304	79	195	274	0	1	0	2	+1
9/18	vs. First Baptist	L 17-52	134	61	195	247	195	442	4	1	2	3	-1
9/25	vs. Bishop Reicher Catholic	W 44-0	190	199	389	50	57	107	--	--	--	2	+2
10/2	vs. Mercy Culture Prep	L 35-44	155	225	380	315	132	447	--	--	--	2	-3
10/9	vs. Bishop Gorman	W 48-24	197	219	416	189	250	439	--	--	--	4	+4
10/16	@ Live Oak Classical	L 19-49	62	103	165	184	338	522	0	1	1	2	0
10/23	vs. All Saints Episcopal	L 7-34	--	--	--	54	556	610	--	--	--	0	-4
AVERAGES			130.8	167.9	298.6	159.7	246.1	405.9	1.3	1.0	1.4	2.2	+3 (season)

Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 8/9, defense 7/9, sacks/INT 5/9, sacks allowed 3/9 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.

UNIT INDEX

Pass Offense: grade 47.9/100 (-19 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Offense: grade 46.8/100 (-17 yds/gm vs average)

Pass Defense: grade 56.9/100 (-13 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Defense: grade 8.8/100 (+111 yds/gm vs average)

Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.

OPPONENT TRACKER

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)

DATE	SITE	OPPONENT	THEIR RECORD	THEIR PPG
2026-10-30	at	SACRED HEART	5-4	29.1

LAST YEAR

TC finished 2025 at 2-7. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 34-28 over BISHOP GORMAN (BISHOP GORMAN finished 10% that season). Toughest loss: 7-28 to LIVE OAK CLASSICAL (21-point margin).

LAST SEASON: TC — 2025 GAME LOG

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	RECORD	PF	PA	TOT YDS	YDS ALLOWED
2025-08-29	SACRED HEART	L	0-1	13	35	N/A	N/A
2025-09-05	LIVE OAK CLASSICAL	L	0-2	7	28	N/A	N/A
2025-09-19	BISHOP GORMAN	W	1-2	34	28	N/A	N/A
2025-09-26	ALL SAINTS EPISCOPAL	L	1-3	3	46	N/A	N/A
2025-10-03	NEWMAN INTERNATIONAL ACADEMY	W	2-3	44	12	N/A	N/A
2025-10-10	PANTEGO CHRISTIAN	L	2-4	7	56	N/A	N/A
2025-10-17	COVENANT CHRISTIAN	L	2-5	14	56	N/A	N/A
2025-10-23	LAKE COUNTRY CHRISTIAN	L	2-6	7	53	N/A	N/A
2025-11-07	LUBBOCK CHRISTIAN	L	2-7	18	52	N/A	N/A
TOTALS	9 GMS	2-7	2-7	147	366	N/A	N/A

"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.

TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)

TC HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...

• TC commits fewer than 2 giveaways (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so

• TC averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so

• TC averages 6.0+ yards per play (.999), and has won 5 straight when doing so

• TC rushes for 100+ yards (.545), but most recently lost to Live Oak Classical when doing so

• TC's defense has averaged 24.5 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 14.2 YPA. (+73%)

• TC is 4-0 (.999) when it wins the turnover battle

• TC's defense has averaged 381.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 246.1 rush yards per game. (+55%)

• TC averages 9.4+ yards per attempt (TC's own median) (.999)

• TC averages 5.8+ yards per carry (TC's own median) (.999)

• TC averages 7.2+ yards per play (TC's own median) (.999)

• TC's defense has conceded 8.0+ YPA in 4 straight games (10/02/2026-10/23/2026), going 1-3 over that stretch.

• TC's defense has conceded 100+ rush yds in 4 straight games (10/02/2026-10/23/2026), going 1-3 over that stretch.

• TC's defense has conceded 5.0+ YPC in 4 straight games (10/02/2026-10/23/2026), going 1-3 over that stretch.

• TC's defense has conceded 6.0+ YPP in 4 straight games (10/02/2026-10/23/2026), going 1-3 over that stretch.

• TC's defense has conceded 7.0+ YPP in 4 straight games (10/02/2026-10/23/2026), going 1-3 over that stretch.

MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)

TC -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(top 4 of 4 scored; vs 1601 cached team(s))

#	SIDE	CONDITION	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK	SCORE
1	OFF	Rush Yds 150+	5-3	.625	38.4	W1	0.770
2	DEF	Turnovers 1+	5-3	.625	23.0	L1	0.765
3	OFF	Rush Yds 100+	6-5	.545	32.9	L1	0.512
4	OFF	Pass Yds < 200	6-9	.400	27.3	L1	0.164

WIN %: TWO-CONDITION COMBINATIONS (3 found, min 4 Gms each)

(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)

--- TC ---

CONDITION	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
TC rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards	6-5	.545	32.9	L1
TC averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards	4-1	.800	46.6	W1
TC averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards	4-0	.999	49.5	W4

WIN % -- TAB-SEPARATED

Team	Condition	Record	Win%	PPG
TC	Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200	6-5	.545	32.9
TC	YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+	4-1	.800	46.6
TC	YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+	4-0	.999	49.5

TC — OFFENSE — 2024-26 (28 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
YPA 8.0+	5-0	1.000	45.4	W5
YPA < 8.0	0-3	.000	23.7	L3	20 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+	--	--	--	--
Pass Yds < 200	6-9	.400	27.3	L1	13 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+	6-5	.545	32.9	L1
Rush Yds < 100	0-4	.000	11.8	L4	13 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+	5-3	.625	38.4	W1
Rush Yds < 150	1-6	.143	14.6	L2	13 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+	5-1	.833	43.7	W1
YPC < 5.0	0-2	.000	18.0	L2	20 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+	5-0	1.000	45.4	W5
YPP < 6.0	0-3	.000	23.7	L3	20 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+	4-0	1.000	49.5	W4
YPP < 7.0	1-3	.250	25.0	L3	20 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+	2-4	.333	27.2	L4
Turnovers < 1	3-0	1.000	47.3	W3	19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+	0-4	.000	19.5	L4	19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2	0-3	.000	19.7	L3	19 games without this stat on file

TC — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (28 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG
Scores <10	0-8	.000	5.9
Scores 10-19	0-9	.000	15.9
Scores 20-29	1-1	.500	26.5
Scores 30-39	1-1	.500	34.5
Scores 40+	7-0	1.000	48.6

TC — OFFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
YPA 8.0+	5-0	1.000	45.4	W5
YPA < 8.0	0-3	.000	23.7	L3	1 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+	--	--	--	--
Pass Yds < 200	5-3	.625	37.2	L1	1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+	5-2	.714	40.1	L1
Rush Yds < 100	0-1	.000	17.0	L1	1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+	4-1	.800	46.6	W1
Rush Yds < 150	1-2	.333	21.7	L2	1 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+	5-1	.833	43.7	W1
YPC < 5.0	0-2	.000	18.0	L2	1 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+	5-0	1.000	45.4	W5
YPP < 6.0	0-3	.000	23.7	L3	1 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+	4-0	1.000	49.5	W4
YPP < 7.0	1-3	.250	25.0	L3	1 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+	2-4	.333	27.2	L4
Turnovers < 1	3-0	1.000	47.3	W3
Turnovers 2+	0-4	.000	19.5	L4
Turnovers > 2	0-3	.000	19.7	L3

TC — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG
Scores <10	0-1	.000	7.0
Scores 10-19	0-2	.000	18.0
Scores 20-29	1-0	1.000	29.0
Scores 30-39	0-1	.000	35.0
Scores 40+	4-0	1.000	49.5

TC — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (28 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
YPA 8.0+	1-4	.200	40.6	L2
YPA < 8.0	2-0	1.000	7.5	W2	21 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+	0-2	.000	48.0	L2
Pass Yds < 200	3-2	.600	24.4	L2	21 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+	2-4	.333	36.3	L2
Rush Yds < 100	1-0	1.000	0.0	W1	21 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+	2-3	.400	34.8	L2
Rush Yds < 150	1-1	.500	22.0	L1	21 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+	2-4	.333	36.3	L2
YPC < 5.0	1-0	1.000	0.0	W1	21 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+	1-4	.200	40.6	L2
YPP < 6.0	2-0	1.000	7.5	W2	21 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+	1-4	.200	40.6	L2
YPP < 7.0	2-0	1.000	7.5	W2	21 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+	5-3	.625	23.0	L1
Turnovers < 1	0-1	.000	34.0	L1	19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+	4-3	.571	26.3	L1	19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2	2-1	.667	25.3	W1	19 games without this stat on file

TC — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (28 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG
Allows <10	3-0	1.000	0.0
Allows 10-19	2-0	1.000	13.5
Allows 20-29	3-4	.429	25.0
Allows 30-39	1-3	.250	34.8
Allows 40+	0-12	.000	50.8

TC — DEFENSE — 2026 (9 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG	STRK
YPA 8.0+	1-4	.200	40.6	L2
YPA < 8.0	2-0	1.000	7.5	W2	2 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+	0-2	.000	48.0	L2
Pass Yds < 200	3-2	.600	24.4	L2	2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+	2-4	.333	36.3	L2
Rush Yds < 100	1-0	1.000	0.0	W1	2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+	2-3	.400	34.8	L2
Rush Yds < 150	1-1	.500	22.0	L1	2 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+	2-4	.333	36.3	L2
YPC < 5.0	1-0	1.000	0.0	W1	2 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+	1-4	.200	40.6	L2
YPP < 6.0	2-0	1.000	7.5	W2	2 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+	1-4	.200	40.6	L2
YPP < 7.0	2-0	1.000	7.5	W2	2 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+	5-3	.625	23.0	L1
Turnovers < 1	0-1	.000	34.0	L1
Turnovers 2+	4-3	.571	26.3	L1
Turnovers > 2	2-1	.667	25.3	W1

TC — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (9 Gms)

SPLIT	REC	WIN%	PPG
Allows <10	3-0	1.000	0.0
Allows 10-19	1-0	1.000	15.0
Allows 20-29	1-0	1.000	24.0
Allows 30-39	0-1	.000	34.0
Allows 40+	0-3	.000	48.3

ON THE BRINK

TRINITY CHRISTIAN

• TRINITY CHRISTIAN has allowed 200+ rushing in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 4 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• TRINITY CHRISTIAN has allowed 400+ total yards in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• TRINITY CHRISTIAN has committed 2+ turnovers in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

• TRINITY CHRISTIAN has lost by 20+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not lost by 20+ in 3 straight since 10/10/25–11/7/25 (2025). It has reached 3 straight 2 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 4 straight (2025) in that span.

TAB-SEPARATED (paste into a spreadsheet)

Team	Side	Split	Games	Record	Win%	PPG	Strk
TC	OFFENSE	YPA 8.0+	5	5-0	1.000	45.4	W5
TC	OFFENSE	YPA < 8.0	3	0-3	.000	23.7	L3
TC	OFFENSE	Pass Yds < 200	15	6-9	.400	27.3	L1
TC	OFFENSE	Rush Yds 100+	11	6-5	.545	32.9	L1
TC	OFFENSE	Rush Yds < 100	4	0-4	.000	11.8	L4
TC	OFFENSE	Rush Yds 150+	8	5-3	.625	38.4	W1
TC	OFFENSE	Rush Yds < 150	7	1-6	.143	14.6	L2
TC	OFFENSE	YPC 5.0+	6	5-1	.833	43.7	W1
TC	OFFENSE	YPC < 5.0	2	0-2	.000	18.0	L2
TC	OFFENSE	YPP 6.0+	5	5-0	1.000	45.4	W5
TC	OFFENSE	YPP < 6.0	3	0-3	.000	23.7	L3
TC	OFFENSE	YPP 7.0+	4	4-0	1.000	49.5	W4
TC	OFFENSE	YPP < 7.0	4	1-3	.250	25.0	L3
TC	OFFENSE	Turnovers 1+	6	2-4	.333	27.2	L4
TC	OFFENSE	Turnovers < 1	3	3-0	1.000	47.3	W3
TC	OFFENSE	Turnovers 2+	4	0-4	.000	19.5	L4
TC	OFFENSE	Turnovers > 2	3	0-3	.000	19.7	L3
TC	OFFENSE	Scores <10	8	0-8	.000	5.9	L8
TC	OFFENSE	Scores 10-19	9	0-9	.000	15.9	L9
TC	OFFENSE	Scores 20-29	2	1-1	.500	26.5	W1
TC	OFFENSE	Scores 30-39	2	1-1	.500	34.5	L1
TC	OFFENSE	Scores 40+	7	7-0	1.000	48.6	W7
TC	DEFENSE	YPA 8.0+	5	1-4	.200	40.6	L2
TC	DEFENSE	YPA < 8.0	2	2-0	1.000	7.5	W2
TC	DEFENSE	Pass Yds 200+	2	0-2	.000	48.0	L2
TC	DEFENSE	Pass Yds < 200	5	3-2	.600	24.4	L2
TC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds 100+	6	2-4	.333	36.3	L2
TC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds < 100	1	1-0	1.000	0.0	W1
TC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds 150+	5	2-3	.400	34.8	L2
TC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds < 150	2	1-1	.500	22.0	L1
TC	DEFENSE	YPC 5.0+	6	2-4	.333	36.3	L2
TC	DEFENSE	YPC < 5.0	1	1-0	1.000	0.0	W1
TC	DEFENSE	YPP 6.0+	5	1-4	.200	40.6	L2
TC	DEFENSE	YPP < 6.0	2	2-0	1.000	7.5	W2
TC	DEFENSE	YPP 7.0+	5	1-4	.200	40.6	L2
TC	DEFENSE	YPP < 7.0	2	2-0	1.000	7.5	W2
TC	DEFENSE	Turnovers 1+	8	5-3	.625	23.0	L1
TC	DEFENSE	Turnovers < 1	1	0-1	.000	34.0	L1
TC	DEFENSE	Turnovers 2+	7	4-3	.571	26.3	L1
TC	DEFENSE	Turnovers > 2	3	2-1	.667	25.3	W1
TC	DEFENSE	Allows <10	3	3-0	1.000	0.0	W3
TC	DEFENSE	Allows 10-19	2	2-0	1.000	13.5	W2
TC	DEFENSE	Allows 20-29	7	3-4	.429	25.0	W2
TC	DEFENSE	Allows 30-39	4	1-3	.250	34.8	L2
TC	DEFENSE	Allows 40+	12	0-12	.000	50.8	L12

STREAKS: TC (combined OFFENSE+DEFENSE)

SIDE	SPLIT	STREAK	DATES	RECORD
DEFENSE	YPA 8.0+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
DEFENSE	Rush Yds 100+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
DEFENSE	YPC 5.0+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
DEFENSE	YPP 6.0+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
DEFENSE	YPP 7.0+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
DEFENSE	Pass Yds < 200	3 games	10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-2
DEFENSE	Rush Yds 150+	3 games	10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-2

STREAKS — ALL TEAMS

Team	Side	Split	Streak	Dates	Record
TC	DEFENSE	YPA 8.0+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
TC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds 100+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
TC	DEFENSE	YPC 5.0+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
TC	DEFENSE	YPP 6.0+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
TC	DEFENSE	YPP 7.0+	4 games	10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-3
TC	DEFENSE	Pass Yds < 200	3 games	10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-2
TC	DEFENSE	Rush Yds 150+	3 games	10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026	1-2

NOTABLE TRENDS (11 of 11 found, team |deviation| >= 20%, matchup |deviation| >= 20%)

TC OFFENSE

TC's offense has averaged 32.3 points scored per game over their last 10 games. Their 28-game average is 23.3 points scored per game. (+39%)

TC's offense has averaged 186.5 rush yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 15-game average is 152.5 rush yards per game. (+22%)

TC's offense has averaged 337.5 total yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 15-game average is 278.5 total yards per game. (+21%)

TC's offense has averaged 2.3 giveaways per game over their last 7 games. Their 9-game average is 1.9 giveaways per game. (+21%)

TC's offense has averaged 4.9 YPC over their last 7 games. Their 8-game average is 6.1 YPC. (-20%)

TC DEFENSE

TC's defense has averaged 24.5 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 14.2 YPA. (+73%)

TC's defense has averaged 381.3 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 246.1 rush yards per game. (+55%)

TC's defense has averaged 523.7 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 405.9 total yards per game. (+29%)

TC's defense has averaged 9.9 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 8.0 YPP. (+24%)

TC's defense has averaged 10.0 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 7-game average is 8.2 YPC. (+21%)

TC's defense has averaged 27.0 points allowed per game over their last 10 games. Their 28-game average is 34.0 points allowed per game. (-21%)

(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)

APPENDIX

Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.

Explanatory Notes

Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK

Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).

Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown

Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.

Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored

Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.

Full Data Exports

Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)

Team	Side	Type	Stat	Opponent	Window/Meetings	Value	BaselineGames	BaselineAvg	Deviation
TC	DEFENSE	team	Points		last 10	27.0	28	34.0	-20.5%
TC	OFFENSE	team	Points		last 10	32.3	28	23.3	+38.7%
TC	DEFENSE	team	Rush Yards		last 3	381.3	7	246.1	+54.9%
TC	OFFENSE	team	Rush Yards		last 5	186.5	15	152.5	+22.3%
TC	DEFENSE	team	Total Yards		last 3	523.7	7	405.9	+29.0%
TC	OFFENSE	team	Total Yards		last 5	337.5	15	278.5	+21.2%
TC	OFFENSE	team	Turnovers		last 7	2.3	9	1.9	+21.0%
TC	DEFENSE	team	YPA		last 3	24.5	7	14.2	+73.3%
TC	DEFENSE	team	YPC		last 3	10.0	7	8.2	+21.3%
TC	OFFENSE	team	YPC		last 7	4.9	8	6.1	-20.4%
TC	DEFENSE	team	YPP		last 3	9.9	7	8.0	+24.4%

Report Produced by ScorePirate | Commitment and offer data sourced from 247Sports | GENERATED 10/28/2026 20:14