In short: Lamar Vikings high school football (Arlington, TX), 2026 season: 4-4. Last game: L 29-57 vs Martin on October 23, 2026. Next: vs Granbury, October 30, 2026. Schedule and results, player season stats, stat leaders, unit grades, ScorePirate ranking and the game-by-game log.
| RECORD | 4-4 this season |
| LAST GAME | L 29-57 vs MARTIN |
| NEXT GAME | GRANBURY (10/30/2026) |
| UNIT GRADES | Pass Off 55.3 · Rush Off 88.6 · Pass Def 39.3 · Rush Def 34.5 |
| ENROLLMENT | 2,479 STUDENTS (2023-24) · PUBLIC SCHOOL |
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAMAR | 55.3 (-3) | 88.6 (+107) | 39.3 (+11) | 34.5 (+29) |
Next: vs Granbury, Fri 30 Oct. Matchup report: Granbury at Lamar.
The battle on the ground could decide Lamar's next game, against Granbury, and the recent returns favor Lamar. Lamar averaged 6.0 yards per carry (914 yards on 153 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #485 in section in that timeframe. In the 4 games since that slow start (2-2), the Vikings have averaged 8.5 yards per carry (1,230 yards on 145 rushes), a 42% rise, #147 in section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Lamar's last 4 opponents have averaged 6.4 yards per carry, a #726 run defense in section on the season, against 5.6 yards per carry, #490 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.4 yards per carry), Lamar ran for 33% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. Meanwhile, Granbury's run defense has struggled in recent weeks. The Pirates have allowed 8.1 yards per carry (695 yards on 86 rushes) over their last 4 games (1-3), #961 in section during that time. Those games came against some of the weaker rushing attacks in section (4.5 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #847). Against those norms, Granbury allowed 79% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. On paper, that is a matchup that favors Lamar.
The number to watch when Lamar meets Granbury is Lamar's scoring defense. Lamar allowed 26.2 points per game over its first 4 games (2-2), #510 in section through those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), the Vikings have allowed 35.0 points per game, a 33% rise, #817 in section through that stretch. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Lamar's last 4 opponents have averaged 33.9 points per game, a #432 offense in section on the season, against 24.4 points per game, #799 for the first 4. Meanwhile, Granbury's offense has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Pirates have averaged 24.0 points per game over their last 4 games (1-3), #778 in section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in section (30.0 points per game on the season, which would rank #688). Against those norms, Granbury scored 20% less than those defenses usually allow. Granbury offers Lamar a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real. Lamar is 2-0 this season when it holds opponents under 29, and 2-4 when it doesn't.
The biggest worry in Lamar's season has been the direction of its passing game. Lamar averaged 8.8 yards per pass attempt (634 yards on 72 attempts) over its first 4 games (2-2), #337 in section within that period. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), the Vikings have averaged 5.7 yards per pass attempt (471 yards on 83 attempts), a 36% drop, #771 in section across those games. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 7.5 yards per attempt on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.7 yards per attempt), Lamar threw for 26% less per attempt than those pass defenses usually allow. On the season, Lamar ranks #648 in section in passing. Granbury's pass defense, #1150 of 1232 (12.1 yards per attempt), could be the get-right matchup Lamar needs.
Lamar's defense from the opening weeks has gone missing since. The Vikings allowed 5.5 yards per play (1,584 yards on 286 snaps) over their first 4 games (2-2), #261 in section during those games. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), Lamar has allowed 7.4 yards per play (1,135 yards on 154 snaps), a 33% rise, #715 in section during that period. The schedule doesn't explain it: the opponents in both stretches have averaged about 5.8 yards per play on the season. Measured against those opponents' norms (6.0 yards per play), Lamar allowed 24% more per snap than those offenses usually gain. On the season, the Vikings rank #384 in section in yards per play allowed. Granbury's offense sits in the middle of the pack, #560 in section (6.7 yards per play).
Something changed for Lamar's run defense after its first 4 games. Lamar allowed 5.0 yards per carry (871 yards on 175 rushes) over its first 4 games (2-2), #356 in section during that stretch. In the 4 games since that hot start (2-2), the Vikings have allowed 6.2 yards per carry (567 yards on 92 rushes), a 24% rise, #633 in section over that period. The schedule has a lot to do with it: Lamar's last 4 opponents have averaged 5.2 yards per carry, a #694 rushing attack in section on the season, against 4.5 yards per carry, #856 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (5.2 yards per carry), Lamar allowed 19% more per carry than those rushing attacks usually gain. On the season, Lamar ranks #424 in section in run defense. Granbury's ground game sits in the middle of the pack, #383 in section (6.5 yards per carry).
• Club The last time Lamar went a game being held under 100 rushing yards was September 29, 2023 against Martin (L, 10-37). Since then Lamar has gone 34 straight games rushing for 100+ yards, a school-record 34 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Club The last time Lamar went a game committing no turnovers was October 26, 2023 against Bowie (L, 29-31). Since then Lamar has gone 30 straight games committing 1+ turnover, a school-record 30 straight in the 5 seasons on record.
• Player T. Thomas has 525 rushing yards over his last 3 games (175.0 a game, September 3, 2026 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player T. Thomas has 8 rushing touchdowns over his last 5 games (1.6 a game, October 30, 2025 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch on record.
• Player M. Gulley has 35 tackles over his last 4 games (8.8 a game, October 30, 2025 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 4-game stretch on record.
• Player B. Williams has gone 3 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player J. Thomas has gone 2 straight games recording two or more tackles for loss, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player T. Martinez has 28 tackles over his last 3 games (9.3 a game, September 3, 2026 through September 18, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch since the 33 he had from August 28, 2025 through September 12, 2025.
From the games on file through Sep 18.
Every player with a stat on file, listed only where he has one. Open the arrow beside a name for his game-by-game line. Stats through the Sep 18 game; last updated Sep 24.
| PASSING | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| B. WILLIAMS | 4 | 40/69 | 58.0% | 612 | 8.9 | 5 | 2 | 150.6 | |
| K. ONAN | 4 | 2/3 | 66.7% | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 61.6 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 42/72 | 58.3% | 634 | 8.8 | 5 | 3 | 146.9 | |
| RUSHING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| T. THOMAS | 4 | 91 | 599 | 6.6 | 5 | |
| B. WILLIAMS | 4 | 46 | 177 | 3.8 | 1 | |
| Z. HOWARD | 4 | 7 | 89 | 12.7 | 0 | |
| K. ONAN | 4 | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 1 | |
| J. ROY | 2 | 7 | 23 | 3.3 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 153 | 914 | 6.0 | 7 | |
| RECEIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | REC | YDS | YPR | TD |
| T. ROLLINS | 4 | 11 | 174 | 15.8 | 1 | |
| Z. HOWARD | 4 | 9 | 157 | 17.4 | 1 | |
| K. ONAN | 4 | 8 | 145 | 18.1 | 1 | |
| Z. WARD | 4 | 9 | 117 | 13.0 | 0 | |
| S. THURSTON | 3 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 0 | |
| T. THOMAS | 4 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 0 | |
| J. ROBERTS | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | |
| T. BAKER | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 42 | 646 | 15.4 | 3 | |
| DEFENSE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | PLAYER | GP | TCKL | TFL | SACKS | INT | INT YDS | PD | FF |
| T. MARTINEZ | 3 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| J. ROBINSON | 3 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| I. BOINS | 3 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D. RIPPIE | 3 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| E. NEAL | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. MAGRUDER | 3 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| X. JOHNSON | 3 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| M. GULLEY | 3 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| S. THURSTON | 3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| J. BASS | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | |
| A. DAVIS | 2 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. THOMAS | 2 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D. WASHINGTON | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D. MILES | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A. SIMON NEAL | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| L. SIGGAL | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| W. SHEPARD | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D. ODUMADE | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. SMITH | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| N. SERNA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J. PERKINS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| TEAM TOTALS | 4 | 295 | 46 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 1 | |
PROGRAM RECORD
| SEASON | RECORD | PF | PA | PPG |
| 2022 | 3-7 | 183 | 363 | 18.3 |
| 2023 | 4-6 | 211 | 281 | 21.1 |
| 2024 | 4-6 | 291 | 365 | 29.1 |
| 2025 | 5-6 | 369 | 323 | 33.5 |
| 2026 | 4-4 | 225 | 245 | 28.1 |
| 2022-26 | 20-29 | 26.1 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/28 | LITTLE ELM | vs | L | 10-30 | |
| 09/03 | CROWLEY | at | W | 35-31 | |
| 09/10 | NORTHWEST | at | W | 33-15 | |
| 09/18 | BOWIE | vs | L | 23-29 | |
| 09/25 | ARLINGTON | at | W | 41-31 | |
| 10/09 | WEATHERFORD | vs | L | 28-35 | |
| 10/16 | SAM HOUSTON | at | W | 26-17 | |
| 10/23 | MARTIN | vs | L | 29-57 | |
| 10/30 | GRANBURY | vs | PROJ | 40-20 | 82.6% |
| 11/06 | ALEDO | at | PROJ | 14-44 | 7.5% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 4-4 | 2 REMAINING |
SEASON OUTLOOK
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 1)
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 4-4 so far | 5-5 (75%) | 4.9-5.1 |
| League | 2-3 so far | 2-3 (100%) | 2.0-3.0 |
| SPLIT | GP | PPG | OPP PPG | YPG | OPP YPG | PLAYS/G | OPP PLAYS/G |
| OVERALL | 8 | 28.1 | 30.6 | 406.1 | 388.4 | 56.6 | 62.9 |
| HOME | 4 | 22.5 | 37.8 | 351.8 | 469.0 | 59.2 | 70.8 |
| ROAD | 4 | 33.8 | 23.5 | 460.5 | 281.0 | 54.0 | 52.3 |
PPG/OPP PPG use every played game on file. YPG/PLAYS-PER-GAME columns only ever come from games with a full box score on file, which can be a smaller sample than GP -- see the coverage note below when that's the case for this team.
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | TOTAL YDS | PASS ALW | RUSH ALW | TOTAL ALW | SACKS ALW | SACKS | DEF INT | TO FORCED | TO MAR |
| 8/28 | vs. Little Elm | L 10-30 | 153 | 119 | 272 | 242 | 484 | 726 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 9/3 | @ Crowley | W 35-31 | 171 | 358 | 529 | 155 | 182 | 337 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| 9/10 | @ Northwest | W 33-15 | 154 | 262 | 416 | 159 | 99 | 258 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
| 9/18 | vs. Bowie | L 23-29 | 156 | 175 | 331 | 157 | 106 | 263 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | -2 |
| 9/25 | @ Arlington | W 41-31 | 37 | 515 | 552 | 133 | 115 | 248 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -2 |
| 10/9 | vs. Weatherford | L 28-35 | 218 | 297 | 515 | 234 | 199 | 433 | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +1 |
| 10/16 | @ Sam Houston | W 26-17 | 89 | 256 | 345 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2 | +1 |
| 10/23 | vs. Martin | L 29-57 | 127 | 162 | 289 | 201 | 253 | 454 | -- | -- | -- | 0 | -1 |
| AVERAGES | 138.1 | 268.0 | 406.1 | 183.0 | 205.4 | 388.4 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -5 (season) |
Averages use only games with that number on file (defense 7/8, sacks/INT 4/8, sacks allowed 4/8 games). SACKS ALW comes from the opponent's box score; TO FORCED is takeaways; TO MAR is takeaways minus giveaways, and its bottom cell is the season total. Dashes mean not on file.
UNIT INDEX
Pass Offense: grade 55.3/100 (-3 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Offense: grade 88.6/100 (+107 yds/gm vs average)
Pass Defense: grade 39.3/100 (+11 yds/gm vs average)
Rush Defense: grade 34.5/100 (+29 yds/gm vs average)
Unit grades: 0-100 league percentile, opponent-curved (two-way solve over current + past seasons, recency-weighted). Composite counts yardage, efficiency vs league YPA/YPC (50% tilt), and negative plays at sack=7yd, INT=45yd, TFL=4yd -- adjustable v1 constants.
OPPONENT TRACKER
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
| DATE | SITE | OPPONENT | THEIR RECORD | THEIR PPG |
| 2026-10-30 | vs | GRANBURY | 3-5 | 28.6 |
| 2026-11-06 | at | ALEDO | 5-3 | 37.4 |
LAST YEAR
LAM finished 2025 at 5-6. Made the playoffs (1 postseason game(s) on file; exact round/result not available). Notable win: 35-21 over ARLINGTON (ARLINGTON finished 56% that season). Toughest loss: 14-15 to PLANO WEST (1-point margin).
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | RECORD | PF | PA | TOT YDS | YDS ALLOWED |
| 2025-08-28 | PLANO WEST | L | 0-1 | 14 | 15 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-04 | SACHSE | L | 0-2 | 21 | 24 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-12 | HORN | W | 1-2 | 35 | 24 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-18 | MARTIN | W | 2-2 | 40 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-09-26 | HALTOM | L | 2-3 | 43 | 44 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-09 | SOUTH GRAND PRAIRIE | L | 2-4 | 0 | 53 | 267 | 426 |
| 2025-10-17 | SAM HOUSTON | W | 3-4 | 55 | 7 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-23 | ARLINGTON | W | 4-4 | 35 | 21 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-10-30 | BOWIE | L | 4-5 | 38 | 45 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-06 | GRAND PRAIRIE | W | 5-5 | 47 | 8 | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-11-14 | DALLAS JESUIT | L | 5-6 | 41 | 61 | N/A | N/A |
| TOTALS | 11 GMS | 5-6 | 5-6 | 369 | 323 | 267 (1) | 426 (1) |
"N/A" stands in for a box score that does not have stats entered. A total followed by a count in parentheses covers only the games with that stat on file.
• LAM averages 7.0+ yards per play (.800)
• LAM holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per play (.750)
• LAM averages 5.0+ yards per carry (.667)
• LAM holds its opponents under 8.0 yards per attempt (.500)
• LAM's offense has exceeded 100 rush yds in 8 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 4-4 over that stretch.
• LAM's offense has committed 1+ turnover in 8 straight games (08/28/2026-10/23/2026), going 4-4 over that stretch.
• LAM's offense has exceeded 150 rush yds in 7 straight games (09/03/2026-10/23/2026), going 4-3 over that stretch.
• LAM averages 6.7+ yards per carry (LAM's own median) (.800)
• LAM averages 6.8+ yards per play (LAM's own median) (.800)
• LAM holds its opponents under 199.0 rushing yards (LAM's own median) (.750)
• LAM holds its opponents under 6.0 yards per carry (LAM's own median) (.750)
• LAM holds its opponents under 6.9 yards per play (LAM's own median) (.750)
• LAM's offense has failed to reach 8.0 YPA in 4 straight games (09/25/2026-10/23/2026), going 2-2 over that stretch.
• LAM's defense has averaged 9.9 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 7.2 YPA. (+36%)
• LAM's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.5 giveaways per game. (-33%)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
LAM -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 5 of 6 scored; vs 1160 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Turnovers 1+ | 4-4 | .500 | 28.1 | L1 | 0.819 |
| 2 | DEF | Turnovers < 3 | 4-5 | .444 | 32.6 | L1 | 0.774 |
| 3 | OFF | Rush Yds 150+ | 4-6 | .400 | 30.5 | L1 | 0.610 |
| 4 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 5-11 | .312 | 24.2 | L1 | 0.259 |
| 5 | OFF | Pass Yds < 200 | 4-9 | .308 | 22.6 | L1 | 0.229 |
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- LAM ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| LAM rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 4-9 | .308 | 22.6 | L1 |
| LAM averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 4-2 | .667 | 32.3 | W1 |
| LAM averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 4-2 | .667 | 32.3 | W1 |
| LAM rushes for 150+ yards but stays under 8.0 yards per attempt | 2-3 | .400 | 31.0 | L1 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| LAM | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 4-9 | .308 | 22.6 |
| LAM | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 4-2 | .667 | 32.3 |
| LAM | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 4-2 | .667 | 32.3 |
| LAM | Rush Yds 150+ & YPA < 8.0 | 2-3 | .400 | 31.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 30.3 | L1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-5 | .286 | 23.6 | L1 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-2 | .333 | 31.3 | L1 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-9 | .308 | 22.6 | L1 | 13 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 5-11 | .312 | 24.2 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 13 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 4-6 | .400 | 30.5 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 1-5 | .167 | 13.8 | L2 | 13 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-2 | .667 | 32.3 | W1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-4 | .000 | 15.5 | L4 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-2 | .667 | 32.3 | W1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-4 | .000 | 15.5 | L4 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 32.6 | W1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-5 | .000 | 18.6 | L5 | 19 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-4 | .500 | 28.1 | L1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 33.0 | W1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 23.0 | L1 | 21 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-4 | .000 | 4.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-5 | .167 | 24.7 |
| Scores 30-39 | 5-3 | .625 | 34.4 |
| Scores 40+ | 7-2 | .778 | 46.9 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 30.3 | L1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-3 | .400 | 26.8 | L1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-1 | .000 | 28.0 | L1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 4-3 | .571 | 28.1 | L1 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 4-4 | .500 | 28.1 | L1 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 4-3 | .571 | 30.7 | L1 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 0-1 | .000 | 10.0 | L1 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 32.6 | W1 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 20.7 | L3 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 32.6 | W1 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 20.7 | L3 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 4-1 | .800 | 32.6 | W1 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 0-3 | .000 | 20.7 | L3 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-4 | .500 | 28.1 | L1 |
| Turnovers < 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 33.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 23.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | 0-1 | .000 | 10.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 1-3 | .250 | 26.5 |
| Scores 30-39 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 34.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 41.0 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 40.7 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-3 | .500 | 34.5 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-3 | .000 | 40.7 | L3 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-3 | .500 | 34.5 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-6 | .250 | 39.2 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-5 | .167 | 42.3 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-1 | .667 | 25.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-5 | .167 | 42.3 | L2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 25.0 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-5 | .000 | 44.6 | L5 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 26.5 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 46.7 | L3 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-3 | .500 | 31.5 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-3 | .400 | 28.8 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-2 | .500 | 37.2 | L1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-2 | .500 | 28.8 | W1 | 20 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 20 games without this stat on file |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.3 |
| Allows 10-19 | 4-1 | .800 | 15.6 |
| Allows 20-29 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.8 |
| Allows 30-39 | 2-3 | .400 | 33.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 1-10 | .091 | 49.9 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 40.7 | L3 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 26.5 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 0-3 | .000 | 40.7 | L3 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-1 | .750 | 26.5 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-4 | .333 | 35.5 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-3 | .250 | 38.2 | L2 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-1 | .667 | 25.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 38.2 | L2 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 25.0 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 0-3 | .000 | 40.7 | L3 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 26.5 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 0-2 | .000 | 46.0 | L2 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 27.2 | W1 | 1 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-2 | .500 | 24.0 | W1 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-2 | .500 | 37.2 | L1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 2-1 | .667 | 22.3 | W1 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 16.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | 0-1 | .000 | 29.0 |
| Allows 30-39 | 2-2 | .500 | 31.8 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-1 | .000 | 57.0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| LAM | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 30.3 | L1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 23.6 | L1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 1-2 | .333 | 31.3 | L1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 13 | 4-9 | .308 | 22.6 | L1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 16 | 5-11 | .312 | 24.2 | L1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 10 | 4-6 | .400 | 30.5 | L1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 13.8 | L2 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 32.3 | W1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 15.5 | L4 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 | 4-2 | .667 | 32.3 | W1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 15.5 | L4 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 32.6 | W1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 18.6 | L5 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 28.1 | L1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 33.0 | W1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 23.0 | L1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | 4.0 | L4 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 12.0 | L2 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 24.7 | L1 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 8 | 5-3 | .625 | 34.4 | W2 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 9 | 7-2 | .778 | 46.9 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 40.7 | L3 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 34.5 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 40.7 | L3 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 34.5 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 | 2-6 | .250 | 39.2 | L2 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 15.0 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 42.3 | L2 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 25.0 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 42.3 | L2 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 25.0 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 44.6 | L5 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 26.5 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 46.7 | L3 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 6 | 3-3 | .500 | 31.5 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 28.8 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 37.2 | L1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 28.8 | W1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.3 | W3 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 5 | 4-1 | .800 | 15.6 | W2 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Allows 20-29 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 23.8 | L1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 33.0 | L1 |
| LAM | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 11 | 1-10 | .091 | 49.9 | L6 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-4 |
| OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-4 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 games | 09/03/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-3 |
| OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-2 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-4 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 8 games | 08/28/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-4 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 7 games | 09/03/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-3 |
| LAM | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 games | 09/25/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 2-2 |
LAM OFFENSE
LAM's offense has averaged 1.0 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 8-game average is 1.5 giveaways per game. (-33%)
LAM's offense has averaged 289.3 rush yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 16-game average is 225.6 rush yards per game. (+28%)
LAM's offense has averaged 125.4 pass yards per game over their last 5 games. Their 16-game average is 157.8 pass yards per game. (-21%)
LAM DEFENSE
LAM's defense has averaged 9.9 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 7.2 YPA. (+36%)
LAM's defense has averaged 1.3 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.0 takeaways per game. (+33%)
LAM's defense has averaged 159.0 rush yards per game over their last 7 games. Their 9-game average is 231.0 rush yards per game. (-31%)
LAM's defense has averaged 217.5 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 171.0 pass yards per game. (+27%)
LAM's defense has averaged 8.0 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 6.5 YPP. (+23%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 1, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 2 -- OPPONENT TRACKER -- why some cards have no record shown
Only meaningful for an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team in the library -- an opponent with no games on file here at all shows the date and site alone.
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on four weighted criteria and the top 5 per team are listed. In Cooper's own weighting order: (1) the WIN% attached to the condition, counted only when the condition has occurred at least 8 times -- a smaller sample is dropped outright, not discounted; (2) the PPG attached to it, with higher better on offense and lower better on defense, and each side normalized against its own kind so a defensive number competes with defensive numbers rather than against scoring averages; (3) how far the number sits from the OPPONENT's on the same condition, across win%, PPG and how often the condition happens at all; and (4) where it falls among every other team previously run through this workbook and cached. Criteria 1 and 2 measure how strong a number is; 3 and 4 measure how much it distinguishes this team. Weights: win_pct 40%, ppg 27%, matchup 20%, pool 13%. See important_numbers.py.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| LAM | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 217.5 | 9 | 171.0 | +27.2% | |
| LAM | OFFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 5 | 125.4 | 16 | 157.8 | -20.5% | |
| LAM | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 7 | 159.0 | 9 | 231.0 | -31.2% | |
| LAM | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 7 | 289.3 | 16 | 225.6 | +28.2% | |
| LAM | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.0 | +33.3% | |
| LAM | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 1.0 | 8 | 1.5 | -33.3% | |
| LAM | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 9.9 | 9 | 7.2 | +36.3% | |
| LAM | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 8.0 | 9 | 6.5 | +22.7% |
The program's index across 5 seasons on file -- -7.5 in 2022 to 1.9 in 2026.
These graphs were chosen by the program from this season's most notable numbers. Build your own -- any stat against any other, for any mix of teams, seasons or players, with a JPEG download -- in the Graph Builder.
