In short: Carson (8-1) at Lincoln (4-5), August 21, 2026 (CIF-SS high school football). Final: Lincoln 31, Carson 35. The full report has the projection, unit grades, storylines, pregame notes, Big Game Watch, series history, season stats and both rosters.
| TEAM | PASS O | RUSH O | PASS D | RUSH D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARSON | 67.6 (+24.2) | 81.7 (+75.0) | 80.9 (-51.3) | 85.5 (-82.2) |
| LINCOLN | 86.6 (+85.2) | 88.8 (+108.7) | 89.2 (-71.5) | 90.9 (-100.9) |
Rank chips: 1 = best in the pool; blue strong, red weak. Yardage and efficiency use games with a full box score on file; points and turnovers use every played game. Unit Index = opponent-adjusted 0-100 league percentile.
Carson has been tested more: its schedule to date ranks #1 in the pool against #8 for Lincoln. The harder road from here belongs to Carson (#1 vs #3).
| COMPONENT | POINTS | WEIGHT | CONTRIBUTION |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength | +0.82 | 28% | +0.23 |
| Efficiency | -5.68 | 24% | -1.34 |
| Own Margin | +11.75 | 23% | +2.71 |
| Head To Head | +5.49 | 20% | +1.11 |
| Common Opponents | -12.32 | 5% | -0.57 |
| Garbage Time Margin | -- | 0% | +0.00 |
| EPA Efficiency | -- | 0% | +0.00 |
Mark players out to re-project this game. Each value is how much of the margin that player is worth, from this season's data (his share of his team's win shares). Estimates — your selections change only your view.
| CATEGORY | TEAM | PROJECTED |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | CARSON | 87.9 |
| Passing | LINCOLN | 138.6 |
| Rushing | CARSON | 114.9 |
| Rushing | LINCOLN | 104.0 |
| Total | CARSON | 202.8 |
| Total | LINCOLN | 242.6 |
| CARSON — PASSING | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| CHRIS FIELDS III | 9.4/16.2 | 57.9% | 87.9 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 122.3 |
| CARSON — RUSHING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| CHRIS FIELDS III | 14.1 | 71.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 |
| ERIC MYERS | 6.8 | 25.4 | 3.7 | 0.2 |
| TYTUS SALAGI | 5.3 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 0.2 |
| TOTALS | 26.2 | 114.9 | 4.4 | 1.5 |
| CARSON — RECEIVING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | YPC | TD |
| NATHAN WILLIAMS | 2.0 | 25.1 | 12.5 | 0.4 |
| DARREN PANTON | 1.5 | 24.0 | 16.2 | 0.3 |
| JORDIN DANIEL | 1.7 | 20.9 | 12.3 | 0.2 |
| NICK SANDOVAL | 1.0 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 0.1 |
| TOTALS | 6.2 | 87.9 | 14.2 | 1.0 |
| LINCOLN — PASSING | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | C/ATT | COMP % | YDS | YPA | TD | INT | QBR |
| ANDRE JACKSON | 6.8/12.7 | 53.3% | 96.0 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 146.8 |
| XAVIER CRUZ | 3.6/6.6 | 54.3% | 42.7 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 123.5 |
| TOTALS | 10.3/19.2 | 53.6% | 138.6 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 138.9 |
| LINCOLN — RUSHING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | CAR | YDS | YPC | TD |
| CALEB WILLIAMS | 18.5 | 62.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| ERIC MILLER | 3.5 | 21.1 | 6.1 | 0.1 |
| XAVIER CRUZ | 5.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 |
| TOTALS | 26.9 | 104.0 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| LINCOLN — RECEIVING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLAYER | REC | YDS | YPC | TD |
| DAREYEN BRIDGES | 4.0 | 66.6 | 16.6 | 0.9 |
| JAEVEYION ALLEN | 2.9 | 47.6 | 16.4 | 0.4 |
| COURTNEY MILLER-THOMPSON | 1.6 | 24.4 | 15.3 | 0.3 |
| TOTALS | 8.5 | 138.6 | 16.3 | 1.6 |
The first meeting between these two hinged on a single stat: Carson's yards per play allowed. The Colts allowed 8.5 yards per play (381 yards on 45 snaps) against Lincoln on 8/21, well above their 6.0 mark in every other game this season. Despite that, Carson won the game 35-31. Carson got away with it once; counting on that again would be a risk.
The first meeting between these two hinged on a single stat: Lincoln's passing. The Hornets averaged 10.3 yards per pass attempt (237 yards on 23 attempts) against Carson on 8/21, well above their 7.6 mark in every other game this season. Despite that, Lincoln lost the game 35-31. Lincoln won that battle and still lost, so the passing edge alone won't be enough a second time.
No team in Section has scored more over the last 5 games than Carson. Carson averaged 25.8 points per game over its first 4 games (3-1), #20 in Section during that period. In the 5 games since that slow start (5-0), the Colts have averaged 48.2 points per game, an 87% rise, #1 in Section during that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Carson's last 5 opponents have averaged 30.4 points per game, a #56 scoring defense in Section on the season, against 16.6 points per game, #12 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (30.4 points per game), Carson scored 58% more than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #16 in Section, well below the first 4 (#1), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Carson ranks #6 in Section in scoring. Lincoln's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #61 in Section (26.7 points per game). Carson is 7-0 this season when it scores 27 or more, and 1-1 when it doesn't.
The Carson ball security of late is barely reminiscent of the one that began the season. The Colts committed 1.0 giveaways per game over their first 4 games (3-1), #21 in Section over that period. In the 5 games since that slow start (5-0), Carson has committed 0.2 giveaways per game, an 80% drop, #1 in Section over that timeframe. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Carson's last 5 opponents have averaged 0.8 per game, a #58 defense in Section on the season, against 1.7 per game, #22 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (0.8 per game), Carson turned it over 74% less than those defenses usually force. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #16 in Section, well below the first 4 (#1), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, the Colts rank #10 in Section in giveaways. That form gets a real test against Lincoln, whose defense ranks #19 in Section (1.8 per game).
Something changed for Lincoln's defense after the first 5 games of the season. Lincoln allowed 39.8 points per game over its first 5 games (1-4), #85 in Section over that span. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (3-1), the Hornets have allowed 10.2 points per game, a 74% drop, #9 in Section in that timeframe. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Lincoln's last 4 opponents have averaged 27.7 points per game, a #38 offense in Section on the season, against 33.4 points per game, #14 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (27.7 points per game), Lincoln held those offenses 63% below what they usually score. On the season, Lincoln ranks #61 in Section in scoring defense. That form gets a real test against Carson, whose offense ranks #6 in Section (38.2 points per game). Lincoln is 4-2 this season when it holds opponents under 39, and 0-3 when it doesn't.
One of Carson's most reliable areas lately has been its offense. Carson averaged 6.1 yards per play (1,176 yards on 194 snaps) over its first 4 games (3-1), #45 in Section in that window. In the 5 games since that slow start (5-0), the Colts have averaged 10.5 yards per play (2,035 yards on 194 snaps), a 73% rise, #6 in Section during that time. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Carson's last 5 opponents have averaged 9.1 yards per play, a #54 defense in Section on the season, against 6.0 yards per play, #7 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (9.1 yards per play), Carson gained 16% more per snap than those defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #16 in Section, well below the first 4 (#1), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. On the season, Carson ranks #27 in Section in yards per play. Lincoln's defense sits in the middle of the pack, #34 in Section (6.3 yards per play).
The turnover battle has the potential to swing this matchup, with the recent returns favoring Carson. Carson forced 1.0 takeaways per game over its first 4 games (3-1), #38 in Section in that timeframe. In the 5 games since that slow start (5-0), the Colts have forced 2.4 takeaways per game, a 140% rise, #4 in Section in that window. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Carson's last 5 opponents have averaged 1.2 per game, a #33 offense in Section on the season, against 1.0 per game, #27 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (1.2 per game), Carson forced 100% more turnovers than those offenses usually give up. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #16 in Section, well below the first 4 (#1), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Meanwhile, Lincoln's ball security has been middle of the pack in recent weeks. The Hornets have committed 1.2 giveaways per game over their last 5 games (3-2), #39 in Section during that time. Those games came against some of the better defenses in Section (1.7 per game on the season, which would rank #26). Against those norms, Lincoln turned it over 27% less than those defenses usually force. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #13 in Section, a strong slate. Lincoln offers Carson a fair measuring stick for whether the trend is real.
If there's one number to watch in this matchup, it's Carson's scoring defense. Carson allowed 20.4 points per game over its first 5 games (4-1), #26 in Section through those games. Over the stretch of 4 games that followed (4-0), the Colts have allowed 0.8 points per game, a 96% drop, #1 in Section through that stretch. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Carson's last 4 opponents have averaged 21.5 points per game, a #41 offense in Section on the season, against 26.9 points per game, #26 for the first 5. Measured against those opponents' norms (21.5 points per game), Carson held those offenses 97% below what they usually score. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 4 opponents average a rating that would rank #18 in Section, well below the first 5 (#2), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Conversely, Lincoln's offense has been one of Section's better units in recent weeks. The Hornets have averaged 30.5 points per game over their last 4 games (3-1), #29 in Section over that stretch. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of scoring defenses in Section (23.9 points per game on the season, which would rank #52). Against those norms, Lincoln scored 27% more than those defenses usually allow. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #15 in Section, a strong slate. Something has to give when Carson's surging defense meets one of Section's better units in Lincoln's.
Carson averaged 5.2 yards per carry (665 yards on 127 rushes) over its first 4 games (3-1), #46 in Section within that period. Few teams started slower in this department, and few have turned it around as sharply since. In the 5 games since that slow start (5-0), the Colts have averaged 10.2 yards per carry (1,195 yards on 117 rushes), a 95% rise, #9 in Section across those games. The schedule deserves some of the credit: Carson's last 5 opponents have averaged 7.9 yards per carry, a #42 run defense in Section on the season, against 5.1 yards per carry, #8 for the first 4. Measured against those opponents' norms (7.9 yards per carry), Carson ran for 29% more per carry than those run defenses usually allow. The level of competition matters too: in ScorePirate's SP Strength Index, the last 5 opponents average a rating that would rank #16 in Section, well below the first 4 (#1), so the recent production comes against lower-level teams overall. Conversely, Lincoln's run defense has been one of Section's better units in recent weeks. The Hornets have allowed 4.5 yards per carry (618 yards on 137 rushes) over their last 5 games (3-2), #17 in Section during those games. Those games came against a middle-of-the-pack set of rushing attacks in Section (5.5 yards per carry on the season, which would rank #52). Against those norms, Lincoln held those rushing attacks 17% below their usual yards per carry. Overall, those opponents average an SP Strength Index rating that would rank #13 in Section, a strong slate. Something has to give when Carson's surging ground game meets one of Section's better units in Lincoln's.
• Club Carson has gone 25 straight games committing fewer than 3 turnovers (November 15, 2024 through October 23, 2026), going 19-6 over that stretch, a school-record 25 straight in the 6 seasons on record.
• Club Lincoln has gone 11 straight games forcing 1+ turnover (November 21, 2025 through October 23, 2026), going 5-6 over that stretch, matching the program record of 11 straight on record.
• Club Carson is 20-0 all time when scoring 40+ points in the games on file (20 such games).
• Club Carson has won 6 straight, and a win would make it 7 in a row. The last time they won 7 or more in a row was 2025, a run of 8.
• Club Lincoln is 32-2 all time when scoring 40+ points. Lincoln's last loss when scoring 40+ points was September 18, 2026 against Arbor View (L, 41-56).
• Club Carson is 28-2 all time when averaging 7.0+ yards per play. Carson's last loss when averaging 7.0+ yards per play was August 23, 2025 against Villa Park (L, 22-26).
• Club Lincoln is 26-1 all time when holding the opponent under 100 rushing yards. Lincoln's last loss when holding the opponent under 100 rushing yards was August 24, 2024 against Arbor View (L, 44-45).
• Club Carson is 8-1 entering play against Lincoln, a start the program has had 1 time before in 6 seasons on record -- most recently 2023, which finished 10-2.
• Club Carson has gone 9 straight games rushing for 100+ yards (August 21, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 8-1 over that stretch, the program's longest such streak since 2025 (12 games).
• Club Lincoln has gone 5 straight games averaging 5.0+ yards per carry (September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 3-2 over that stretch, the program's longest such streak since 2026 (10 games).
• Club Carson has gone 6 straight games averaging 5.0+ yards per carry (September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026), going 6-0 over that stretch, the program's longest such streak since 2025 (10 games).
• Series Carson leads the all-time series with Lincoln 1-0, across 1 meetings dating to 2026.
• Player Seth Fanua has gone 9 straight games making 10 or more tackles, the longest such streak of his career.
• Club Carson has scored 136 points over its last 3 games (45.3 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- its 5th-highest 3-game total on record; the most is 176, from September 8, 2023 through September 21, 2023.
• Player Jaeveyion Allen has 293 receiving yards over his last 3 games (97.7 a game, October 9, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Nathan Williams has 5 touchdown catches over his last 3 games (1.7 a game, October 2, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 3-game stretch on record.
• Player Jaeveyion Allen has 52 tackles over his last 5 games (10.4 a game, September 18, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch on record.
• Player Chris Fields Iii has gone 4 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the 3rd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 13 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, during the 2025 season.
• Player Cam Joy has 54 tackles over his last 6 games (9.0 a game, September 11, 2026 through October 23, 2026) -- his most in a 6-game stretch on record.
• Player Kingston Sula has gone 3 straight games recording a sack, the 2nd-longest such streak of his career. He also had a career-best streak of 5 straight games recording a sack, during the 2025 season.
• Player Andre Jackson has gone 5 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
• Player Chris Fields Iii has 543 rushing yards over his last 5 games (108.6 a game, September 11, 2026 through October 16, 2026) -- his most in a 5-game stretch since the 559 he had from October 30, 2025 through December 6, 2025.
• Player Xavier Cruz has gone 2 straight games throwing a touchdown pass, the longest such streak of his career.
FULL ROSTER ↓| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | LINCOLN | at | W | 35-31 | |
| 08/28 | DORSEY | at | W | 31-8 | |
| 09/03 | PALOS VERDES | vs | L | 20-35 | |
| 09/11 | LONG BEACH POLY | at | W | 17-14 | |
| 09/18 | NORTH | at | W | 48-14 | |
| 10/02 | GARDENA | vs | W | 57-0 | |
| 10/09 | BANNING | at | W | 41-3 | |
| 10/16 | NARBONNE | at | W | 60-0 | |
| 10/23 | SAN PEDRO | vs | W | 35-0 | |
| 10/30 | MARY STAR OF THE SEA | vs | PROJ | 26-25 | 53.2% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 8-1 | 1 REMAINING |
| DATE | OPPONENT | SITE | RESULT | SCORE | WIN% |
| 08/21 | CARSON | vs | L | 31-35 | |
| 08/28 | PACIFICA | at | L | 27-52 | |
| 09/04 | LEUZINGER | vs | W | 59-0 | |
| 09/11 | MISSION VIEJO | at | L | 0-56 | |
| 09/18 | ARBOR VIEW | at | L | 41-56 | |
| 09/25 | SAN MARCOS | at | L | 6-7 | |
| 10/09 | ST. AUGUSTINE | vs | W | 43-15 | |
| 10/16 | POINT LOMA | vs | W | 31-17 | |
| 10/23 | MISSION BAY | at | W | 42-2 | |
| 10/30 | CATHEDRAL CATHOLIC | at | PROJ | 26-31 | 40.0% |
| SEASON TO DATE | 4-5 | 1 REMAINING |
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 2)
--- CARSON ---
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 8-1 so far | 9-1 (68%) | 8.7-1.3 |
| League | 4-0 so far | 4-0 (100%) | 4.0-0.0 |
--- LINCOLN ---
| RECORD TO DATE | MOST LIKELY FINAL | PROJECTED RECORD | |
| Overall | 4-5 so far | 4-6 (54%) | 4.5-5.5 |
| League | 2-0 so far | 2-0 (100%) | 2.0-0.0 |
• CAR's defense has averaged 1.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 11.7 points allowed per game. (-91%)
• CAR's offense has averaged 0.2 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 0.6 giveaways per game. (-64%)
• CAR's defense has averaged 3.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 8.6 YPA. (-63%)
• CAR's offense has exceeded 5.0 YPC in 6 straight games (09/11/2026-10/23/2026), going 6-0 over that stretch.
• CAR's defense has averaged 47.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 116.6 rush yards per game. (-60%)
• LIN's defense has averaged 11.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 26.7 points allowed per game. (-57%)
• LIN is 4-1 (.800) when it wins the turnover battle
• CAR's defense has averaged 127.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 275.8 total yards per game. (-54%)
• LIN's offense has averaged 238.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 156.3 rush yards per game. (+52%)
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 3)
CAR -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 4 of 4 scored; vs 2142 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | YPP 6+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 40.5 | W8 | 0.862 |
| 2 | OFF | Turnovers < 2 | 7-1 | .875 | 40.9 | W5 | 0.370 |
| 3 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 8-1 | .889 | 38.2 | W6 | 0.334 |
| 4 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 8-1 | .889 | 38.2 | W6 | 0.094 |
LIN -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS
(top 3 of 3 scored; vs 2142 cached team(s))
| # | SIDE | CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | SCORE |
| 1 | OFF | Turnovers < 3 | 4-4 | .500 | 34.2 | W3 | 0.730 |
| 2 | OFF | Rush Yds 100+ | 4-4 | .500 | 35.0 | W3 | 0.670 |
| 3 | DEF | Turnovers 1+ | 4-5 | .444 | 26.7 | W3 | 0.238 |
(full explanation: Appendix, Note 4)
CAR: 1 of 9 game(s) came against a tracked opponent; that opponent's own win% averaged .444 across those game(s).
LIN: 1 of 9 game(s) came against a tracked opponent; that opponent's own win% averaged .889 across those game(s).
(of 15 combinations tried per team -- a combination is only shown when at least 4 real games on file satisfy both conditions at once)
--- CAR ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR rushes for 100+ yards and is held under 200 passing yards | 6-1 | .857 | 32.4 | W4 |
| CAR averages 6.0+ yards per play behind 150+ rushing yards | 5-0 | .999 | 35.2 | W5 |
| CAR averages 5.0+ yards per carry on its way to 150+ rushing yards | 5-0 | .999 | 35.2 | W5 |
| CAR averages 6.0+ yards per play while committing zero giveaways | 5-0 | .999 | 46.2 | W5 |
--- LIN ---
| CONDITION | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| LIN averages 8.0+ yards per attempt while throwing for 200+ yards | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 | W1 |
| Team | Condition | Record | Win% | PPG |
| CAR | Rush Yds 100+ & Pass Yds < 200 | 6-1 | .857 | 32.4 |
| CAR | YPP 6.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 5-0 | .999 | 35.2 |
| CAR | YPC 5.0+ & Rush Yds 150+ | 5-0 | .999 | 35.2 |
| CAR | YPP 6.0+ & Turnovers < 1 | 5-0 | .999 | 46.2 |
| LIN | YPA 8.0+ & Pass Yds 200+ | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 |
The next meeting brings together Carson (8-1 this season) and Lincoln (4-5). Carson leads the recent series 1-0 over the last 1 meetings. In the most recent meeting, on August 21, 2026, Carson held on 35-31.
In the process of winning 6 of its last 7 entering play, Carson's ball security has been the team's calling card (committed no more than one giveaway in 5 straight games, 5-0 in that stretch). That carried into last time out, the Colts handling San Pedro 35-0. In the process of winning 4 of its last 7 entering play, Lincoln's pass rush has been the soft spot (recorded fewer than 3 sacks in 3 of its last 5, 3-2 in that stretch). The Hornets won anyway last time out, handling Mission Bay 42-2.
The matchup within the matchup pairs Carson's pass protection with Lincoln's pass rush. Carson's pass protection has been playing at a high level over the Colts' last 5 games. The offensive line has kept the quarterback clean in 3 of the 5 games while averaging 1.2 sacks allowed per game (including a low of 0 in that span vs. Dorsey). That is 33% below the Colts' baseline of 1.8 per game over the 19 games prior — a clear drop; the Colts have gone 4-1 in that stretch. The matchup when the two meet lines up in Carson's favor. Lincoln's pass rush has been a real vulnerability over the Hornets' last 5 games. The defense has recorded fewer than 3 sacks in 3 of the 5 games while averaging 1.7 sacks per game (including a low of 0 in that span vs. San Marcos). That is 41% below the Hornets' baseline of 2.9 per game over the 31 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Hornets have gone 3-2 in that stretch.
STRENGTH VS. WEAKNESS — Carson's rushing offense has been playing at a high level over the Colts' last 5 games. The ground game has eclipsed 200 rushing yards in 3 of the 5 games while averaging 239.0 rushing yards per game (including a high of 363 in that span vs. Banning). That is 29% above the Colts' baseline of 184.8 yards per game over the 29 games prior — a clear jump; the Colts have gone 5-0 in that stretch. The matchup when the two meet lines up in Carson's favor. Lincoln's rush defense has been a real vulnerability over the Hornets' last 10 games, dating back to last season. The defense has conceded 100+ rushing yards in 7 of the 10 games while averaging 139.3 rushing yards allowed per game (including a high of 248 in that span vs. Carson). That is 44% above the Hornets' baseline of 96.9 yards per game over the 21 games prior — a dramatic jump; the Hornets have gone 4-6 in that stretch.
ONE-SIDED — Carson has taken the ball away 12 times in the Colts' last 5 games — the Colts have gone 5-0 in that stretch. When the two meet, that trend meets Lincoln. Lincoln has averaged 0.8 per game on the other side of that matchup across its games on file.
ONE-SIDED — Carson's pass defense has been playing at a high level over the Colts' last 7 games, dating back to last season. The defense has held its opponents under 200 passing yards in 5 of the 7 games while averaging 113.9 passing yards allowed per game (including a low of 0 in that span vs. Kennedy). That is 33% below the Colts' baseline of 171.2 yards per game over the 15 games prior — a clear drop; the Colts have gone 5-2 in that stretch. When the two meet, that trend meets Lincoln. Lincoln has averaged 202.3 yards per game on the other side of that matchup across its games on file.
ONE-SIDED — Lincoln's rushing offense has been a real vulnerability over the Hornets' last 7 games. The ground game has failed to reach 200 rushing yards in 5 of the 7 games while averaging 160.9 rushing yards per game (including a low of 32 in that span vs. Mission Viejo). That is 35% below the Hornets' baseline of 248.6 yards per game over the 29 games prior — a dramatic drop; the Hornets have gone 4-3 in that stretch. When the two meet, that trend meets Carson. Carson has averaged 120.5 yards per game on the other side of that matchup across its games on file.
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 39.4 | W7 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 34.0 | W1 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 58.5 | W2 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 6-1 | .857 | 32.4 | W4 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 8-1 | .889 | 38.2 | W6 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.2 | W5 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-1 | .750 | 42.0 | W2 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 41.9 | W7 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | L1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 40.5 | W8 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 48.2 | W5 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 25.8 | W1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 3-1 | .750 | 28.2 | W2 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 46.2 | W5 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 1-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers > 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 | W1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.8 | W2 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 | W1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.8 | W2 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 4-4 | .500 | 35.0 | W3 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 42.5 | W2 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 2-5 | .286 | 27.9 | W1 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 4-3 | .571 | 36.1 | W3 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 13.5 | L2 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 4-3 | .571 | 39.1 | W3 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.0 | L2 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 43.8 | W3 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 21.0 | W1 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 2-4 | .333 | 26.5 | W2 |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 40.3 | W2 |
| Turnovers 2+ | 0-2 | .000 | 16.5 | L2 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 | L1 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK | |
| YPA 8.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 | |
| YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 22.5 | W2 | |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 2-1 | .667 | 14.3 | W1 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 | |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 | |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 13.2 | W4 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPC 5.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 33.0 | L1 | |
| YPC < 5.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.3 | W3 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 | |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| YPP 7.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 | |
| YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 | 4 games without this stat on file |
| Turnovers 1+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 6.5 | W6 | |
| Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.0 | W1 | |
| Turnovers 2+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 6.5 | W6 | |
| Turnovers > 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| YPA 8.0+ | 1-4 | .200 | 43.2 | W1 |
| YPA < 8.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 6.0 | W2 |
| Pass Yds 200+ | 1-3 | .250 | 45.2 | W1 |
| Pass Yds < 200 | 3-2 | .600 | 11.8 | W2 |
| Rush Yds 100+ | 1-5 | .167 | 36.8 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 100 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 6.3 | W3 |
| Rush Yds 150+ | 1-4 | .200 | 42.8 | W1 |
| Rush Yds < 150 | 3-1 | .750 | 6.5 | W2 |
| YPC 5.0+ | 2-4 | .333 | 38.5 | W2 |
| YPC < 5.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 3.0 | W1 |
| YPP 6.0+ | 2-4 | .333 | 38.5 | W2 |
| YPP < 6.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 3.0 | W1 |
| YPP 7.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 45.2 | W1 |
| YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 11.8 | W2 |
| Turnovers 1+ | 4-5 | .444 | 26.7 | W3 |
| Turnovers < 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Turnovers 2+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 8.5 | W4 |
| Turnovers > 2 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 6.3 | W3 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 10-19 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 |
| Scores 20-29 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.7 |
| Scores 40+ | 4-0 | 1.000 | 51.5 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 2.2 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 33.0 |
| Allows 40+ | -- | -- | -- |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Scores <10 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.0 |
| Scores 10-19 | -- | -- | -- |
| Scores 20-29 | 0-1 | .000 | 27.0 |
| Scores 30-39 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.0 |
| Scores 40+ | 3-1 | .750 | 46.2 |
| SPLIT | REC | WIN% | PPG |
| Allows <10 | 2-1 | .667 | 3.0 |
| Allows 10-19 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 16.0 |
| Allows 20-29 | -- | -- | -- |
| Allows 30-39 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 |
| Allows 40+ | 0-3 | .000 | 54.7 |
CARSON
• CARSON has pitched a shutout in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 3 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• CARSON has scored 30+ in 5 straight games (9/18/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 6 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• CARSON has held the opponent under 14 in 4 straight games (10/2/26–10/23/26). It has not reached 5 straight in the last 4 years of games on file (2023-present).
• CARSON has won by 20+ in 5 straight games (9/18/26–10/23/26). It has not won by 20+ in 6 straight since 10/9/25–11/29/25 (2025).
LINCOLN
• LINCOLN has forced 2+ turnovers in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not forced 2+ turnovers in 4 straight since 8/17/23–9/15/23 (2023).
• LINCOLN has held the opponent under 100 rushing in 2 straight games (10/16/26–10/23/26). It has not held the opponent under 100 rushing in 3 straight since 8/24/24–9/6/24 (2024). It has reached 3 straight 2 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 6 straight (2023) in that span.
• LINCOLN has won 3 straight (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not won 4 straight since 9/19/25–10/17/25 (2025). It has reached 4 straight 3 times in the last 4 years and has won a high of 13 straight (2025) in that span.
• LINCOLN has scored 30+ in 3 straight games (10/9/26–10/23/26). It has not scored 30+ in 4 straight since 9/19/25–11/21/25 (2025). It has reached 4 straight 2 times in the last 4 years and has reached a high of 11 straight (2023) in that span.
| Team | Side | Split | Games | Record | Win% | PPG | Strk |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 39.4 | W7 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 34.0 | W1 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 58.5 | W2 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 32.4 | W4 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 | 8-1 | .889 | 38.2 | W6 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.2 | W5 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 42.0 | W2 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 41.9 | W7 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | L1 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 8 | 8-0 | 1.000 | 40.5 | W8 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 48.2 | W5 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 25.8 | W1 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 28.2 | W2 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 46.2 | W5 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W1 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Scores 10-19 | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W1 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | L1 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33.7 | W3 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 51.5 | W4 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 22.5 | W2 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 14.3 | W1 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 13.2 | W4 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 33.0 | L1 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.3 | W3 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 6.5 | W6 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.0 | W1 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 6.5 | W6 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W2 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 2.2 | W5 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 14.0 | W2 |
| CAR | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 33.0 | L1 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 | W1 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.8 | W2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 | W1 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.8 | W2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 35.0 | W3 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 42.5 | W2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 27.9 | W1 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 36.1 | W3 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 13.5 | L2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 39.1 | W3 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.0 | L2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 43.8 | W3 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 21.0 | W1 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 26.5 | W2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 40.3 | W2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 16.5 | L2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 | L1 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Scores <10 | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.0 | L2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Scores 20-29 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 27.0 | L1 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Scores 30-39 | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 31.0 | W1 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Scores 40+ | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 46.2 | W2 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 43.2 | W1 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 6.0 | W2 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 45.2 | W1 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 11.8 | W2 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 6 | 1-5 | .167 | 36.8 | W1 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 6.3 | W3 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 42.8 | W1 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 6.5 | W2 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 38.5 | W2 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 3.0 | W1 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 38.5 | W2 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 3.0 | W1 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 45.2 | W1 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 11.8 | W2 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 9 | 4-5 | .444 | 26.7 | W3 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 8.5 | W4 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Turnovers > 2 | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 6.3 | W3 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Allows <10 | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 3.0 | W1 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Allows 10-19 | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 16.0 | W2 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Allows 30-39 | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Allows 40+ | 3 | 0-3 | .000 | 54.7 | L3 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-1 |
| OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-0 |
| OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| SIDE | SPLIT | STREAK | DATES | RECORD |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-5 |
| OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
| DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
| Team | Side | Split | Streak | Dates | Record |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 8-1 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-0 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 6 games | 09/11/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 6-0 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 5-0 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 4 games | 10/02/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-0 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 9 games | 08/21/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 4-5 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 5 games | 09/18/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-2 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
| LIN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 2+ | 3 games | 10/09/2026 - 10/23/2026 | 3-0 |
Each pair of rows above is tinted by the gap between the two teams' win% in that scenario, judged for the HOME team (the bottom row):
GRAY = negligible gap (.000-.050)
PURPLE = solid gap (.051-.150)
GREEN = big gap (.151+), favoring the home team
RED = big gap (.151+), against the home team
| 150 RUSH YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | OVER | 5 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.2 | W5 |
| LIN | DEF | OVER | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 42.8 | W1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | UNDER | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 42.0 | W2 |
| LIN | DEF | UNDER | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 6.5 | W2 |
| YPC 5.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | OVER | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 41.9 | W7 |
| LIN | DEF | OVER | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 38.5 | W2 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | UNDER | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | L1 |
| LIN | DEF | UNDER | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 3.0 | W1 |
| YPA 8.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | OVER | 7 | 7-0 | 1.000 | 39.4 | W7 |
| LIN | DEF | OVER | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | 43.2 | W1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | UNDER | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 34.0 | W1 |
| LIN | DEF | UNDER | 4 | 3-1 | .750 | 6.0 | W2 |
| 200 PASS YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | OVER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 58.5 | W2 |
| LIN | DEF | OVER | 4 | 1-3 | .250 | 45.2 | W1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | UNDER | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 32.4 | W4 |
| LIN | DEF | UNDER | 5 | 3-2 | .600 | 11.8 | W2 |
| 2+ TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | OVER | 1 | 1-0 | 1.000 | 17.0 | W1 |
| LIN | DEF | OVER | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 8.5 | W4 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | OFF | UNDER | 8 | 7-1 | .875 | 40.9 | W5 |
| LIN | DEF | UNDER | 5 | 0-5 | .000 | 41.2 | L5 |
| 100 RUSH YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | OVER | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 |
| LIN | OFF | OVER | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 35.0 | W3 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | UNDER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 |
| LIN | OFF | UNDER | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | L1 |
| 150 RUSH YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | OVER | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | L1 |
| LIN | OFF | OVER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 42.5 | W2 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | UNDER | 4 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 13.2 | W4 |
| LIN | OFF | UNDER | 7 | 2-5 | .286 | 27.9 | W1 |
| YPC 5.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | OVER | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | 33.0 | L1 |
| LIN | OFF | OVER | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 36.1 | W3 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | UNDER | 3 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.3 | W3 |
| LIN | OFF | UNDER | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 13.5 | L2 |
| YPA 8.0 | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | OVER | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | W1 |
| LIN | OFF | OVER | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 | W1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | UNDER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | W2 |
| LIN | OFF | UNDER | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.8 | W2 |
| 200 PASS YDS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | OVER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 22.5 | W2 |
| LIN | OFF | OVER | 5 | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 | W1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | UNDER | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 14.3 | W1 |
| LIN | OFF | UNDER | 4 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.8 | W2 |
| 0 TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | ZERO | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.0 | W1 |
| LIN | OFF | ZERO | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 40.3 | W2 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | OVER | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 6.5 | W6 |
| LIN | OFF | OVER | 6 | 2-4 | .333 | 26.5 | W2 |
| 2+ TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | OVER | 6 | 6-0 | 1.000 | 6.5 | W6 |
| LIN | OFF | OVER | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | 16.5 | L2 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | UNDER | 3 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.0 | W1 |
| LIN | OFF | UNDER | 7 | 4-3 | .571 | 35.3 | W3 |
| >2 TURNOVERS | |||||||
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | OVER | 2 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 7.0 | W2 |
| LIN | OFF | OVER | 1 | 0-1 | .000 | 6.0 | L1 |
| TM | SIDE | SPLIT | GM | REC. | WIN% | PPG | STRK |
| CAR | DEF | UNDER | 7 | 6-1 | .857 | 13.0 | W4 |
| LIN | OFF | UNDER | 8 | 4-4 | .500 | 34.2 | W3 |
CAR OFFENSE
CAR's offense has averaged 0.2 giveaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 0.6 giveaways per game. (-64%)
CAR's offense has averaged 12.2 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 8.8 YPP. (+38%)
CAR's offense has averaged 13.5 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 9.9 YPA. (+37%)
CAR's offense has averaged 10.7 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 8.0 YPC. (+35%)
CAR's offense has averaged 48.2 points scored per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 38.2 points scored per game. (+26%)
CAR's offense has averaged 259.7 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 206.7 rush yards per game. (+26%)
LIN OFFENSE
LIN's offense has averaged 238.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 156.3 rush yards per game. (+52%)
LIN's offense has averaged 0.7 giveaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.0 giveaways per game. (-33%)
LIN's offense has averaged 38.7 points scored per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 31.1 points scored per game. (+24%)
LIN's offense has averaged 429.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 345.7 total yards per game. (+24%)
CAR DEFENSE
CAR's defense has averaged 1.0 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 11.7 points allowed per game. (-91%)
CAR's defense has averaged 3.2 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 8.6 YPA. (-63%)
CAR's defense has averaged 47.0 rush yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 116.6 rush yards per game. (-60%)
CAR's defense has averaged 127.0 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 275.8 total yards per game. (-54%)
CAR's defense has averaged 3.1 YPP over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 6.4 YPP. (-51%)
CAR's defense has averaged 80.0 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 159.2 pass yards per game. (-50%)
CAR's defense has averaged 2.9 YPC over their last 3 games. Their 5-game average is 4.8 YPC. (-39%)
CAR's defense has averaged 2.4 takeaways per game over their last 5 games. Their 9-game average is 1.8 takeaways per game. (+35%)
LIN DEFENSE
LIN's defense has averaged 11.3 points allowed per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 26.7 points allowed per game. (-57%)
LIN's defense has averaged 2.7 takeaways per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 1.8 takeaways per game. (+50%)
LIN's defense has averaged 5.0 YPA over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 7.0 YPA. (-28%)
LIN's defense has averaged 134.3 pass yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 184.7 pass yards per game. (-27%)
LIN's defense has averaged 245.3 total yards per game over their last 3 games. Their 9-game average is 318.2 total yards per game. (-23%)
(moved to the Appendix, Data Export 2, to keep this section shorter -- the full spreadsheet-paste table is there unchanged)
Full-length explanations and full-size data exports for the shortened notes and relocated tables referenced throughout this report, numbered in the order their pointers appear above.
Explanatory Notes
Note 1 -- GAME PROJECTION -- FULL DETAIL (report pages 1-2)
Library-native projection: computed directly from the game library (slate_projection.SlateEngine), not the Excel workbook engine. This section does not yet include: an outside Strength Index cross-check (computer/CCCAA rankings -- workbook-only).
Note 2 -- SEASON OUTLOOK
Every remaining game is projected from schedule-adjusted ratings; already-played games carry their real result. Records are simulated distributions, not a single guess -- MOST LIKELY FINAL is the single most probable record and its own probability, PROJECTED RECORD is the season's expected win total expressed in record form (an average across every simulated outcome, so it can land on a fraction of a game).
Note 3 -- MOST IMPORTANT NUMBERS -- how a number is scored
Every split this report computes is scored on how strong the number is and how much it sets this team apart from its opponent and the rest of the field, and the top 5 per team are listed. A condition needs at least 8 occurrences to count.
Note 4 -- OPPONENT STRENGTH (best-effort) -- why this is often empty
Only meaningful for a game against an opponent who is ALSO a tracked team on this workbook -- with just a couple of teams tracked, that's rare (mainly a direct matchup between them, if this run covers both); every other opponent has no win% on file here at all, so most of a team's schedule simply has no strength data to show.
Full Data Exports
Data Export 1 -- MATCHUP CONFLICTS — TAB-SEPARATED (13 columns)
| Team1 | Side1 | Split1 | Record1 | Win%1 | PPG1 | Team2 | Side2 | Split2 | Record2 | Win%2 | PPG2 | Relevance |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 42.5 | CAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 4-0 | 1.000 | 13.2 | 1.000 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 8-1 | .889 | 38.2 | LIN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 6.3 | 0.889 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 39.4 | LIN | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 6.0 | 0.750 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 35.2 | LIN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3-1 | .750 | 6.5 | 0.750 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 3-1 | .750 | 43.8 | CAR | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | 0.750 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 2-5 | .286 | 27.9 | CAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 0-1 | .000 | 35.0 | 0.714 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 0-1 | .000 | 20.0 | LIN | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 2-4 | .333 | 38.5 | 0.667 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 8-0 | 1.000 | 40.5 | LIN | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 3.0 | 0.667 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 7-0 | 1.000 | 41.9 | LIN | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 2-1 | .667 | 3.0 | 0.667 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 40.3 | CAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 6-0 | 1.000 | 6.5 | 0.667 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 3.0 | CAR | DEFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | 0.667 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 0-1 | .000 | 0.0 | CAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | 0.667 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 6-1 | .857 | 32.4 | LIN | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 1-3 | .250 | 45.2 | 0.607 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 5-0 | 1.000 | 48.2 | LIN | DEFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3-2 | .600 | 11.8 | 0.600 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 | CAR | DEFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | 0.600 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 58.5 | LIN | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 3-2 | .600 | 11.8 | 0.600 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 4-3 | .571 | 36.1 | CAR | DEFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 3-0 | 1.000 | 7.3 | 0.571 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPP 6.0+ | 4-3 | .571 | 39.1 | CAR | DEFENSE | YPP < 6.0 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | 0.571 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 5-0 | 1.000 | 46.2 | LIN | DEFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 4-5 | .444 | 26.7 | 0.556 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | Rush Yds < 150 | 3-1 | .750 | 42.0 | LIN | DEFENSE | Rush Yds 150+ | 1-4 | .200 | 42.8 | 0.550 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Rush Yds 100+ | 4-4 | .500 | 35.0 | CAR | DEFENSE | Rush Yds < 100 | 2-0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | 0.500 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 3-1 | .750 | 25.8 | LIN | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 1-3 | .250 | 45.2 | 0.500 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.8 | CAR | DEFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2-0 | 1.000 | 22.5 | 0.500 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 0-2 | .000 | 13.5 | CAR | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 1-1 | .500 | 33.0 | 0.500 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPP < 7.0 | 1-4 | .200 | 21.0 | CAR | DEFENSE | YPP 7.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | 0.467 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Turnovers 1+ | 2-4 | .333 | 26.5 | CAR | DEFENSE | Turnovers < 1 | 2-1 | .667 | 22.0 | 0.333 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 34.0 | LIN | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 1-4 | .200 | 43.2 | 0.300 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | Pass Yds 200+ | 2-3 | .400 | 40.2 | CAR | DEFENSE | Pass Yds < 200 | 2-1 | .667 | 14.3 | 0.267 |
| CAR | OFFENSE | YPC < 5.0 | 1-1 | .500 | 25.5 | LIN | DEFENSE | YPC 5.0+ | 2-4 | .333 | 38.5 | 0.167 |
| LIN | OFFENSE | YPA < 8.0 | 2-2 | .500 | 19.8 | CAR | DEFENSE | YPA 8.0+ | 2-1 | .667 | 26.7 | 0.167 |
Data Export 2 -- TRENDS — TAB-SEPARATED (10 columns)
| Team | Side | Type | Stat | Opponent | Window/Meetings | Value | BaselineGames | BaselineAvg | Deviation |
| CAR | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 80.0 | 5 | 159.2 | -49.7% | |
| CAR | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 1.0 | 9 | 11.7 | -91.4% | |
| CAR | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 5 | 48.2 | 9 | 38.2 | +26.1% | |
| CAR | DEFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 47.0 | 5 | 116.6 | -59.7% | |
| CAR | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 259.7 | 9 | 206.7 | +25.6% | |
| CAR | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 127.0 | 5 | 275.8 | -54.0% | |
| CAR | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 | +35.0% | |
| CAR | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 5 | 0.2 | 9 | 0.6 | -64.0% | |
| CAR | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 3.2 | 5 | 8.6 | -62.8% | |
| CAR | OFFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 13.5 | 9 | 9.9 | +37.0% | |
| CAR | DEFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 2.9 | 5 | 4.8 | -39.1% | |
| CAR | OFFENSE | team | YPC | last 3 | 10.7 | 9 | 8.0 | +34.9% | |
| CAR | DEFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 3.1 | 5 | 6.4 | -51.3% | |
| CAR | OFFENSE | team | YPP | last 3 | 12.2 | 9 | 8.8 | +38.4% | |
| LIN | DEFENSE | team | Pass Yards | last 3 | 134.3 | 9 | 184.7 | -27.3% | |
| LIN | DEFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 11.3 | 9 | 26.7 | -57.5% | |
| LIN | OFFENSE | team | Points | last 3 | 38.7 | 9 | 31.1 | +24.3% | |
| LIN | OFFENSE | team | Rush Yards | last 3 | 238.0 | 9 | 156.3 | +52.2% | |
| LIN | DEFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 245.3 | 9 | 318.2 | -22.9% | |
| LIN | OFFENSE | team | Total Yards | last 3 | 429.0 | 9 | 345.7 | +24.1% | |
| LIN | DEFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 2.7 | 9 | 1.8 | +50.0% | |
| LIN | OFFENSE | team | Turnovers | last 3 | 0.7 | 9 | 1.0 | -33.3% | |
| LIN | DEFENSE | team | YPA | last 3 | 5.0 | 9 | 7.0 | -28.4% |
| # | NAME | POS | CLASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUARTERBACKS | |||
| 1 | CHRIS FIELDS III PASS 89/129 · 69.0% · 1,227 YDS · 9.5 YPA · 16 TD · 3 INT · 153.4/G RUSH 84 CAR · 742 YDS · 8.8 YPC · 12 TD · 92.8/G | QB | Sr. |
| RUNNING BACKS | |||
| 7 | ERIC MYERS RUSH 34 CAR · 171 YDS · 5.0 YPC · 1 TD · 34.2/G REC 1 REC · 8 YDS · 8.0 YPC · 0 TD · 1.6/G | RB | Sr. |
| 11 | AJ UMOH RUSH 8 CAR · 48 YDS · 6.0 YPC · 0 TD · 8.0/G DEF 23 TKL · 3.8 TKL/G · 6 TFL · 0.5 SACKS · 1 INT | RB | Sr. |
| 32 | TION MARSHALL RUSH 1 CAR · 26 YDS · 26.0 YPC · 0 TD · 26.0/G | FB | Sr. |
| RECEIVERS & TIGHT ENDS | |||
| 3 | MICHAEL O'DELL PASS 0/1 · 0.0% · 0 YDS · 0.0 YPA · 0 TD · 0 INT · 0.0/G REC 1 REC · 36 YDS · 36.0 YPC · 0 TD · 4.5/G DEF 18 TKL · 2.2 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT | WR | Sr. |
| 5 | NICK SANDOVAL REC 13 REC · 268 YDS · 20.6 YPC · 2 TD · 89.3/G | WR | Sr. |
| 6 | NATHAN WILLIAMS REC 23 REC · 221 YDS · 9.6 YPC · 6 TD · 27.6/G | WR | Sr. |
| 8 | DARREN PANTON REC 14 REC · 283 YDS · 20.2 YPC · 3 TD · 35.4/G DEF 9 TKL · 1.1 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | WR | Sr. |
| 14 | JORDIN DANIEL REC 18 REC · 198 YDS · 11.0 YPC · 3 TD · 28.3/G | WR | Sr. |
| 18 | ANDRE JACKSON RUSH 2 CAR · 20 YDS · 10.0 YPC · 0 TD · 10.0/G | WR | So. |
| 21 | ZACHARY BROCK RUSH 2 CAR · 38 YDS · 19.0 YPC · 2 TD · 9.5/G DEF 8 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.5 SACKS · 0 INT | WR | Sr. |
| 24 | JORGE VALENCIA PASS 0/1 · 0.0% · 0 YDS · 0.0 YPA · 0 TD · 0 INT · 0.0/G REC 1 REC · 25 YDS · 25.0 YPC · 1 TD · 12.5/G | WR | Jr. |
| DEFENSIVE LINE | |||
| 4 | KINGSTON SULA DEF 48 TKL · 6.9 TKL/G · 12 TFL · 7.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DE | Jr. |
| 16 | RYAN DIXON DEF 7 TKL · 1.4 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 1.5 SACKS · 0 INT | DE | Sr. |
| 23 | JAYLEN COX RUSH 2 CAR · 21 YDS · 10.5 YPC · 1 TD · 7.0/G DEF 22 TKL · 7.3 TKL/G · 5 TFL · 1.5 SACKS · 1 INT | DT | Sr. |
| 28 | KAYLEN CAPERS DEF 11 TKL · 3.7 TKL/G · 4 TFL · 0.5 SACKS · 0 INT | DE | Jr. |
| 45 | ENZO FRANKLIN DEF 5 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DT | Fr. |
| 55 | DESHONDRE "ANTHONY" PURVIS DEF 20 TKL · 2.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DT | Sr. |
| 65 | TRENT AFUSIA DEF 4 TKL · 1.3 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DT | Jr. |
| 95 | CHRISTOPHER TAYLOR DEF 20 TKL · 3.3 TKL/G · 7 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DT | Jr. |
| LINEBACKERS | |||
| 9 | PRESTON LEOMITI RUSH 1 CAR · 14 YDS · 14.0 YPC · 0 TD · 1.8/G DEF 52 TKL · 6.5 TKL/G · 4 TFL · 2.5 SACKS · 0 INT | MLB | Sr. |
| 10 | JAYDEN TUIOTI DEF 21 TKL · 3.0 TKL/G · 5 TFL · 2.0 SACKS · 0 INT | OLB | Sr. |
| 12 | DERRIC MYERS DEF 51 TKL · 6.4 TKL/G · 5 TFL · 3.0 SACKS · 3 INT | OLB | Jr. |
| 19 | SYNCERE BAKER-ROSS RUSH 22 CAR · 166 YDS · 7.5 YPC · 1 TD · 23.7/G REC 9 REC · 141 YDS · 15.7 YPC · 0 TD · 20.1/G DEF 3 TKL · 0.4 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | OLB | So. |
| 25 | TUKI IFOPO LEIATO DEF 12 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | MLB | Fr. |
| 31 | MATTHEW SAUSAU RUSH 5 CAR · 17 YDS · 3.4 YPC · 0 TD · 8.5/G | LB | Jr. |
| DEFENSIVE BACKS | |||
| 0 | BENNIE SAULTER DEF 19 TKL · 3.2 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DB | Jr. |
| 2 | TYTUS SALAGI RUSH 49 CAR · 287 YDS · 5.9 YPC · 3 TD · 41.0/G REC 7 REC · 78 YDS · 11.1 YPC · 1 TD · 11.1/G DEF 4 TKL · 0.6 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | S | Jr. |
| 13 | DESHAWN WHITE DEF 12 TKL · 1.5 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT | DB | Jr. |
| 15 | ADYN HURST DEF 3 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DB | Sr. |
| 22 | OSCAR O'DELL DEF 6 TKL · 1.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 2 INT | DB | Fr. |
| 27 | TEEJAY HAMILTON DEF 6 TKL · 1.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DB | Jr. |
| 29 | MYLES SMITH DEF 4 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DB | Fr. |
| ON STAT SHEETS, NOT ON THE POSTED ROSTER | |||
| -- | K. VIVAO DEF 6 TKL · 6.0 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | -- | -- |
| # | NAME | POS | CLASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | BENNIE SAULTER | DB | Jr. |
| 1 | CHRIS FIELDS III | QB | Sr. |
| 2 | TYTUS SALAGI | S | Jr. |
| 3 | MICHAEL O'DELL | WR | Sr. |
| 4 | KINGSTON SULA | DE | Jr. |
| 5 | NICK SANDOVAL | WR | Sr. |
| 6 | NATHAN WILLIAMS | WR | Sr. |
| 7 | ERIC MYERS | RB | Sr. |
| 8 | DARREN PANTON | WR | Sr. |
| 9 | PRESTON LEOMITI | MLB | Sr. |
| 10 | JAYDEN TUIOTI | OLB | Sr. |
| 11 | AJ UMOH | RB | Sr. |
| 12 | DERRIC MYERS | OLB | Jr. |
| 13 | DESHAWN WHITE | DB | Jr. |
| 14 | JORDIN DANIEL | WR | Sr. |
| 15 | ADYN HURST | DB | Sr. |
| 16 | RYAN DIXON | DE | Sr. |
| 17 | MAXWELL BROWN | WR | Sr. |
| 18 | ANDRE JACKSON | WR | So. |
| 19 | SYNCERE BAKER-ROSS | OLB | So. |
| 21 | ZACHARY BROCK | WR | Sr. |
| 22 | OSCAR O'DELL | DB | Fr. |
| 23 | JAYLEN COX | DT | Sr. |
| 24 | JORGE VALENCIA | WR | Jr. |
| 25 | TUKI IFOPO LEIATO | MLB | Fr. |
| 26 | AHMAD HOUSTON | WR | Sr. |
| 27 | TEEJAY HAMILTON | DB | Jr. |
| 28 | KAYLEN CAPERS | DE | Jr. |
| 29 | MYLES SMITH | DB | Fr. |
| 31 | MATTHEW SAUSAU | LB | Jr. |
| 32 | TION MARSHALL | FB | Sr. |
| 34 | KYLER SCIPIO | DE | Sr. |
| 44 | CALEB GREEN-JONES | RB | Fr. |
| 45 | ENZO FRANKLIN | DT | Fr. |
| 50 | JERON MILLS JR. | OL | Sr. |
| 51 | ANTHONY CENTENO | C | Sr. |
| 52 | JORDAN MANAI | T | Sr. |
| 55 | DESHONDRE "ANTHONY" PURVIS | DT | Sr. |
| 57 | TITAN TALAMOA | OG | Fr. |
| 65 | TRENT AFUSIA | DT | Jr. |
| 67 | JACOB SANTOS-DOMINGUEZ | OL | Fr. |
| 75 | ROD TUAAU | T | So. |
| 77 | ANDREW FLOWERS | -- | Jr. |
| 80 | MONICO FLORES-SEGOVIA | K | So. |
| 88 | ARMAND BOWMAN | WR | Sr. |
| 95 | CHRISTOPHER TAYLOR | DT | Jr. |
| -- | K. VIVAO | -- | -- |
| # | NAME | POS | CLASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUARTERBACKS | |||
| 8 | ANDRE JACKSON PASS 68/120 · 56.7% · 1,005 YDS · 8.4 YPA · 15 TD · 5 INT · 111.7/G RUSH 21 CAR · 115 YDS · 5.5 YPC · 0 TD · 12.8/G | QB | Jr. |
| 18 | XAVIER CRUZ PASS 56/97 · 57.7% · 699 YDS · 7.2 YPA · 6 TD · 1 INT · 87.4/G RUSH 42 CAR · 245 YDS · 5.8 YPC · 4 TD · 30.6/G REC 2 REC · 7 YDS · 3.5 YPC · 0 TD · 0.9/G | QB | Jr. |
| RUNNING BACKS | |||
| 13 | ERIC MILLER RUSH 30 CAR · 264 YDS · 8.8 YPC · 1 TD · 44.0/G REC 1 REC · 11 YDS · 11.0 YPC · 0 TD · 1.8/G | RB | So. |
| 19 | DILLAN DURRUTHY-FAULKNER RUSH 16 CAR · 66 YDS · 4.1 YPC · 2 TD · 22.0/G DEF 3 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | RB | Jr. |
| 34 | JOJO HAMILTON RUSH 6 CAR · 19 YDS · 3.2 YPC · 0 TD · 6.3/G DEF 1 TKL · 0.3 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | RB | Jr. |
| RECEIVERS & TIGHT ENDS | |||
| 2 | DAREYEN BRIDGES RUSH 7 CAR · 97 YDS · 13.9 YPC · 1 TD · 10.8/G REC 54 REC · 794 YDS · 14.7 YPC · 11 TD · 88.2/G DEF 14 TKL · 1.6 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT | WR | Sr. |
| 11 | KYMANI BELL REC 8 REC · 132 YDS · 16.5 YPC · 3 TD · 33.0/G | WR | Fr. |
| 16 | SAMIR RAMSEY REC 4 REC · 32 YDS · 8.0 YPC · 0 TD · 10.7/G | WR | Sr. |
| OFFENSIVE LINE | |||
| 69 | FAMOUS FIATOA DEF 10 TKL · 3.3 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | OL | Jr. |
| 79 | GABRIEL MONTENEGRO DEF 13 TKL · 3.2 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | T | So. |
| DEFENSIVE LINE | |||
| 30 | SIOSI TUAVAO DEF 69 TKL · 7.7 TKL/G · 6 TFL · 4.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DE | Sr. |
| 32 | HEJIPSON SAINT FLEUR DEF 9 TKL · 4.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DL | So. |
| 41 | NEHEMIAH AUSTIN DEF 6 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DL | Jr. |
| 47 | ANDREW TAPIA DEF 25 TKL · 6.2 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.5 SACKS · 0 INT | DE | Jr. |
| 50 | JAMARI SHERELL DEF 74 TKL · 8.2 TKL/G · 9 TFL · 2.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DT | Sr. |
| 55 | MICHAEL WARE DEF 45 TKL · 5.6 TKL/G · 3 TFL · 2.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DL | Jr. |
| 66 | JEFFREY ADAMS DEF 32 TKL · 8.0 TKL/G · 8 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | DT | Jr. |
| LINEBACKERS | |||
| 5 | SETH FANUA DEF 118 TKL · 13.1 TKL/G · 20 TFL · 4.0 SACKS · 0 INT | OLB | Sr. |
| 6 | RYAN GEORGE DEF 99 TKL · 11.0 TKL/G · 5 TFL · 2.0 SACKS · 2 INT | LB | Jr. |
| 31 | STEVEN MOORE DEF 2 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | LB | Jr. |
| 42 | TJ TAFILELE DEF 59 TKL · 7.4 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT | LB | Jr. |
| DEFENSIVE BACKS | |||
| 0 | CAM JOY RUSH 8 CAR · 24 YDS · 3.0 YPC · 0 TD · 3.0/G DEF 67 TKL · 8.4 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 0 INT | S | Sr. |
| 1 | JAEVEYION ALLEN REC 45 REC · 637 YDS · 14.2 YPC · 5 TD · 70.8/G DEF 92 TKL · 10.2 TKL/G · 2 TFL · 1.0 SACKS · 2 INT | CB | Sr. |
| 10 | DEVIN DAVIS REC 2 REC · 34 YDS · 17.0 YPC · 1 TD · 3.8/G DEF 46 TKL · 5.1 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 1 INT | CB | Fr. |
| 15 | DAVON DUNN RUSH 5 CAR · 159 YDS · 31.8 YPC · 1 TD · 17.7/G REC 7 REC · 83 YDS · 11.9 YPC · 1 TD · 9.2/G DEF 60 TKL · 6.7 TKL/G · 1 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 3 INT | FS | Fr. |
| 20 | KHALIL PHILLIPS DEF 17 TKL · 3.4 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | FS | Fr. |
| 21 | MARCELIS TUCKER DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | CB | So. |
| 26 | BOSTYN PENA DEF 1 TKL · 1.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | CB | Sr. |
| 28 | LAMAR LONG JR. DEF 3 TKL · 1.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | CB | Jr. |
| OTHER / UNLISTED POSITION | |||
| 27 | JEREMIAH BAGLEY RUSH 3 CAR · 13 YDS · 4.3 YPC · 0 TD · 6.5/G DEF 1 TKL · 0.5 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | -- | Fr. |
| 35 | JAMAAL WILLIAMS DEF 3 TKL · 3.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | -- | So. |
| 64 | JAYLEN LARKINS DEF 8 TKL · 2.0 TKL/G · 0 TFL · 0.0 SACKS · 0 INT | -- | Jr. |
| # | NAME | POS | CLASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | CAM JOY | S | Sr. |
| 1 | JAEVEYION ALLEN | CB | Sr. |
| 2 | DAREYEN BRIDGES | WR | Sr. |
| 3 | JAMARI SHERRELL | G | Sr. |
| 4 | BRAYLEN ROSS | WR | Sr. |
| 4 | CALEB WILLIAMS | RB | So. |
| 5 | SETH FANUA | OLB | Sr. |
| 6 | RYAN GEORGE | LB | Jr. |
| 6 | COURTNEY MILLER-THOMPSON | WR | Sr. |
| 8 | ANDRE JACKSON | QB | Jr. |
| 10 | DEVIN DAVIS | CB | Fr. |
| 10 | JORDAN ROA | QB | Sr. |
| 11 | KYMANI BELL | WR | Fr. |
| 11 | ANDRE MCLEES-WALKER | WR | Sr. |
| 13 | ERIC MILLER | RB | So. |
| 14 | BRYLON WOLF | -- | So. |
| 15 | DAVON DUNN | FS | Fr. |
| 16 | SAMIR RAMSEY | WR | Sr. |
| 17 | DRE'SHAWN COOPER | CB | So. |
| 17 | MUSA MUSA | K | Jr. |
| 18 | XAVIER CRUZ | QB | Jr. |
| 18 | RODERICK AGUILLARD | WR | Sr. |
| 19 | DILLAN DURRUTHY-FAULKNER | RB | Jr. |
| 20 | KHALIL PHILLIPS | FS | Fr. |
| 21 | MARCELIS TUCKER | CB | So. |
| 22 | CAMERON WILLIAMS | SS | Fr. |
| 23 | NIKO WILLIAMS | RB | Jr. |
| 24 | JAYLON MCNEILL | DB | Jr. |
| 26 | BOSTYN PENA | CB | Sr. |
| 27 | JEREMIAH BAGLEY | -- | Fr. |
| 27 | WARREN FLORENCE | CB | Sr. |
| 28 | LAMAR LONG JR. | CB | Jr. |
| 29 | REGGIE DAVIS | WR | Sr. |
| 30 | SIOSI TUAVAO | DE | Sr. |
| 31 | STEVEN MOORE | LB | Jr. |
| 32 | HEJIPSON SAINT FLEUR | DL | So. |
| 33 | JAH'LILH SWEET | LB | Sr. |
| 34 | JOJO HAMILTON | RB | Jr. |
| 35 | JAMAAL WILLIAMS | -- | So. |
| 36 | KAIDEN MONSAY | DE | So. |
| 41 | NEHEMIAH AUSTIN | DL | Jr. |
| 42 | TJ TAFILELE | LB | Jr. |
| 43 | LEEJAE PALEAFEI | LB | So. |
| 47 | ANDREW TAPIA | DE | Jr. |
| 50 | JAMARI SHERELL | DT | Sr. |
| 50 | BLUE-KNIGHT JOHNSON | G | Jr. |
| 51 | CALEB KATIMBANG | LS | Sr. |
| 52 | DIEGO ARMENTA | OL | So. |
| 55 | MICHAEL WARE | DL | Jr. |
| 59 | ADELL NUNEZ | K | Jr. |
| 64 | JAYLEN LARKINS | -- | Jr. |
| 66 | JEFFREY ADAMS | DT | Jr. |
| 68 | JESUS JIMENEZ JR. | C | Sr. |
| 69 | FAMOUS FIATOA | OL | Jr. |
| 71 | JUJU SMITH | OL | So. |
| 71 | KA'MARION WILEY | DL | So. |
| 72 | NOLEN SANCHEZ | -- | Sr. |
| 74 | DANNY GONZALEZ | G | Jr. |
| 75 | KIEMARI GREEN | G | Sr. |
| 76 | SIOSAIA PONGIA | DT | Fr. |
| 77 | MAJOR TALA | G | So. |
| 78 | GAVIN NAVARRO | G | Jr. |
| 79 | GABRIEL MONTENEGRO | T | So. |
| 79 | JULIAN SMITH | DT | Jr. |
| 80 | ADRIAN MOTA | T | Fr. |
| 83 | DEMETRIUS PROBY | WR | So. |
| 88 | CYRUS FROHNHOEFER | TE | Fr. |
| 94 | LEE ANTHONY PALEAFEI JR | LB | So. |
| 99 | RENE ARRIOLA | DE | Sr. |
