In short: MT. Eden Monarchs high school football (Hayward, CA), 2026 season: 1-7. Last game: L 8-29 vs Redwood Christian on October 23, 2026. Next: at Kennedy, October 29, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
The number to watch when MT. Eden meets Kennedy is MT. Eden's scoring. MT. Eden averaged 5.0 points per game over its first 3 games (0-3), #103 in Section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (1-4), the Monarchs have averaged 11.2 points per game, a 124% rise, #97 in Section in that window. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 22.7 points per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (23.3 points per game), MT. Eden scored 52% less than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #94 in Section. Meanwhile, Kennedy's defense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Titans have allowed 25.0 points per game over their last 5 games (2-3), #55 in Section during that time. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of offenses in Section (26.3 points per game on the season, which would rank #49). Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #81 in Section, a lower level of competition. Kennedy offers MT. Eden a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
The turnover battle could decide MT. Eden's next game, against Kennedy, and the recent returns favor Kennedy. MT. Eden forced 1.0 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (0-4), #61 in Section through those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (1-3), the Monarchs have forced 0.0 takeaways per game, a 100% drop, #101 in Section through that stretch. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 1.5 per game on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.5 per game), MT. Eden forced 100% fewer turnovers than those offenses usually give up. Conversely, Kennedy's ball security has been one of Section's better units in recent weeks. The Titans have committed 0.5 giveaways per game over their last 4 games (2-2), #17 in Section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of defenses in Section (1.4 per game on the season, which would rank #42). Against those norms, Kennedy turned it over 64% less than those defenses usually force. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #86 in Section, a lower level of competition. Unless MT. Eden's defense rediscovers its early form, the edge in this matchup belongs to Kennedy.
NOTES
The biggest worry in MT. Eden's season has been the direction of its ball security. MT. Eden committed 1.5 giveaways per game over its first 4 games (0-4), #65 in Section within that period. In the 4 games since that hot start (1-3), the Monarchs have committed 2.8 giveaways per game, an 83% rise, #101 in Section across those games. The schedule doesn't excuse it: the last 4 opponents have been softer, averaging 1.2 per game, a #57 defense in Section on the season, against 1.5 per game, #39 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.2 per game), MT. Eden turned it over 130% more than those defenses usually force. On the season, MT. Eden ranks #99 in Section in giveaways. Kennedy's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #79 in Section (1.0 per game).
The Monarchs averaged 2.8 yards per play (460 yards on 163 snaps) over their first 4 games (0-4), #97 in Section during those games. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 4 games since that slow start (1-3), MT. Eden has averaged 4.7 yards per play (807 yards on 171 snaps), a 67% rise, #81 in Section during that period. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 6.8 yards per play on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.8 yards per play), MT. Eden gained 30% less per snap than those defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #93 in Section. On the season, the Monarchs rank #98 in Section in yards per play. That form gets a real test against Kennedy, whose defense ranks #17 in Section (5.4 yards per play).
MT. Eden's ground game has come a long way since the season's early weeks. MT. Eden averaged 2.8 yards per carry (390 yards on 141 rushes) over its first 4 games (0-4), #90 in Section during that stretch. In the 4 games since that slow start (1-3), the Monarchs have averaged 4.4 yards per carry (590 yards on 133 rushes), a 60% rise, #71 in Section over that period. The schedule deserves some of the credit: MT. Eden's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.9 yards per carry, a #86 run defense in Section on the season, against 5.7 yards per carry, #55 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.9 yards per carry), MT. Eden ran for 36% less per carry than those run defenses usually allow. So the improvement is real, but it still trails what those opponents usually give up. Overall, though, those opponents have been lower-level teams: their average SP Strength Index rating would rank just #93 in Section. On the season, MT. Eden ranks #91 in Section in rushing. That form gets a real test against Kennedy, whose run defense ranks #4 in Section (3.2 yards per carry).
TIDBITS (7 found)
• Club Mt. Eden has lost 2 straight, and a loss would make it 3 in a row. The last time they lost 3 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 6.
• Club The last time Mt. Eden went a game forcing 3+ turnovers was October 6, 2023 against Hayward (L, 13-65). Since then Mt. Eden has gone 32 straight games forcing fewer than 3 turnovers, a school-record 32 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Mt. Eden went a game throwing for 200+ yards was October 25, 2024 against San Lorenzo (W, 27-7). Since then Mt. Eden has gone 20 straight games being held under 200 passing yards, a school-record 20 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Mt. Eden went a game averaging 7.0+ yards per play was October 25, 2024 against San Lorenzo (W, 27-7). Since then Mt. Eden has gone 20 straight games being held under 7.0 yards per play, a school-record 20 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Player Isaiah Gonzalez has never had a game making 10 or more tackles for Mt. Eden, over a 16-game career on record. His career high is 7, set November 8, 2025 against American (L, 14-26).
• Player Jonathan Lopez has never had a game making 10 or more tackles for Mt. Eden, over a 12-game career on record. His career high is 8, set September 26, 2025 against Concord (L, 14-41).
• Player Isaiah Gonzalez has gone 7 straight games without intercepting a pass. The last time he intercepted a pass was October 30, 2025 against Encinal (W, 40-7) — 1 interception.
MILESTONE WATCH
MT. Eden
Isaiah Gonzalez needs 82 rushing yards for 500 (averaging 69.7 a game)
Win chances are the site's own game projections where one is on file, otherwise the SP Strength Index gap with a small home edge. The realistic range covers 80% of outcomes (10th to 90th percentile).
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Oct 16 game; last updated Oct 23; roster and numbers checked Sep 10.
Click a column heading to sort. MIN hides players below that many attempts.
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
Averages use only games with that number on file (offense 7/8, defense 5/8, sacks/INT 7/8, sacks allowed 4/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 4.6/100 (-126 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 9.6/100 (-118 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 46.3/100 (+1 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 16.3/100 (+77 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
DATE
SITE
OPPONENT
THEIR RECORD
THEIR PPG
2026-10-29
at
KENNEDY
3-5
15.1
2026-11-06
vs
WASHINGTON
6-2
28.1
LAST YEAR
ME finished 2025 at 3-7. Missed playoffs. Notable win: 26-21 over ALBANY (ALBANY finished 44% that season). Toughest loss: 13-22 to IRVINGTON (9-point margin).
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
TALKING POINTS (15 storylines)
ME HAS PERFORMED BEST THIS DATA SET WHEN...
• ME averages 6.0+ yards per play (.999), and has won 3 straight when doing so
• MT. EDEN has committed 2+ turnovers in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• MT. EDEN has been held under 14 in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not been held under 14 in 3 straight since 8/30/24–9/27/24 (2024). It has reached 3 straight 2 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 5 straight (2024) in that span.
• MT. EDEN has lost by 20+ in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not lost by 20+ in 3 straight since 8/28/26–9/11/26 (2026). It has reached 3 straight 5 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 4 straight (2023) in that span.
ME's defense has averaged 0.0 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 11-game average is 0.7 takeaways per game. (-100%)
ME's defense has averaged 3.3 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 7.3 YPA. (-55%)
ME's defense has averaged 59.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 120.2 pass yards per game. (-51%)
ME's defense has averaged 253.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 182.2 rush yards per game. (+39%)
ME's defense has averaged 5.1 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 8.3 YPP. (-38%)
ME's defense has averaged 5.9 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 8.7 YPC. (-32%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
APPENDIX
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on four weighted criteria and the top 5 per team are listed. In Cooper's own weighting order: (1) the WIN% attached to the condition, counted only when the condition has occurred at least 8 times -- a smaller sample is dropped outright, not discounted; (2) the PPG attached to it, with higher better on offense and lower better on defense, and each side normalized against its own kind so a defensive number competes with defensive numbers rather than against scoring averages; (3) how far the number sits from the OPPONENT's on the same condition, across win%, PPG and how often the condition happens at all; and (4) where it falls among every other team previously run through this workbook and cached. Criteria 1 and 2 measure how strong a number is; 3 and 4 measure how much it distinguishes this team. Weights: win_pct 40%, ppg 27%, matchup 20%, pool 13%. See important_numbers.py.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
Where MT. EDEN sits among 109 section teams on the two Unit Index composites -- Offense Grade 7.0, Defense Grade 46.9.
YARDS / PLAY: MT. EDEN VS THE SECTION
MT. EDEN ranks #80 of 81 section teams in yards per play (2.29) -- a weakness worth a look.
MT. EDEN: SP STRENGTH INDEX BY SEASON
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -7.2 in 2022 to -30.6 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
