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AT A GLANCE

In short: Treutlen Vikings high school football (Soperton, GA), 2026 season: 6-2. Last game: W 28-14 vs Dooly County on October 16, 2026. Next: at Hawkinsville, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.

ScorePirate Individual Team Report
TREUTLEN
TREUTLEN 6-2
2026 SEASON
TREUTLEN
AT A GLANCE — AS OF 10/28/2026
RECORD6-2 this season
LAST GAMEW 28-14 vs DOOLY COUNTY
NEXT GAMEHAWKINSVILLE (10/30/2026)
UNIT GRADESPass Off 41.3 · Rush Off 86.9 · Pass Def 62.4 · Rush Def 66.3
ENROLLMENT1,020 STUDENTS (2022-23)
NUMBERS TO NOTE
#231
SP Strength Index (of 471)
6-2
2026 record
+15.1
avg scoring margin, pts/gm
UNIT INDEX — GRADE (YDS VS AVG)
TEAMPASS ORUSH OPASS DRUSH D
TREUTLEN41.3 (-33)86.9 (+98)62.4 (-21)66.3 (-36)
HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME LOG

STORYLINES

Next: at Hawkinsville, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Treutlen at Hawkinsville.

The number to watch when Treutlen meets Hawkinsville is Treutlen's scoring defense. Treutlen allowed 6.5 points per game over its first 4 games (4-0), #11 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), the Vikings have allowed 21.8 points per game, a 235% rise, #190 in section in that window. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Treutlen's last 4 opponents have averaged 24.6 points per game, a #235 offense in section on the season, against 12.1 points per game, #409 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (24.6 points per game), Treutlen held those offenses 11% below what they usually score. By that measure, the early pace looks more like the outlier than the recent one. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #325 in section, well above the first 4 (#399), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Hawkinsville's offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Red Devils have averaged 23.2 points per game over their last 4 games (3-1), #253 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker scoring defenses in section (32.4 points per game on the season, which would rank #372). Against those norms, Hawkinsville scored 28% less than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #353 in section, a lower level of competition. Hawkinsville offers Treutlen a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Treutlen is 6-0 this season when it holds opponents under 22, and 0-2 when it doesn't.

The battle on the ground could decide Treutlen's next game, against Hawkinsville, and the recent returns favor Hawkinsville. Treutlen averaged 9.5 yards per carry (1,054 yards on 111 rushes) over its first 3 games (3-0), #15 in section through those games. In the 5 games since that hot start (3-2), the Vikings have averaged 6.3 yards per carry (1,244 yards on 197 rushes), a 33% drop, #166 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Treutlen's last 5 opponents have averaged 6.8 yards per carry, a #354 run defense in section on the season, against 8.0 yards per carry, #425 for the first 3. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.8 yards per carry), Treutlen ran for 8% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #334 in section, well above the first 3 (#420), so the dip has come against better teams overall. Meanwhile, Hawkinsville's run defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Red Devils have allowed 7.0 yards per carry (848 yards on 121 rushes) over their last 5 games (3-2), #339 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of rushing attacks in section (5.2 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #255). Against those norms, Hawkinsville allowed 34% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #324 in section, a lower level of competition. Both units come in looking to get right, and whichever does first may decide the game.

NOTES

The biggest worry in Treutlen's season has been the direction of its offense. Treutlen averaged 37.7 points per game over its first 3 games (3-0), #54 in section within that period. In the 5 games since that hot start (3-2), the Vikings have averaged 24.2 points per game, a 36% drop, #245 in section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 28.2 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (27.1 points per game), Treutlen scored 11% less than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #334 in section, well above the first 3 (#420), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, Treutlen ranks #156 in section in scoring. Hawkinsville's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #134 in section (19.1 points per game).

The Vikings averaged 9.5 yards per play (1,485 yards on 156 snaps) over their first 4 games (4-0), #24 in section during those games. Few teams started faster in this department, and few have cooled off as sharply since. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), Treutlen has averaged 7.0 yards per play (1,339 yards on 192 snaps), a 27% drop, #180 in section during that period. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 7.5 yards per play on the season. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #325 in section, well above the first 4 (#399), so the dip has come against better teams overall. On the season, the Vikings rank #79 in section in yards per play. Hawkinsville's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #297 in section (7.0 yards per play).

TIDBITS (3 found)

• Club The last time Treutlen went a game committing 3+ turnovers was August 25, 2023 against Bryan County (L, 0-51). Since then Treutlen has gone 37 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers, a school-record 37 straight in the 5 seasons on record.

• Club Treutlen has gone 8 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (August 21, 2026 through October 16, 2026), going 6-2 over that stretch, a school-record 8 straight in the 5 seasons on record.

• Club Treutlen has gone 5 straight games being held under 200 passing yards (September 18, 2026 through October 16, 2026), going 3-2 over that stretch, a school-record 5 straight in the 5 seasons on record.

PROGRAM SNAPSHOT: TRE

PROGRAM RECORD

SEASONRECORDPFPAPPG
20220-1011552611.5
20233-714328814.3
20243-719925019.9
20256-522124720.1
20266-223411329.2
2022-2618-3118.6
TRE — 2026 SEASON SCHEDULE
DATEOPPONENTSITERESULTSCOREWIN%
08/21BRYAN COUNTYatW36-7
09/04@ TATTNALL COUNTYatW41-12
09/11LANIER COUNTYvsW36-0
09/18MONTGOMERY COUNTYatW21-7
09/25TELFAIR COUNTYvsL23-39
10/02TURNER COUNTYatW33-6
10/08WHEELER COUNTYatL16-28
10/16DOOLY COUNTYvsW28-14
10/30HAWKINSVILLEatPROJ23-1957.2%
11/06WILCOX COUNTYvsPROJ46-098.9%
SEASON TO DATE6-22 REMAINING

SEASON OUTLOOK

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)

RECORD TO DATEMOST LIKELY FINALPROJECTED RECORD
Overall6-2 so far7-3 (48%)7.2-2.8
League2-2 so far2-2 (100%)2.0-2.0
TRE — 2026 OVERALL AVERAGES
SPLITGPPPGOPP PPGYPGOPP YPGPLAYS/GOPP PLAYS/G
OVERALL829.214.1353.0199.043.540.7
HOME329.017.7382.043.042.338.0
ROAD529.412.0335.6230.244.241.2

PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.

TRE — 2026 TEAM GAME LOG
DATEOPPONENTRESULTPASS YDSRUSH YDSTOTAL YDSPASS ALWRUSH ALWTOTAL ALWSACKS ALWSACKSDEF INTTO FORCEDTO MAR
8/21@ Bryan CountyW 36-78631640210141142------1+1
9/4@ Tattnall CountyW 41-12118370488124158282------00
9/11vs. Lanier CountyW 36-0--368368-44743------1+1
9/18@ Montgomery CountyW 21-710612122775100175------10
9/25vs. Telfair CountyL 23-3942305347------------0-2
10/2@ Turner CountyW 33-6034234217144161------1-1
10/8@ Wheeler CountyL 16-281420521969322391------1+1
10/16vs. Dooly CountyW 28-14160271431------------00
AVERAGES75.1287.2353.063.7135.3199.0------0.60 (season)

Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 6/8, sacks/INT 0/8, sacks allowed 0/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.

UNIT INDEX

Pass Offense: grade 41.3/100 (-33 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Offense: grade 86.9/100 (+98 yds/gm vs average)

Pass Defense: grade 62.4/100 (-21 yds/gm vs average)

Rush Defense: grade 66.3/100 (-36 yds/gm vs average)

Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, adjusted for the opponents faced.

OPPONENT TRACKER

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)

DATESITEOPPONENTTHEIR RECORDTHEIR PPG
2026-10-30atHAWKINSVILLE4-421.9
2026-11-06vsWILCOX COUNTY0-910.4

LAST YEAR

TRE finished 2025 at 6-5. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 17-12 over WILCOX COUNTY (WILCOX COUNTY finished 64% that season). Toughest loss: 10-22 to HAWKINSVILLE (12-point margin).

LAST SEASON: TRE — 2025 GAME LOG
DATEOPPONENTRESULTRECORDPFPATOT YDSYDS ALLOWED
2025-08-15TWIGGS COUNTYW1-04118N/AN/A
2025-08-22WILKINSON COUNTYW2-02722N/AN/A
2025-08-29BACON COUNTYL2-11635218N/A
2025-09-12JOHNSON COUNTYL2-21328N/AN/A
2025-09-19WILCOX COUNTYW3-21712N/AN/A
2025-10-03TELFAIR COUNTYW4-21513N/AN/A
2025-10-09MONTGOMERY COUNTYW5-2466N/AN/A
2025-10-17DOOLY COUNTYW6-21513N/AN/A
2025-10-24HAWKINSVILLEL6-31022N/AN/A
2025-10-31WHEELER COUNTYL6-41458N/AN/A
2025-11-14MT. ZIONL6-5720N/AN/A
TOTALS11 GMS6-56-5221247218 (1)N/A

"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.

TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
TRE HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...

• TRE averages 8.0+ yards per attempt (.750), and has won 3 straight when doing so

• TRE forces 1+ takeaways (.800), but most recently lost to Wheeler County when doing so

• TRE holds its opponents under 5.0 yards per carry (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so

• TRE averages 7.0+ yards per play (.667)

• TRE's offense has exceeded 100 rush yds in 8 straight games (08/21/2026-10/16/2026), going 6-2 over that stretch.

• TRE's defense has averaged 233.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 135.3 rush yards per game. (+72%)

• TRE's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 0.6 giveaways per game. (+67%)

• TRE's offense has failed to reach 200 pass yds in 5 straight games (09/18/2026-10/16/2026), going 3-2 over that stretch.

• TRE's defense has averaged 6.6 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 4.4 YPC. (+49%)

• TRE is 5-0 (.999) in games decided by 8 points or fewer

• TRE's offense has exceeded 150 rush yds in 4 straight games (09/25/2026-10/16/2026), going 2-2 over that stretch.

• TRE's offense has exceeded 5.0 YPC in 4 straight games (09/25/2026-10/16/2026), going 2-2 over that stretch.

• TRE's defense has averaged 276.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 199.0 total yards per game. (+39%)

• TRE's defense has averaged 3.8 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 5.9 YPA. (-35%)

• TRE's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 0.5 takeaways per game. (+33%)

MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)

TRE -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS

(top 5 of 9 scored; vs 1608 cached team(s))

#SIDECONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRKSCORE
1OFFYPP 6+6-2.75029.9W20.822
2OFFYPC 5+5-3.62529.2W10.482
3DEFTurnovers < 26-4.60017.9W10.456
4DEFTurnovers < 36-4.60017.9W10.441
5OFFTurnovers < 25-3.62526.9W10.347
WIN %: TWO-CONDITION COMBINATIONS (6 found, min 4 Gms each)

(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)

--- TRE ---

CONDITIONRECWIN%PPGSTRK
TRE rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards5-4.55626.1W1
TRE averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards5-3.62529.2W1
TRE averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards5-2.71431.1W2
TRE rushes for 150+ yards but stays under 8.0 yards per attempt1-3.25022.0L1
TRE holds its opponents under 150 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards4-0.9995.0W4
TRE averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways4-0.99935.2W4
WIN % -- TAB-SEPARATED
TeamConditionRecordWin%PPG
TRERush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 2005-4.55626.1
TREYPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+5-3.62529.2
TREYPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+5-2.71431.1
TRERush Yds 150+ & YPA < 8.01-3.25022.0
TRERush Yds < 150 & Pass Yds < 2004-0.9995.0
TREYPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 14-0.99935.2
TRE — OFFENSE — 2024-26 (29 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+3-1.75027.8W3
YPA < 8.01-3.25022.0L1 21 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+--------
Pass Yds < 2005-4.55626.1W1 20 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+6-4.60027.1W1
Rush Yds < 100-------- 19 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+5-4.55627.8W1
Rush Yds < 1501-01.00021.0W1 19 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+5-3.62529.2W1
YPC < 5.01-1.50018.5W1 19 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+6-2.75029.9W2
YPP < 6.00-2.00016.0L2 19 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+4-2.66730.8W1
YPP < 7.02-2.50021.5L1 19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+2-2.50024.5W1
Turnovers < 14-2.66728.8W1 19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+1-1.50028.0W1 19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2-------- 19 games without this stat on file
TRE — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (29 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Scores <100-4.0006.8
Scores 10-193-7.30014.3
Scores 20-293-3.50024.8
Scores 30-395-01.00033.4
Scores 40+4-01.00042.0
TRE — OFFENSE — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+3-01.00030.0W3
YPA < 8.01-2.33324.0L1 2 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+--------
Pass Yds < 2005-2.71428.3W1 1 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+6-2.75029.2W1
Rush Yds < 100--------
Rush Yds 150+5-2.71430.4W1
Rush Yds < 1501-01.00021.0W1
YPC 5.0+5-2.71430.4W1
YPC < 5.01-01.00021.0W1
YPP 6.0+6-1.85731.1W2
YPP < 6.00-1.00016.0L1
YPP 7.0+4-1.80032.8W1
YPP < 7.02-1.66723.3L1
Turnovers 1+2-1.66725.7W1
Turnovers < 14-1.80031.4W1
Turnovers 2+1-1.50028.0W1
Turnovers > 2--------
TRE — OFFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Scores <10------
Scores 10-190-1.00016.0
Scores 20-292-1.66724.0
Scores 30-393-01.00035.0
Scores 40+1-01.00041.0
TRE — DEFENSE — 2024-26 (29 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+1-01.00012.0W1
YPA < 8.04-1.8009.6L1 23 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+--------
Pass Yds < 2005-1.83310.0L1 23 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+3-1.75013.2L1
Rush Yds < 1002-01.0003.5W2 23 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+1-1.50020.0L1
Rush Yds < 1504-01.0005.0W4 23 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+2-1.66715.3L1
YPC < 5.03-01.0004.7W3 23 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+1-1.50020.0L1
YPP < 6.04-01.0005.0W4 23 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+1-01.00012.0W1
YPP < 7.04-1.8009.6L1 23 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+4-1.8009.6L1
Turnovers < 12-3.40026.2W1 19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 2+-------- 19 games without this stat on file
Turnovers > 2-------- 19 games without this stat on file
TRE — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2024-26 (29 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Allows <107-01.0003.7
Allows 10-196-01.00013.7
Allows 20-292-7.22224.6
Allows 30-390-4.00035.2
Allows 40+0-3.00046.7
TRE — DEFENSE — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPGSTRK
YPA 8.0+1-01.00012.0W1
YPA < 8.04-1.8009.6L1 2 games without this stat on file
Pass Yds 200+--------
Pass Yds < 2005-1.83310.0L1 2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 100+3-1.75013.2L1
Rush Yds < 1002-01.0003.5W2 2 games without this stat on file
Rush Yds 150+1-1.50020.0L1
Rush Yds < 1504-01.0005.0W4 2 games without this stat on file
YPC 5.0+2-1.66715.3L1
YPC < 5.03-01.0004.7W3 2 games without this stat on file
YPP 6.0+1-1.50020.0L1
YPP < 6.04-01.0005.0W4 2 games without this stat on file
YPP 7.0+1-01.00012.0W1
YPP < 7.04-1.8009.6L1 2 games without this stat on file
Turnovers 1+4-1.8009.6L1
Turnovers < 12-1.66721.7W1
Turnovers 2+--------
Turnovers > 2--------
TRE — DEFENSE SCORING SITUATION — 2026 (8 Gms)
SPLITRECWIN%PPG
Allows <104-01.0005.0
Allows 10-192-01.00013.0
Allows 20-290-1.00028.0
Allows 30-390-1.00039.0
Allows 40+------
ON THE BRINK

TREUTLEN

• TREUTLEN has rushed for 200+ in 4 straight games (9/25/26–10/16/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).

TAB-SEPARATED (paste into a spreadsheet)
TeamSideSplitGamesRecordWin%PPGStrk
TREOFFENSEYPA 8.0+43-1.75027.8W3
TREOFFENSEYPA < 8.041-3.25022.0L1
TREOFFENSEPass Yds < 20095-4.55626.1W1
TREOFFENSERush Yds 100+106-4.60027.1W1
TREOFFENSERush Yds 150+95-4.55627.8W1
TREOFFENSERush Yds < 15011-01.00021.0W1
TREOFFENSEYPC 5.0+85-3.62529.2W1
TREOFFENSEYPC < 5.021-1.50018.5W1
TREOFFENSEYPP 6.0+86-2.75029.9W2
TREOFFENSEYPP < 6.020-2.00016.0L2
TREOFFENSEYPP 7.0+64-2.66730.8W1
TREOFFENSEYPP < 7.042-2.50021.5L1
TREOFFENSETurnovers 1+42-2.50024.5W1
TREOFFENSETurnovers < 164-2.66728.8W1
TREOFFENSETurnovers 2+21-1.50028.0W1
TREOFFENSEScores <1040-4.0006.8L4
TREOFFENSEScores 10-19103-7.30014.3L3
TREOFFENSEScores 20-2963-3.50024.8W1
TREOFFENSEScores 30-3955-01.00033.4W5
TREOFFENSEScores 40+44-01.00042.0W4
TREDEFENSEYPA 8.0+11-01.00012.0W1
TREDEFENSEYPA < 8.054-1.8009.6L1
TREDEFENSEPass Yds < 20065-1.83310.0L1
TREDEFENSERush Yds 100+43-1.75013.2L1
TREDEFENSERush Yds < 10022-01.0003.5W2
TREDEFENSERush Yds 150+21-1.50020.0L1
TREDEFENSERush Yds < 15044-01.0005.0W4
TREDEFENSEYPC 5.0+32-1.66715.3L1
TREDEFENSEYPC < 5.033-01.0004.7W3
TREDEFENSEYPP 6.0+21-1.50020.0L1
TREDEFENSEYPP < 6.044-01.0005.0W4
TREDEFENSEYPP 7.0+11-01.00012.0W1
TREDEFENSEYPP < 7.054-1.8009.6L1
TREDEFENSETurnovers 1+54-1.8009.6L1
TREDEFENSETurnovers < 152-3.40026.2W1
TREDEFENSEAllows <1077-01.0003.7W7
TREDEFENSEAllows 10-1966-01.00013.7W6
TREDEFENSEAllows 20-2992-7.22224.6L4
TREDEFENSEAllows 30-3940-4.00035.2L4
TREDEFENSEAllows 40+30-3.00046.7L3
STREAKS: TRE (combined OFFENSE+DEFENSE)
SIDESPLITSTREAKDATESRECORD
OFFENSERush Yds 100+8 games08/21/2026 - 10/16/20266-2
OFFENSEPass Yds < 2005 games09/18/2026 - 10/16/20263-2
OFFENSERush Yds 150+4 games09/25/2026 - 10/16/20262-2
OFFENSEYPC 5.0+4 games09/25/2026 - 10/16/20262-2
STREAKS — ALL TEAMS
TeamSideSplitStreakDatesRecord
TREOFFENSERush Yds 100+8 games08/21/2026 - 10/16/20266-2
TREOFFENSEPass Yds < 2005 games09/18/2026 - 10/16/20263-2
TREOFFENSERush Yds 150+4 games09/25/2026 - 10/16/20262-2
TREOFFENSEYPC 5.0+4 games09/25/2026 - 10/16/20262-2
NOTABLE TRENDS (9 of 9 found, team |deviation| >= 20%, matchup |deviation| >= 20%)

TRE OFFENSE

TRE's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 10-game average is 0.6 giveaways per game. (+67%)

TRE's offense has averaged 28.3 points scored per game over their last 7 games. Their 29-game average is 22.6 points scored per game. (+25%)

TRE DEFENSE

TRE's defense has averaged 233.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 135.3 rush yards per game. (+72%)

TRE's defense has averaged 6.6 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 4.4 YPC. (+49%)

TRE's defense has averaged 276.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 199.0 total yards per game. (+39%)

TRE's defense has averaged 3.8 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 5.9 YPA. (-35%)

TRE's defense has averaged 0.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 10-game average is 0.5 takeaways per game. (+33%)

TRE's defense has averaged 43.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 6-game average is 63.7 pass yards per game. (-32%)

TRE's defense has averaged 15.1 points allowed per game over their last 7 games. Their 29-game average is 21.0 points allowed per game. (-28%)

(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)

APPENDIX

Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.

Explanatory Notes

Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK

Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).

Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown

Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.

Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored

Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.

Full Data Exports

Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)

TeamSideTypeStatOpponentWindow/MeetingsValueBaselineGamesBaselineAvgDeviation
TREDEFENSEteamPass Yardslast 343.0663.7-32.5%
TREDEFENSEteamPointslast 715.12921.0-28.0%
TREOFFENSEteamPointslast 728.32922.6+25.4%
TREDEFENSEteamRush Yardslast 3233.06135.3+72.2%
TREDEFENSEteamTotal Yardslast 3276.06199.0+38.7%
TREDEFENSEteamTurnoverslast 30.7100.5+33.3%
TREOFFENSEteamTurnoverslast 51.0100.6+66.7%
TREDEFENSEteamYPAlast 33.865.9-35.2%
TREDEFENSEteamYPClast 36.664.4+48.9%
WHAT CHANGED THIS WEEK

From the games on file through Oct 16.

REMAINING SCHEDULE

Most likely finish 8-2 · realistic range 7-3 to 8-2

Remaining schedule: 338th hardest of 397 in the GA section (average opponent strength -10.1).

DateOpponentSP rankWin chance
10/30at Hawkinsville#268 of 47157%
11/06vs Wilcox County#430 of 47199%

Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).

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Report Produced by ScorePirate | Commitment and offer data sourced from 247Sports | GENERATED 10/28/2026 20:16